Weather in Cape Charles

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:42 am (EDT)

Now · overcast 58 °F

Feels like: 59 °F
Low / high: 55 / 70 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 2 mph E

→ 30.27 inHg · steady

Today in Cape Charles: overcast, 55 °F to 70 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light air from the east (2 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 55 °F to 69 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 70 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (21%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

70° 55°
Today
69° 55°
Fri 30
60° 49°
Sat 31
64° 50°
Sun 1
66° 54°
Mon 2
67° 56°
Tue 3
68° 58°
Wed 4
68° 58°
Thu 5
65° 54°
Fri 6
62° 52°
Sat 7
60° 51°
Sun 8
59° 52°
Mon 9
62° 51°
Tue 10
63° 56°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	55 / 70 °F	1%	7 mph NE	1.0 ft	11:58 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Mainly clear	55 / 69 °F	1%	7 mph NW	1.2 ft	12:20 am · 12:55 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	49 / 60 °F	0%	11 mph NNE	1.8 ft	1:18 am · 1:54 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	50 / 64 °F	1%	7 mph E	0.8 ft	1:20 am · 1:56 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Partly cloudy	54 / 66 °F	9%	6 mph E	0.9 ft	2:28 am · 3:05 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	56 / 67 °F	7%	10 mph ENE	0.9 ft	3:45 am · 4:17 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	58 / 68 °F	21% · 0.23 in	13 mph ENE	1.2 ft	4:54 am · 5:17 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	58 / 68 °F	29% · 0.12 in	13 mph E	1.4 ft	5:50 am · 6:08 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Rain	54 / 65 °F	26% · 0.51 in	11 mph NNE	1.4 ft	6:37 am · 6:54 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	52 / 62 °F	22% · 0.15 in	11 mph NNW	1.6 ft	7:20 am · 7:36 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	51 / 60 °F	10% · 0.08 in	13 mph N	1.6 ft	8:00 am · 8:16 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	52 / 59 °F	17%	15 mph NNE	1.7 ft	8:36 am · 8:54 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	51 / 62 °F	17%	9 mph NNE	0.8 ft	9:12 am · 9:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	56 / 63 °F	16%	7 mph N	0.7 ft	9:48 am · 10:09 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	55°	58°	57°	60°	68°	70°	65°	58°
Chance of rain	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NNE	3 NE	1 NNE	4 NNW	3 WNW	2 SW	3 SSW	5 SSE
Humidity	90%	92%	90%	92%	74%	66%	75%	90%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	69°	70°	62°	64°	65°	69°	71°
AIFS	65°	69°	64°	61°	62°	64°	66°
GFS	70°	74°	61°	62°	65°	67°	68°
ICON	67°	71°	62°	62°	64°	69°	69°
HRRR	70°	73°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	67°	69°	60°	64°	66°	67°	68°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.21 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	711	1218	1423	923	616	917	712
AIFS	9	12	17	10	9	10	14
GFS	79	1329	1428	912	710	1019	1327
ICON	712	1016	1322	611	59	47	1017
HRRR	716	1623	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	48	713	1117	79	69	1014	1318
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	2%	0%	0%	0%	6%	8%	11%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	10%	11%	13%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	1%	0%	1%	9%	7%	21%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.9 °F	Above +52%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F	58° / 54°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +35%	Above +2.2 °F	56° / 52°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +44%	Above +2.0 °F	54° / 50°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +42%	A bit above +0.7 °F
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +48%	A bit above +1.6 °F
February	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +47%	A bit above +1.4 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +32%	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Cape Charles climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Cape Charles is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 85 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cape Charles, about 5 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

47° 32°

JanJ
50° 32°

FebF
57° 39°

MarM
67° 48°

AprA
75° 57°

MayM
84° 66°

JunJ
87° 71°

JulJ
85° 69°

AugA
80° 64°

SepS
70° 53°

OctO
61° 43°

NovN
52° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	47°	32°	3.39 in	8	4.4	43°	2.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	50°	32°	3.05 in	8	5.0	41°	2.1 ft	–
MarchMar	57°	39°	3.96 in	9	6.0	45°	2.2 ft	–
AprilApr	67°	48°	3.04 in	8	6.8	53°	2.1 ft	–
MayMay	75°	57°	3.31 in	10	7.5	62°	1.8 ft	–
JuneJun	84°	66°	3.85 in	11	7.8	72°	1.5 ft	1
JulyJul	87°	71°	5.06 in	13	7.9	78°	1.4 ft	5
AugustAug	85°	69°	4.50 in	12	7.2	79°	1.5 ft	5
SeptemberSep	80°	64°	4.56 in	9	6.1	76°	2.1 ft	4
OctoberOct	70°	53°	3.68 in	7	5.4	67°	2.2 ft	–
NovemberNov	61°	43°	3.21 in	7	4.8	57°	2.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	52°	35°	3.80 in	8	4.0	48°	2.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	43°	2.1 ft	–
Feb	41°	2.1 ft	–
Mar	45°	2.2 ft	–
Apr	53°	2.1 ft	–
May	62°	1.8 ft	–
Jun	72°	1.5 ft	1
Jul	78°	1.4 ft	5
Aug	79°	1.5 ft	5
Sep	76°	2.1 ft	4
Oct	67°	2.2 ft	–
Nov	57°	2.3 ft	–
Dec	48°	2.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.40 in of rain on about 108 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now58 °Ffeels like 59 °F

Tomorrow55 / 69 °F

It's 58 °F now (feels like 59 °F). Today, 55 °F to 70 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 69 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 9%
Tue 3 7%
Wed 4 21% 0.23 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 21% and 0.23 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point56 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 56 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.4 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (8.4 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.12

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 50

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	59 / 68 °F	12 mph ENE
Tue 27	Clear sky	56 / 69 °F	11 mph NNE
Mon 26	Overcast	52 / 64 °F	7 mph NW
Sun 25	Clear sky	56 / 65 °F	12 mph NE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	55 / 65 °F	13 mph NE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	55 / 65 °F	15 mph NE
Thu 22	Overcast	57 / 64 °F	15 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	57 / 63 °F	0	18 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	58 / 67 °F	0	21 mph N
Mon 19	Mainly clear	54 / 64 °F	0	19 mph NNE
Sun 18	Overcast	50 / 61 °F	0	21 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light rain	54 / 73 °F	0.74 in	25 mph N
Fri 16	Overcast	67 / 79 °F	0	18 mph SSW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	67 / 75 °F	0.02 in	19 mph NE
Wed 14	Mainly clear	70 / 80 °F	0	14 mph SW
Tue 13	Overcast	64 / 75 °F	0	12 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	66 / 72 °F	0.06 in	22 mph NW
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	71 / 75 °F	0.45 in	22 mph SE
Sat 10	Overcast	64 / 71 °F	0	18 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	64 / 74 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	64 / 76 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 7	Clear sky	55 / 67 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Tue 6	Clear sky	59 / 65 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	66 / 70 °F	0.04 in	12 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	68 / 73 °F	0.43 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 3	Light rain	66 / 76 °F	0.28 in	14 mph NNE
Fri 2	Overcast	71 / 81 °F	0	14 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	69 / 79 °F	0	12 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SSE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.02 in	5 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Cape CharlesQuestions

What's the weather like today in Cape Charles?

Overcast, from 55 °F to 70 °F, with a light air from the east (2 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Cape Charles?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 49 °F and a high of 70 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Cape Charles?

The best time to visit Cape Charles is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 85 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Cape Charles in October?

In October, Cape Charles normally sees highs of 70 °F and lows of 53 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.68 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Cape Charles?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 32 °F. The wettest is July (5.06 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Cape Charles?

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cape Charles, about 5 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Cape Charles today

Weather near Cape Charles

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:42 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from