Weather in South Padre Island

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:05 am (CDT)

Now · light drizzle 79 °F

Feels like: 83 °F
Low / high: 76 / 79 °F
Rain: 24%
Wind: 12 mph SE

→ 30.06 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in South Padre Island: light drizzle, 76 °F to 79 °F, with a 24% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 76 °F to 80 °F and a 13% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 81 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

79° 76°
Today
80° 76°
Fri 30
80° 77°
Sat 31
80° 77°
Sun 1
81° 77°
Mon 2
81° 76°
Tue 3
76° 73°
Wed 4
76° 71°
Thu 5
75° 71°
Fri 6
76° 73°
Sat 7
77° 66°
Sun 8
76° 58°
Mon 9
76° 64°
Tue 10
73° 60°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	76 / 79 °F	24%	15 mph ESE	2.5 ft	10:25 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	76 / 80 °F	13% · 0.01 in	13 mph SE	2.5 ft	11:41 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	77 / 80 °F	8%	9 mph ESE	1.9 ft	—	NBM
Sun 1	Drizzle	77 / 80 °F	3%	10 mph E	1.7 ft	12:34 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0%	16 mph SE	2.2 ft	12:01 am	NBM
Tue 3	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	23% · 0.02 in	19 mph SSE	2.8 ft	12:06 am · 11:59 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Drizzle	73 / 76 °F	23% · 0.03 in	16 mph NNW	2.3 ft	11:28 am · 11:44 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	71 / 76 °F	4%	15 mph NNW	3.5 ft	1:25 pm · 11:19 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Clear sky	71 / 75 °F	2%	14 mph ENE	3.7 ft	2:52 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Clear sky	73 / 76 °F	9% · 0.05 in	15 mph ESE	1.5 ft	4:01 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	66 / 77 °F	14% · 0.09 in	16 mph ESE	0.7 ft	5:01 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	58 / 76 °F	26%	9 mph NNE	0.7 ft	5:56 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	64 / 76 °F	24%	12 mph NNE	1.3 ft	6:52 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Clear sky	60 / 73 °F	31%	14 mph NNW	1.6 ft	7:49 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 8:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	79°	78°	79°	79°	76°	79°	78°	77°
Chance of rain	24%	7%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 SE	12 ESE	13 SE	12 SE	15 SSE	13 ESE	14 E	13 E
Humidity	84%	77%	73%	70%	84%	71%	69%	71%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	5	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	82°	83°	83°	83°	85°	85°	76°
AIFS	82°	83°	84°	84°	84°	85°	77°
GFS	79°	80°	80°	80°	80°	82°	75°
ICON	83°	85°	84°	83°	83°	87°	82°
HRRR	79°	79°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	79°	80°	80°	80°	81°	81°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.04 in	0	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.19 in	0.03 in
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.03 in	0.01 in	0.07 in	0.04 in	0	0.32 in	0.06 in
ICON	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.03 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1322	1120	915	923	1430	2132	1526
AIFS	13	11	8	8	15	15	17
GFS	1518	1516	1114	1215	1623	3028	1415
ICON	1019	1121	917	1222	1019	1426	918
HRRR	1719	1518	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1417	1315	912	1013	1619	1923	1619
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	16%	16%	58%	51%	22%	39%	31%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	88%	26%	23%	10%	2%	27%	26%
NBM (NOAA)	24%	13%	8%	3%	0%	23%	23%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	2%	7%	15%	10%	9%	23%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +24%	A bit above +0.9 °F	76° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +33%	A bit above +0.9 °F	73° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.4 °F	A bit above +33%	Normal +0.2 °F	71° / 68°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +26%	A bit above +1.1 °F
December	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F
January	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F
February	Normal −0.7 °F	A bit above +20%	Normal +0.2 °F
March	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

South Padre Island climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit South Padre Island is from March to May and in November: highs of 74 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to August, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of South Padre Island, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Harold, in August 2023.

65° 53°

JanJ
68° 56°

FebF
74° 62°

MarM
79° 68°

AprA
83° 73°

MayM
88° 77°

JunJ
89° 78°

JulJ
90° 78°

AugA
87° 75°

SepS
82° 70°

OctO
74° 62°

NovN
67° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	65°	53°	1.77 in	3	4.4	66°	4.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	68°	56°	1.26 in	3	5.0	65°	3.8 ft	–
MarchMar	74°	62°	0.79 in	4	5.7	67°	3.9 ft	–
AprilApr	79°	68°	1.06 in	4	6.9	72°	3.8 ft	–
MayMay	83°	73°	2.16 in	6	8.5	77°	3.7 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	77°	2.53 in	7	9.5	82°	3.3 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	78°	2.59 in	5	9.7	82°	2.8 ft	3
AugustAug	90°	78°	1.76 in	7	9.1	83°	2.7 ft	4
SeptemberSep	87°	75°	7.40 in	13	7.3	84°	3.0 ft	2
OctoberOct	82°	70°	3.37 in	7	6.6	81°	3.6 ft	–
NovemberNov	74°	62°	1.89 in	4	5.1	75°	4.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	67°	55°	1.58 in	4	4.2	70°	4.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	66°	4.1 ft	–
Feb	65°	3.8 ft	–
Mar	67°	3.9 ft	–
Apr	72°	3.8 ft	–
May	77°	3.7 ft	–
Jun	82°	3.3 ft	–
Jul	82°	2.8 ft	3
Aug	83°	2.7 ft	4
Sep	84°	3.0 ft	2
Oct	81°	3.6 ft	–
Nov	75°	4.1 ft	–
Dec	70°	4.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 28.16 in of rain on about 64 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 83 °F

Tomorrow76 / 80 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 83 °F). Today, 76 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 24%
Fri 30 13% 0.01 in
Sat 31 8%
Sun 1 3%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 23% 0.02 in
Wed 4 23% 0.03 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 24%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.35 in; last 7 days, 0.77 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds79%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.91

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 45

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	75 / 84 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 27	Drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.21 in	7 mph E
Mon 26	Drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.14 in	11 mph ENE
Sun 25	Overcast	77 / 84 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.02 in	16 mph ESE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	74 / 83 °F	0	11 mph E
Thu 22	Light showers	73 / 82 °F	0.39 in	10 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.08 in	10 mph NNE
Tue 20	Mainly clear	75 / 82 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	66 / 80 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	62 / 76 °F	0.05 in	16 mph NNW
Sat 17	Overcast	63 / 70 °F	0	23 mph NNW
Fri 16	Drizzle	71 / 84 °F	0.09 in	24 mph N
Thu 15	Mainly clear	79 / 87 °F	0	12 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	81 / 88 °F	0.06 in	17 mph SE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	82 / 89 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	81 / 88 °F	0.05 in	15 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.06 in	14 mph ESE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.01 in	11 mph E
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	75 / 86 °F	0	14 mph N
Thu 8	Light drizzle	81 / 88 °F	0.06 in	14 mph NNE
Wed 7	Light showers	77 / 83 °F	0.87 in	14 mph NNE
Tue 6	Light rain	77 / 83 °F	0.58 in	17 mph N
Mon 5	Showers	77 / 80 °F	1.27 in	15 mph N
Sun 4	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	1.09 in	14 mph N
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	78 / 85 °F	1.16 in	15 mph N
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.49 in	11 mph NE
Thu 1	Thunderstorm	83 / 91 °F	0.11 in	16 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	84 / 90 °F	0.05 in	15 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.06 in	15 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in South Padre IslandQuestions

What's the weather like today in South Padre Island?

Light drizzle, from 76 °F to 79 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southeast (12 mph) and a 24% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in South Padre Island?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 13% (0.01 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 81 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.06 inHg and steady: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit South Padre Island?

The best time to visit South Padre Island is from March to May and in November: highs of 74 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in South Padre Island in October?

In October, South Padre Island normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.37 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in South Padre Island?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is September (7.40 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in South Padre Island?

Hurricane season: from July to August, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of South Padre Island, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Harold, in August 2023.

More about South Padre Island today

Weather near South Padre Island

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:05 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from