TidePlanet

Weather in Surfside Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:51 pm (EDT)
Now · partly cloudy 67 °F
Feels like
66 °F
Low / high
53 / 76 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
11 mph NE
↗ 30.22 inHg · rising

Today in Surfside Beach: overcast, 53 °F to 76 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 76 °F and a 5% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 77 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (23%).

Measured now at the airport

Myrtle Beach (KMYR), 5.4 mi away · 58 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature67 °F
Wind9 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 53 / 76 °F 0% 11 mph NE 3.8 ft 9:33 am · 9:52 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Overcast 63 / 76 °F 5% 14 mph NE 4.0 ft 10:26 am · 10:47 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Overcast 59 / 77 °F 1% 8 mph NE 2.8 ft 11:24 am · 11:51 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 60 / 72 °F 0% 14 mph ENE 3.5 ft 12:28 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 58 / 72 °F 23% · 0.22 in 15 mph NE 3.6 ft 12:58 am · 12:31 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 61 / 72 °F 31% · 1.17 in 17 mph NE 3.8 ft 1:05 am · 1:34 pm NBM
Tue 3 Clear sky 61 / 74 °F 19% · 0.05 in 16 mph NE 3.9 ft 2:11 am · 2:36 pm NBM
Wed 4 Mainly clear 62 / 75 °F 19% · 0.04 in 14 mph ENE 3.9 ft 3:14 am · 3:34 pm NBM
Thu 5 Light drizzle 62 / 73 °F 31% · 0.67 in 12 mph ESE 3.5 ft 4:11 am · 4:28 pm NBM
Fri 6 Drizzle 58 / 72 °F 24% · 0.21 in 9 mph WSW 3.1 ft 5:01 am · 5:16 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light drizzle 53 / 69 °F 5% · 0.02 in 9 mph NW 2.6 ft 5:46 am · 6:00 pm NBM
Sun 8 Light drizzle 50 / 68 °F 8% · 0.02 in 11 mph N 2.8 ft 6:28 am · 6:41 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Mainly clear 51 / 65 °F 10% 10 mph N 2.8 ft 7:06 am · 7:20 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 48 / 67 °F 11% 7 mph N 2.2 ft 7:43 am · 7:57 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 5:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClearClear skyMainly clearMainly clearMainly clearOvercast
Temperature 55°54°56°59°74°76°71°68°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 6 NNW7 N8 NNE8 NNE10 NNE11 ENE9 ENE10 NE
Humidity 81%74%91%100%71%71%81%79%
UV 00015300
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 78°79°80°72°74°74°78°
AIFS 76°76°77°70°71°72°75°
GFS 78°80°81°72°74°71°75°
ICON 76°79°79°72°73°72°71°
HRRR 76°76°—————
NBM 75°76°77°72°72°72°74°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000.02 in
GFS 0000000
ICON 000000.41 in1.78 in
HRRR 00—————
NBM 00.02 in000.22 in1.17 in0.05 in
Confidence highhighhighhighhighlowlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 9238207179219239261029
AIFS 1111711111113
GFS 12259247131326152811251323
ICON 921719513921102411261127
HRRR 11241423—————
NBM 142111188121421152217241623
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 20%2%0%0%3%14%6%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%22%46%29%
NBM (NOAA) 0%5%1%0%23%31%19%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%0%2%3%3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +6.1 °F Above +76% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit below −0.9 °F A bit above +48% 66° / 52°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +0.9 °F Normal 66° / 53°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +0.9 °F Above +65% 64° / 53°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal +0.2 °F Above +98% 61° / 50°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.3 °F Above +68%
December Normal +0.5 °F Above +55%
January Normal −0.2 °F Above +75%
February Normal −0.5 °F Above +81%
March Normal +0.2 °F A bit above +47%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Surfside Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Surfside Beach is from October to March: highs of 35 °F to 37 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 32 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Surfside Beach, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 35° 32° 3.71 in 9 4.9 61° 2.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 36° 33° 3.34 in 8 5.1 60° 2.2 ft –
MarchMar 36° 32° 3.78 in 9 6.6 61° 2.2 ft –
AprilApr 37° 34° 3.44 in 8 7.8 65° 2.2 ft –
MayMay 37° 34° 4.16 in 11 8.6 72° 2.0 ft 3
JuneJun 38° 35° 5.69 in 15 8.1 79° 1.9 ft 4
JulyJul 38° 35° 6.72 in 18 8.2 82° 1.9 ft 5
AugustAug 38° 35° 7.58 in 18 7.6 82° 1.8 ft 8
SeptemberSep 37° 34° 6.69 in 12 6.2 80° 2.3 ft 8
OctoberOct 37° 34° 3.72 in 8 6.0 75° 2.2 ft 3
NovemberNov 35° 32° 3.26 in 7 5.7 68° 2.3 ft 1
DecemberDec 35° 32° 3.85 in 8 4.5 64° 2.2 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 61° 2.1 ft –
Feb 60° 2.2 ft –
Mar 61° 2.2 ft –
Apr 65° 2.2 ft –
May 72° 2.0 ft 3
Jun 79° 1.9 ft 4
Jul 82° 1.9 ft 5
Aug 82° 1.8 ft 8
Sep 80° 2.3 ft 8
Oct 75° 2.2 ft 3
Nov 68° 2.3 ft 1
Dec 64° 2.2 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.93 in of rain on about 128 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now67 °Ffeels like 66 °F
Tomorrow63 / 76 °F

It's 67 °F now (feels like 66 °F). Today, 53 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 5%
  • Fri 30 1%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 23% 0.22 in
  • Mon 2 31% 1.17 in
  • Tue 3 19% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 23% and 0.22 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity82%
Dew point61 °F

Humidity is 82% now and the dew point is 61 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood
Clouds69%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 45
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Partly cloudy46 / 75 °F07 mph NNE
Mon 26 Clear sky51 / 74 °F010 mph NNE
Sun 25 Mainly clear56 / 75 °F013 mph NE
Sat 24 Overcast53 / 73 °F011 mph NNE
Fri 23 Clear sky44 / 71 °F09 mph NNE
Thu 22 Clear sky43 / 72 °F07 mph N
Wed 21 Mainly clear48 / 73 °F09 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Clear sky47 / 75 °F09 mph N
Mon 19 Clear sky48 / 68 °F011 mph N
Sun 18 Clear sky47 / 66 °F014 mph NNE
Sat 17 Drizzle53 / 74 °F0.13 in15 mph NNW
Fri 16 Mainly clear66 / 86 °F010 mph SW
Thu 15 Partly cloudy65 / 88 °F06 mph SW
Wed 14 Overcast60 / 87 °F06 mph SW
Tue 13 Clear sky61 / 85 °F05 mph NNW
Mon 12 Clear sky63 / 84 °F09 mph WNW
Sun 11 Thunderstorm67 / 82 °F0.74 in12 mph SSW
Sat 10 Rain68 / 76 °F1.81 in18 mph ENE
Fri 9 Overcast61 / 77 °F010 mph NNE
Thu 8 Overcast56 / 80 °F04 mph NNE
Wed 7 Overcast58 / 78 °F08 mph NNE
Tue 6 Overcast60 / 78 °F011 mph NE
Mon 5 Drizzle65 / 69 °F0.35 in7 mph N
Sun 4 Light showers70 / 74 °F0.67 in6 mph NW
Sat 3 Light showers72 / 78 °F0.53 in5 mph SSW
Fri 2 Light drizzle68 / 88 °F0.07 in7 mph SSW
Thu 1 Light drizzle64 / 85 °F0.07 in5 mph E
Wed 30 Mainly clear60 / 85 °F05 mph ENE
Tue 29 Mainly clear59 / 85 °F04 mph N
Mon 28 Mainly clear55 / 84 °F05 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Surfside BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Surfside Beach?

Overcast, from 53 °F to 76 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Surfside Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 5% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 53 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.22 inHg and rising: −0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Surfside Beach?

The best time to visit Surfside Beach is from October to March: highs of 35 °F to 37 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Surfside Beach in October?

In October, Surfside Beach normally sees highs of 37 °F and lows of 34 °F, with about 8 rainy days (3.72 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 75 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Surfside Beach?

The warmest is June, with average highs of 38 °F, and the coldest November, with lows of 32 °F. The wettest is August (7.58 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Surfside Beach?

Hurricane season: from June to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 32 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Surfside Beach, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

More about Surfside Beach today

Weather near Surfside Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:51 pm (local time).

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