Weather in Winchester Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:40 pm (PDT)

Now · overcast 51 °F

Feels like: 49 °F
Low / high: 49 / 57 °F
Rain: 42%
Wind: 5 mph SSW

→ 30.09 inHg · steady

Today in Winchester Bay: light drizzle, 49 °F to 57 °F, with a 42% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 45 °F to 56 °F and a 13% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 61 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

57° 49°
Today
56° 45°
Thu 29
56° 41°
Fri 30
56° 39°
Sat 31
57° 40°
Sun 1
60° 40°
Mon 2
61° 42°
Tue 3
61° 43°
Wed 4
59° 45°
Thu 5
58° 46°
Fri 6
59° 47°
Sat 7
64° 47°
Sun 8
65° 51°
Mon 9
61° 50°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	49 / 57 °F	42%	9 mph SSW	6.8 ft	2:43 am · 1:52 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	45 / 56 °F	13% · 0.01 in	8 mph S	6.8 ft	3:38 am · 2:38 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	41 / 56 °F	18%	6 mph SSW	5.1 ft	4:36 am · 3:30 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	39 / 56 °F	32% · 0.02 in	3 mph S	4.0 ft	5:39 am · 4:30 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	40 / 57 °F	5%	3 mph NNE	5.2 ft	5:45 am · 4:41 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	40 / 60 °F	8%	3 mph E	8.0 ft	6:48 am · 6:02 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	42 / 61 °F	8%	3 mph NE	7.9 ft	7:44 am · 7:25 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	43 / 61 °F	18%	3 mph SSW	6.5 ft	8:30 am · 8:41 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light rain	45 / 59 °F	26%	3 mph S	7.3 ft	9:10 am · 9:47 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light rain	46 / 58 °F	33% · 0.15 in	4 mph SSW	9.8 ft	9:47 am · 10:44 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	47 / 59 °F	30% · 0.19 in	6 mph SSW	12 ft	10:21 am · 11:34 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	47 / 64 °F	33% · 0.16 in	7 mph ESE	12 ft	10:54 am	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	51 / 65 °F	32% · 0.09 in	7 mph ESE	12 ft	12:20 am · 11:26 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	50 / 61 °F	45%	7 mph ESE	12 ft	1:03 am · 11:58 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 1:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 11:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy
Temperature	49°	49°	50°	51°	55°	57°	53°	51°
Chance of rain	3%	21%	25%	21%	7%	3%	1%	4%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 S	7 S	8 S	9 S	7 SSW	6 SW	5 SW	4 S
Humidity	86%	88%	83%	86%	90%	76%	88%	94%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	55°	55°	56°	54°	58°	59°	67°
AIFS	55°	55°	55°	53°	55°	58°	59°
GFS	58°	59°	54°	57°	60°	64°	65°
ICON	54°	55°	54°	52°	55°	60°	64°
HRRR	57°	55°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	57°	56°	56°	56°	57°	60°	61°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.14 in	0.12 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0	0	0
GFS	0.05 in	0	0.01 in	0.05 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.14 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.04 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.13 in	0.02 in	0	0.02 in	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	820	717	921	714	821	1229	1019
AIFS	9	5	6	3	5	6	4
GFS	816	66	810	915	725	927	56
ICON	717	717	817	37	48	511	49
HRRR	920	820	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	512	35	611	36	35	36	34
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	67%	28%	53%	12%	10%	9%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	3%	36%	39%	12%	5%	16%
NBM (NOAA)	42%	13%	18%	32%	5%	8%	8%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	0%	4%	7%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal 0.0 °F	Below −51%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.4 °F	Above +61%	56° / 48°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +29%	54° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	53° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	52° / 43°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +38%
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +27%
March	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +34%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Winchester Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Winchester Bay is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

52° 40°

JanJ
54° 40°

FebF
56° 40°

MarM
59° 42°

AprA
63° 46°

MayM
66° 49°

JunJ
70° 52°

JulJ
71° 53°

AugA
70° 50°

SepS
65° 46°

OctO
57° 43°

NovN
52° 40°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	52°	40°	10.54 in	17	2.2	50°	9.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	54°	40°	7.87 in	15	3.7	50°	8.8 ft
MarchMar	56°	40°	8.74 in	16	4.5	50°	8.4 ft
AprilApr	59°	42°	5.43 in	14	5.5	52°	7.4 ft
MayMay	63°	46°	3.47 in	9	7.1	53°	5.9 ft
JuneJun	66°	49°	2.11 in	5	7.8	55°	5.3 ft
JulyJul	70°	52°	0.47 in	1	9.5	55°	5.0 ft
AugustAug	71°	53°	0.74 in	2	8.5	55°	4.7 ft
SeptemberSep	70°	50°	1.80 in	4	7.3	55°	5.7 ft
OctoberOct	65°	46°	5.50 in	10	4.4	54°	7.1 ft
NovemberNov	57°	43°	9.92 in	17	2.4	53°	8.7 ft
DecemberDec	52°	40°	11.63 in	18	1.7	51°	9.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	50°	9.5 ft
Feb	50°	8.8 ft
Mar	50°	8.4 ft
Apr	52°	7.4 ft
May	53°	5.9 ft
Jun	55°	5.3 ft
Jul	55°	5.0 ft
Aug	55°	4.7 ft
Sep	55°	5.7 ft
Oct	54°	7.1 ft
Nov	53°	8.7 ft
Dec	51°	9.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 68.22 in of rain on about 127 days and about 1,950 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now51 °Ffeels like 49 °F

Tomorrow45 / 56 °F

It's 51 °F now (feels like 49 °F). Today, 49 °F to 57 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 56 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 42%
Thu 29 13% 0.01 in
Fri 30 18%
Sat 31 32% 0.02 in
Sun 1 5%
Mon 2 8%
Tue 3 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 42%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.74 in; last 7 days, 1.22 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 49 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.2 migood

Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (8.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.20 29.89

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 38

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light rain	46 / 55 °F	0.48 in	9 mph WSW
Mon 26	Drizzle	50 / 58 °F	0.39 in	13 mph SW
Sun 25	Rain	44 / 54 °F	0.63 in	12 mph SSW
Sat 24	Overcast	42 / 64 °F	0	9 mph E
Fri 23	Overcast	41 / 61 °F	0	9 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	47 / 61 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	46 / 72 °F	0	9 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	48 / 74 °F	0	9 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	45 / 63 °F	0.01 in	6 mph SW
Sun 18	Overcast	43 / 64 °F	0	5 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	51 / 65 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNW
Fri 16	Overcast	49 / 75 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Thu 15	Clear sky	53 / 83 °F	0	14 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	45 / 73 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Overcast	40 / 69 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Mon 12	Overcast	40 / 63 °F	0	8 mph NE
Sun 11	Clear sky	42 / 62 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	45 / 60 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	49 / 64 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNW
Thu 8	Clear sky	53 / 70 °F	0	6 mph N
Wed 7	Clear sky	55 / 75 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	53 / 74 °F	0	6 mph NE
Mon 5	Overcast	53 / 69 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Sun 4	Overcast	55 / 75 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	55 / 72 °F	0	6 mph N
Fri 2	Overcast	52 / 71 °F	0	7 mph NW
Thu 1	Overcast	54 / 74 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Wed 30	Overcast	57 / 73 °F	0	7 mph N
Tue 29	Overcast	50 / 70 °F	0	6 mph SSW
Mon 28	Overcast	44 / 65 °F	0	8 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Winchester BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Winchester Bay?

Light drizzle, from 49 °F to 57 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph) and a 42% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Winchester Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 13% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 39 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Winchester Bay?

The best time to visit Winchester Bay is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Winchester Bay in October?

In October, Winchester Bay normally sees highs of 65 °F and lows of 46 °F, with about 10 rainy days (5.50 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 54 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Winchester Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 40 °F. The wettest is December (11.63 in) and the driest, July.

More about Winchester Bay today

Weather near Winchester Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:40 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from