Weather in Caswell Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:14 am (EDT)

Now · clear sky 62 °F

Feels like: 61 °F
Low / high: 60 / 76 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 10 mph NNE

→ 30.21 inHg · steady

Today in Caswell Beach: partly cloudy, 60 °F to 76 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 61 °F to 75 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 76 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (21%).

Measured now at the airport

Southport/Cape Fear Rgnl (KSUT), 2.6 mi away · 19 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature59 °F

Wind7 mph from the north

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

76° 60°
Today
75° 61°
Fri 30
69° 63°
Sat 31
71° 60°
Sun 1
72° 64°
Mon 2
74° 65°
Tue 3
75° 66°
Wed 4
74° 67°
Thu 5
71° 63°
Fri 6
68° 58°
Sat 7
67° 54°
Sun 8
70° 48°
Mon 9
73° 60°
Tue 10
69° 56°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Partly cloudy	60 / 76 °F	4%	14 mph NE	4.5 ft	10:24 am · 10:36 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Mainly clear	61 / 75 °F	1%	11 mph NE	3.3 ft	11:23 am · 11:41 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	63 / 69 °F	0%	19 mph NE	3.9 ft	12:25 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	60 / 71 °F	2%	17 mph NE	3.9 ft	12:51 am · 12:27 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	64 / 72 °F	21% · 0.14 in	16 mph NE	4.3 ft	12:58 am · 1:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Mainly clear	65 / 74 °F	10%	16 mph NE	4.4 ft	2:02 am · 2:29 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Drizzle	66 / 75 °F	12%	14 mph ENE	4.3 ft	3:03 am · 3:28 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Thunderstorm	67 / 74 °F	28% · 0.71 in	12 mph SE	4.2 ft	3:59 am · 4:22 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	63 / 71 °F	22% · 0.17 in	12 mph WSW	5.8 ft	4:48 am · 5:11 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Mainly clear	58 / 68 °F	16% · 0.24 in	12 mph WNW	6.0 ft	5:33 am · 5:56 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	54 / 67 °F	13% · 0.06 in	12 mph N	3.8 ft	6:14 am · 6:36 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	48 / 70 °F	11%	9 mph SW	2.6 ft	6:53 am · 7:14 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	60 / 73 °F	18%	13 mph WSW	3.5 ft	7:31 am · 7:52 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	56 / 69 °F	20%	7 mph NNE	2.7 ft	8:09 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 3:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	66°	63°	61°	65°	73°	76°	71°	67°
Chance of rain	4%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 NNE	9 NNE	9 NNE	11 NE	14 NE	13 NE	11 ENE	7 NE
Humidity	84%	91%	90%	85%	71%	67%	80%	88%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	75°	76°	69°	69°	70°	73°	75°
AIFS	74°	75°	69°	69°	70°	74°	74°
GFS	78°	80°	68°	71°	69°	75°	77°
ICON	78°	80°	72°	71°	72°	76°	76°
HRRR	76°	77°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	74°	75°	69°	71°	72°	74°	75°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.11 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.09 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0	0.08 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0.14 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1327	919	1328	1328	1231	1434	1533
AIFS	14	10	17	16	16	15	14
GFS	1025	715	1323	1423	1526	1530	1530
ICON	923	617	1126	1128	1230	1230	1228
HRRR	1425	915	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1720	1113	1921	1720	1619	1619	1417
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	2%	0%	0%	1%	10%	8%	34%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	3%	13%	20%	42%
NBM (NOAA)	4%	1%	0%	2%	21%	10%	12%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	4%	8%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.5 °F	Above +64%	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.7 °F	A bit above +40%	Normal −0.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	64° / 58°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +61%	Normal −0.2 °F	62° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +99%	Normal −0.4 °F	60° / 55°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +63%	—
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +51%	—
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +72%	—
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Above +79%	—
March	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +47%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Caswell Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Caswell Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Caswell Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

56° 36°

JanJ
59° 38°

FebF
66° 44°

MarM
73° 53°

AprA
80° 61°

MayM
86° 69°

JunJ
89° 73°

JulJ
88° 71°

AugA
84° 67°

SepS
76° 56°

OctO
68° 46°

NovN
60° 39°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	56°	36°	3.94 in	8	4.9	59°	3.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	59°	38°	3.77 in	7	5.0	58°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	66°	44°	4.05 in	8	6.6	60°	3.2 ft	–
AprilApr	73°	53°	3.62 in	7	7.7	65°	3.2 ft	–
MayMay	80°	61°	3.97 in	10	8.5	72°	2.8 ft	3
JuneJun	86°	69°	5.56 in	13	8.0	79°	2.7 ft	2
JulyJul	89°	73°	7.05 in	16	8.0	82°	2.8 ft	5
AugustAug	88°	71°	8.06 in	16	7.3	82°	2.6 ft	9
SeptemberSep	84°	67°	9.31 in	12	5.9	80°	3.2 ft	10
OctoberOct	76°	56°	4.04 in	7	5.8	74°	3.2 ft	3
NovemberNov	68°	46°	3.80 in	7	5.4	68°	3.3 ft	1
DecemberDec	60°	39°	4.11 in	8	4.5	62°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	59°	3.2 ft	–
Feb	58°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	60°	3.2 ft	–
Apr	65°	3.2 ft	–
May	72°	2.8 ft	3
Jun	79°	2.7 ft	2
Jul	82°	2.8 ft	5
Aug	82°	2.6 ft	9
Sep	80°	3.2 ft	10
Oct	74°	3.2 ft	3
Nov	68°	3.3 ft	1
Dec	62°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 61.26 in of rain on about 118 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now62 °Ffeels like 61 °F

Tomorrow61 / 75 °F

It's 62 °F now (feels like 61 °F). Today, 60 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 61 °F to 75 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 21% 0.14 in
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 21% and 0.14 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 59 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.7 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (8.7 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.30 30.11

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.09 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 46

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	56 / 75 °F	14 mph NNE
Tue 27	Overcast	49 / 73 °F	9 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	52 / 73 °F	13 mph N
Sun 25	Clear sky	59 / 72 °F	20 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	57 / 72 °F	17 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	46 / 71 °F	15 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	44 / 71 °F	8 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	51 / 73 °F	0	11 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 75 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	50 / 69 °F	0	15 mph N
Sun 18	Mainly clear	48 / 67 °F	0	17 mph N
Sat 17	Drizzle	51 / 76 °F	0.30 in	21 mph NNW
Fri 16	Clear sky	71 / 83 °F	0	13 mph SW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	69 / 86 °F	0	9 mph SW
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	67 / 85 °F	0	8 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	62 / 82 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 12	Clear sky	64 / 84 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	69 / 79 °F	0.56 in	18 mph SSW
Sat 10	Rain	72 / 78 °F	1.10 in	20 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 77 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	58 / 80 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Wed 7	Overcast	60 / 77 °F	0	11 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	63 / 75 °F	0	16 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	66 / 70 °F	0.20 in	10 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	70 / 77 °F	0.66 in	6 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.12 in	8 mph SW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	69 / 86 °F	0.05 in	7 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.07 in	7 mph ENE
Wed 30	Mainly clear	62 / 84 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Tue 29	Overcast	59 / 82 °F	0	7 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Caswell BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Caswell Beach?

Partly cloudy, from 60 °F to 76 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Caswell Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 60 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.21 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Caswell Beach?

The best time to visit Caswell Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Caswell Beach in October?

In October, Caswell Beach normally sees highs of 76 °F and lows of 56 °F, with about 7 rainy days (4.04 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Caswell Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is September (9.31 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Caswell Beach?

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Caswell Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

More about Caswell Beach today

Weather near Caswell Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:14 am (local time).

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