Weather in Carolina Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:36 am (EDT)

Now · overcast 65 °F

Feels like: 65 °F
Low / high: 65 / 74 °F
Rain: 6%
Wind: 12 mph NE

→ 30.20 inHg · steady

Today in Carolina Beach: overcast, 65 °F to 74 °F, with a 6% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the northeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 60 °F to 74 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 74 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (26%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

74° 65°
Today
74° 60°
Fri 30
69° 61°
Sat 31
71° 60°
Sun 1
72° 63°
Mon 2
74° 64°
Tue 3
74° 64°
Wed 4
74° 64°
Thu 5
71° 60°
Fri 6
69° 56°
Sat 7
68° 53°
Sun 8
66° 53°
Mon 9
69° 50°
Tue 10
72° 56°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	65 / 74 °F	6%	14 mph NE	5.1 ft	10:31 am · 10:50 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	60 / 74 °F	1%	10 mph NE	3.9 ft	11:28 am · 11:49 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	61 / 69 °F	0%	16 mph NE	4.3 ft	12:29 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	60 / 71 °F	5%	16 mph NE	4.3 ft	12:56 am · 12:35 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	63 / 72 °F	26% · 0.73 in	16 mph NE	4.3 ft	1:09 am · 1:43 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	64 / 74 °F	12%	15 mph NE	4.9 ft	2:20 am · 2:47 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	64 / 74 °F	22% · 0.20 in	13 mph NE	5.2 ft	3:24 am · 3:46 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	64 / 74 °F	28% · 0.47 in	12 mph E	5.3 ft	4:19 am · 4:39 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Rain	60 / 71 °F	17% · 0.03 in	10 mph WSW	4.2 ft	5:08 am · 5:27 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	56 / 69 °F	12% · 0.05 in	10 mph WNW	3.9 ft	5:53 am · 6:11 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	53 / 68 °F	6% · 0.02 in	13 mph NNW	6.2 ft	6:34 am · 6:52 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	53 / 66 °F	8%	13 mph N	5.6 ft	7:13 am · 7:31 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	50 / 69 °F	11%	10 mph N	4.4 ft	7:51 am · 8:09 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	56 / 72 °F	18%	8 mph NNW	3.5 ft	8:29 am · 8:48 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	66°	65°	67°	67°	71°	73°	70°	68°
Chance of rain	2%	5%	4%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 NE	10 NNE	11 NE	9 NNE	14 NE	12 ENE	9 ENE	9 NE
Humidity	92%	89%	89%	88%	83%	78%	82%	88%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	76°	76°	68°	70°	70°	74°	78°
AIFS	74°	75°	68°	69°	71°	74°	74°
GFS	78°	79°	71°	73°	69°	72°	79°
ICON	79°	81°	73°	74°	74°	72°	74°
HRRR	74°	75°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	74°	74°	69°	71°	72°	74°	74°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.00 in	0.06 in	0.11 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.28 in	5.15 in	0.74 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0.73 in	0	0.20 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	low	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1326	818	1328	1329	1231	1434	1228
AIFS	15	10	17	16	16	15	14
GFS	1024	815	1324	1324	1223	1223	1327
ICON	1024	617	1125	1127	1127	1227	1128
HRRR	1424	715	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1420	1013	1621	1621	1621	1521	1318
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	0%	0%	6%	11%	6%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	3%	0%	0%	16%	43%	27%	40%
NBM (NOAA)	6%	1%	0%	5%	26%	12%	22%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	3%	5%	5%	4%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +5.9 °F	Above +71%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	A bit above +42%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	65° / 52°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +58%	63° / 52°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +94%	60° / 50°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +62%
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +55%
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +76%
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Above +80%
March	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +43%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Carolina Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carolina Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 35 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carolina Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

56° 36°

JanJ
59° 38°

FebF
65° 44°

MarM
73° 52°

AprA
80° 61°

MayM
86° 69°

JunJ
89° 72°

JulJ
87° 71°

AugA
84° 66°

SepS
76° 55°

OctO
67° 46°

NovN
60° 39°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	56°	36°	3.89 in	8	4.9	60°	3.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	59°	38°	3.74 in	7	5.1	58°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	65°	44°	3.96 in	8	6.4	60°	3.2 ft	–
AprilApr	73°	52°	3.63 in	7	7.6	65°	3.2 ft	–
MayMay	80°	61°	3.94 in	10	8.3	71°	2.8 ft	3
JuneJun	86°	69°	5.62 in	13	7.8	78°	2.7 ft	3
JulyJul	89°	72°	7.55 in	16	7.8	81°	2.8 ft	5
AugustAug	87°	71°	7.88 in	16	7.2	82°	2.6 ft	9
SeptemberSep	84°	66°	8.65 in	12	5.9	80°	3.2 ft	11
OctoberOct	76°	55°	3.63 in	7	5.8	74°	3.2 ft	3
NovemberNov	67°	46°	3.88 in	7	5.4	68°	3.3 ft	1
DecemberDec	60°	39°	4.00 in	8	4.5	62°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	60°	3.2 ft	–
Feb	58°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	60°	3.2 ft	–
Apr	65°	3.2 ft	–
May	71°	2.8 ft	3
Jun	78°	2.7 ft	3
Jul	81°	2.8 ft	5
Aug	82°	2.6 ft	9
Sep	80°	3.2 ft	11
Oct	74°	3.2 ft	3
Nov	68°	3.3 ft	1
Dec	62°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.36 in of rain on about 118 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now65 °Ffeels like 65 °F

Tomorrow60 / 74 °F

It's 65 °F now (feels like 65 °F). Today, 65 °F to 74 °F; tomorrow, 60 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 6%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 5%
Mon 2 26% 0.73 in
Tue 3 12%
Wed 4 22% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 6%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 26% and 0.73 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point63 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 63 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.2 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (8.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.30 30.11

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 48

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	56 / 75 °F	14 mph NE
Tue 27	Overcast	49 / 73 °F	9 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	52 / 73 °F	13 mph N
Sun 25	Clear sky	59 / 72 °F	20 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	57 / 72 °F	17 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	46 / 71 °F	15 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	44 / 71 °F	8 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	51 / 73 °F	0	11 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 75 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	50 / 69 °F	0	15 mph N
Sun 18	Mainly clear	48 / 67 °F	0	17 mph N
Sat 17	Drizzle	51 / 76 °F	0.30 in	21 mph NNW
Fri 16	Clear sky	71 / 83 °F	0	13 mph SW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	69 / 86 °F	0	9 mph SW
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	67 / 85 °F	0	8 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	62 / 82 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 12	Clear sky	64 / 84 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	69 / 79 °F	0.56 in	18 mph SSW
Sat 10	Rain	72 / 78 °F	1.10 in	20 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 77 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	58 / 80 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Wed 7	Overcast	60 / 77 °F	0	11 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	63 / 75 °F	0	16 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	66 / 70 °F	0.20 in	10 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	70 / 77 °F	0.66 in	6 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.12 in	8 mph SW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	69 / 86 °F	0.05 in	7 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.07 in	7 mph ENE
Wed 30	Mainly clear	62 / 84 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Tue 29	Overcast	59 / 82 °F	0	7 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Carolina BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carolina Beach?

Overcast, from 65 °F to 74 °F, with a moderate breeze from the northeast (12 mph) and a 6% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carolina Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 60 °F and a high of 74 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.20 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carolina Beach?

The best time to visit Carolina Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carolina Beach in October?

In October, Carolina Beach normally sees highs of 76 °F and lows of 55 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.63 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carolina Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is September (8.65 in) and the driest, October.

When is hurricane season in Carolina Beach?

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 35 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carolina Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

More about Carolina Beach today

Weather near Carolina Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:36 am (local time).

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