Weather in Bogue

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:04 pm (EDT)

Now · overcast 66 °F

Feels like: 65 °F
Low / high: 57 / 76 °F
Rain: 5%
Wind: 11 mph NE

→ 30.25 inHg · steady

Today in Bogue: light drizzle, 57 °F to 76 °F, with a 5% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 61 °F to 76 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 77 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (29%).

Measured now at the airport

Swansboro/Bogue Fld (KNJM), 0.6 mi away · 13 min ago

Visibility8.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature69 °F

Wind12 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

76° 57°
Today
76° 61°
Thu 29
77° 55°
Fri 30
70° 54°
Sat 31
72° 54°
Sun 1
72° 58°
Mon 2
74° 59°
Tue 3
75° 60°
Wed 4
74° 60°
Thu 5
72° 58°
Fri 6
69° 52°
Sat 7
68° 49°
Sun 8
66° 52°
Mon 9
69° 50°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	57 / 76 °F	5%	13 mph NE	2.8 ft	9:34 am · 9:52 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	61 / 76 °F	2%	10 mph NE	2.8 ft	10:26 am · 10:45 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	55 / 77 °F	1%	6 mph NNE	2.4 ft	11:23 am · 11:44 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	54 / 70 °F	0%	11 mph NE	1.8 ft	12:24 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	54 / 72 °F	5%	11 mph NE	1.7 ft	12:51 am · 12:30 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	58 / 72 °F	29% · 0.54 in	12 mph NE	2.0 ft	1:04 am · 1:38 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	59 / 74 °F	19%	13 mph NE	2.6 ft	2:15 am · 2:42 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	60 / 75 °F	21% · 0.02 in	11 mph NE	2.4 ft	3:19 am · 3:41 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	60 / 74 °F	32% · 0.77 in	11 mph SE	4.6 ft	4:14 am · 4:34 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	58 / 72 °F	22% · 0.24 in	9 mph WSW	5.6 ft	5:03 am · 5:22 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	52 / 69 °F	9% · 0.06 in	9 mph NNW	4.0 ft	5:48 am · 6:06 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Rain	49 / 68 °F	8% · 0.75 in	14 mph NNE	5.3 ft	6:29 am · 6:47 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	52 / 66 °F	10% · 0.13 in	12 mph N	4.5 ft	7:08 am · 7:26 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	50 / 69 °F	10%	10 mph NNE	3.6 ft	7:46 am · 8:04 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	57°	61°	60°	64°	73°	76°	69°	64°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	4%	1%	3%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NE	7 NNE	6 NNE	9 NNE	13 NE	13 NE	12 ENE	9 NE
Humidity	91%	95%	94%	90%	73%	70%	73%	91%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	74°	72°	76°	69°	71°	73°	75°
AIFS	74°	76°	79°	70°	71°	72°	73°
GFS	74°	78°	79°	71°	73°	68°	68°
ICON	73°	77°	78°	69°	73°	71°	70°
HRRR	76°	76°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	73°	76°	77°	70°	72°	72°	74°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
GFS	0.00 in	0	0	0	0	0.22 in	1.31 in
ICON	0.00 in	0	0	0	0	0.11 in	2.67 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0.54 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1326	919	714	1021	927	925	1226
AIFS	13	11	7	12	11	11	15
GFS	1325	922	611	1325	1123	1429	1732
ICON	1125	1021	613	1022	920	1021	1430
HRRR	1327	1022	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1221	916	611	1120	1120	1223	1325
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	22%	0%	0%	0%	4%	10%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	13%	3%	0%	0%	14%	58%	26%
NBM (NOAA)	5%	2%	1%	0%	5%	29%	19%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	4%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.1 °F	Above +59%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +29%	65° / 51°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	65° / 52°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +44%	62° / 51°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +78%	60° / 49°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +60%
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +56%
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +73%
February	Normal 0.0 °F	Above +70%
March	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +42%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Bogue climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Bogue is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 30 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Bogue, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

55° 36°

JanJ
58° 38°

FebF
65° 44°

MarM
73° 52°

AprA
80° 61°

MayM
85° 69°

JunJ
88° 72°

JulJ
87° 71°

AugA
83° 66°

SepS
75° 55°

OctO
67° 45°

NovN
59° 39°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	55°	36°	4.28 in	9	4.8	61°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	58°	38°	3.89 in	8	4.8	59°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	65°	44°	3.68 in	9	6.2	60°	3.2 ft	–
AprilApr	73°	52°	3.46 in	8	7.1	64°	3.3 ft	–
MayMay	80°	61°	4.52 in	10	7.9	70°	2.9 ft	2
JuneJun	85°	69°	5.90 in	13	7.5	77°	2.7 ft	2
JulyJul	88°	72°	7.19 in	16	7.5	81°	2.8 ft	3
AugustAug	87°	71°	7.32 in	16	6.9	82°	2.6 ft	7
SeptemberSep	83°	66°	7.30 in	12	5.6	80°	3.1 ft	12
OctoberOct	75°	55°	3.94 in	7	5.7	74°	3.0 ft	3
NovemberNov	67°	45°	4.55 in	7	5.1	68°	3.1 ft	1
DecemberDec	59°	39°	4.05 in	8	4.4	63°	3.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	61°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	59°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	60°	3.2 ft	–
Apr	64°	3.3 ft	–
May	70°	2.9 ft	2
Jun	77°	2.7 ft	2
Jul	81°	2.8 ft	3
Aug	82°	2.6 ft	7
Sep	80°	3.1 ft	12
Oct	74°	3.0 ft	3
Nov	68°	3.1 ft	1
Dec	63°	3.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.06 in of rain on about 123 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now66 °Ffeels like 65 °F

Tomorrow61 / 76 °F

It's 66 °F now (feels like 65 °F). Today, 57 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 61 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 5%
Thu 29 2%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 5%
Mon 2 29% 0.54 in
Tue 3 19%

Today the chance of rain reaches 5%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 29% and 0.54 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 59 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.30 30.11

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.10 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 42

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Mainly clear	47 / 73 °F	8 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	53 / 72 °F	11 mph NNE
Sun 25	Mainly clear	58 / 71 °F	16 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	56 / 72 °F	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	46 / 71 °F	13 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	44 / 69 °F	8 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	51 / 70 °F	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 72 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Mainly clear	52 / 67 °F	0	17 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	49 / 66 °F	0	18 mph N
Sat 17	Rain	50 / 76 °F	0.59 in	18 mph NNW
Fri 16	Partly cloudy	69 / 81 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	67 / 86 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Wed 14	Clear sky	65 / 84 °F	0	9 mph SW
Tue 13	Clear sky	63 / 80 °F	0	6 mph S
Mon 12	Mainly clear	65 / 82 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Showers	72 / 77 °F	0.84 in	18 mph S
Sat 10	Rain	69 / 78 °F	1.09 in	17 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 79 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	59 / 78 °F	0	4 mph W
Wed 7	Overcast	57 / 76 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Tue 6	Overcast	59 / 75 °F	0	11 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	63 / 70 °F	0.24 in	8 mph N
Sun 4	Rain	67 / 78 °F	0.81 in	9 mph NW
Sat 3	Showers	72 / 82 °F	1.30 in	7 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	64 / 83 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Overcast	64 / 83 °F	0	7 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	63 / 81 °F	0	7 mph SE
Mon 28	Clear sky	60 / 80 °F	0	7 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in BogueQuestions

What's the weather like today in Bogue?

Light drizzle, from 57 °F to 76 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph) and a 5% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Bogue?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.25 inHg and steady: −0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Bogue?

The best time to visit Bogue is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Bogue in October?

In October, Bogue normally sees highs of 75 °F and lows of 55 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.94 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Bogue?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is August (7.32 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Bogue?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 30 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Bogue, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

More about Bogue today

Weather near Bogue

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:04 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from