Weather in Aurora

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:36 pm (EDT)

Now · partly cloudy 61 °F

Feels like: 62 °F
Low / high: 57 / 72 °F
Rain: 5% · 0.02 in
Wind: 6 mph NE

↘ 30.24 inHg · falling

Today in Aurora: overcast, 57 °F to 72 °F, with a 5% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 57 °F to 74 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 78 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (19%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

72° 57°
Today
74° 57°
Thu 29
78° 56°
Fri 30
68° 54°
Sat 31
70° 53°
Sun 1
72° 57°
Mon 2
74° 59°
Tue 3
75° 61°
Wed 4
74° 62°
Thu 5
72° 58°
Fri 6
68° 53°
Sat 7
67° 50°
Sun 8
65° 53°
Mon 9
69° 50°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	57 / 72 °F	5% · 0.02 in	10 mph NNE	1.0 ft	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	57 / 74 °F	2%	7 mph NE	0.7 ft	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Mainly clear	56 / 78 °F	1%	3 mph N	0.4 ft	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	54 / 68 °F	0%	9 mph NE	1.1 ft	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	53 / 70 °F	1%	8 mph NE	1.1 ft	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	57 / 72 °F	19% · 0.19 in	8 mph NE	0.7 ft	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	59 / 74 °F	9%	10 mph NE	0.8 ft	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	61 / 75 °F	22% · 0.12 in	10 mph ENE	1.1 ft	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	62 / 74 °F	28% · 0.26 in	9 mph ESE	0.7 ft	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	58 / 72 °F	24% · 0.19 in	7 mph WSW	0.4 ft	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	53 / 68 °F	13% · 0.02 in	7 mph NW	0.6 ft	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	50 / 67 °F	13% · 0.23 in	12 mph NNW	1.6 ft	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	53 / 65 °F	15% · 0.13 in	12 mph N	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	50 / 69 °F	7%	9 mph NNE	1.0 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	57°	61°	61°	62°	69°	72°	68°	64°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	5%	0%	3%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NNE	5 NNE	4 NNE	8 NNE	9 NNE	9 NE	8 NE	6 NE
Humidity	90%	95%	96%	96%	82%	76%	81%	84%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	74°	74°	78°	66°	68°	72°	74°
AIFS	75°	75°	78°	66°	68°	71°	74°
GFS	71°	75°	77°	67°	70°	68°	70°
ICON	73°	76°	79°	68°	73°	72°	67°
HRRR	72°	74°	80°	—	—	—	—
NBM	72°	75°	78°	68°	70°	72°	74°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0.00 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.00 in	2.06 in
HRRR	0.02 in	0	0	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0.19 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1025	818	612	922	928	825	927
AIFS	10	8	4	10	9	8	9
GFS	1123	820	610	1124	1019	1020	1020
ICON	1024	921	513	921	820	819	1125
HRRR	1021	714	58	—	—	—	—
NBM	918	712	36	915	813	815	1020
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	37%	4%	0%	0%	0%	6%	14%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	45%	10%	3%	0%	1%	32%	32%
NBM (NOAA)	5%	2%	1%	0%	1%	19%	9%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.8 °F	Above +59%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.7 °F	A bit above +33%	64° / 47°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	64° / 48°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +38%	62° / 48°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +66%	60° / 46°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +57%
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +44%
January	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +66%
February	Normal 0.0 °F	Above +61%
March	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +35%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Aurora climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Aurora is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 31 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Aurora, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

55° 34°

JanJ
58° 36°

FebF
64° 42°

MarM
73° 50°

AprA
80° 59°

MayM
86° 67°

JunJ
89° 71°

JulJ
87° 69°

AugA
83° 65°

SepS
74° 53°

OctO
65° 43°

NovN
58° 37°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	55°	34°	4.06 in	9	4.6	55°	2.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	58°	36°	3.61 in	8	4.8	55°	2.3 ft	–
MarchMar	64°	42°	3.49 in	9	6.0	57°	2.2 ft	–
AprilApr	73°	50°	3.52 in	8	6.9	63°	2.2 ft	–
MayMay	80°	59°	4.50 in	10	7.8	71°	1.9 ft	2
JuneJun	86°	67°	5.69 in	13	7.5	78°	1.8 ft	2
JulyJul	89°	71°	6.68 in	16	7.7	82°	1.8 ft	5
AugustAug	87°	69°	6.65 in	15	7.0	82°	1.7 ft	5
SeptemberSep	83°	65°	6.09 in	12	5.7	78°	2.0 ft	14
OctoberOct	74°	53°	3.59 in	7	5.6	71°	2.0 ft	3
NovemberNov	65°	43°	4.35 in	7	5.1	63°	2.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	58°	37°	3.59 in	8	4.2	59°	2.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	55°	2.2 ft	–
Feb	55°	2.3 ft	–
Mar	57°	2.2 ft	–
Apr	63°	2.2 ft	–
May	71°	1.9 ft	2
Jun	78°	1.8 ft	2
Jul	82°	1.8 ft	5
Aug	82°	1.7 ft	5
Sep	78°	2.0 ft	14
Oct	71°	2.0 ft	3
Nov	63°	2.2 ft	–
Dec	59°	2.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.80 in of rain on about 122 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 62 °F

Tomorrow57 / 74 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 62 °F). Today, 57 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 57 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 5% 0.02 in
Thu 29 2%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 19% 0.19 in
Tue 3 9%

Today the chance of rain reaches 5%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 19% and 0.19 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 59 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.5 migood

Clouds61%

Visibility is good now (8.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.3030.40 30.11

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 45

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	44 / 74 °F	8 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	51 / 71 °F	9 mph N
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	57 / 72 °F	15 mph NE
Sat 24	Partly cloudy	55 / 71 °F	12 mph NE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	46 / 71 °F	11 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	44 / 69 °F	8 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	52 / 70 °F	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 73 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	53 / 65 °F	0	16 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	50 / 65 °F	0	16 mph N
Sat 17	Rain	51 / 73 °F	0.89 in	17 mph NNW
Fri 16	Overcast	68 / 86 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	65 / 88 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Wed 14	Overcast	64 / 89 °F	0	7 mph SW
Tue 13	Overcast	56 / 84 °F	0	6 mph S
Mon 12	Partly cloudy	65 / 80 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	73 / 78 °F	0.51 in	14 mph S
Sat 10	Rain	68 / 76 °F	0.77 in	15 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 80 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	56 / 80 °F	0	5 mph WSW
Wed 7	Mainly clear	55 / 76 °F	0	6 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	59 / 74 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Mon 5	Overcast	61 / 72 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Sun 4	Rain	68 / 78 °F	0.98 in	8 mph NNW
Sat 3	Rain	68 / 82 °F	0.90 in	9 mph NNE
Fri 2	Overcast	67 / 88 °F	0	9 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	59 / 86 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.01 in	6 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	60 / 82 °F	0.01 in	4 mph SE
Mon 28	Partly cloudy	59 / 81 °F	0	7 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AuroraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Aurora?

Overcast, from 57 °F to 72 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph) and a 5% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Aurora?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 53 °F and a high of 78 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.24 inHg and falling: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Aurora?

The best time to visit Aurora is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Aurora in October?

In October, Aurora normally sees highs of 74 °F and lows of 53 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.59 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 71 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Aurora?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 34 °F. The wettest is July (6.68 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Aurora?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 31 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Aurora, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

More about Aurora today

Weather near Aurora

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from