Weather in Shinnecock Hills
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:07 pm (EDT)- Feels like
- 47 °F
- Low / high
- 40 / 58 °F
- Rain
- 0%
- Wind
- 5 mph S
Today in Shinnecock Hills: overcast, 40 °F to 58 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south (5 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 48 °F to 64 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 66 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (18%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 40 / 58 °F | 0% | 8 mph ESE | 2.4 ft | 9:34 am · 10:02 pm | HRRR | |
| Thu 29 | 48 / 64 °F | 1% | 11 mph SW | 2.0 ft | 10:26 am · 10:57 pm | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 49 / 66 °F | 3% | 12 mph WNW | 2.4 ft | 11:21 am · 11:55 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 45 / 57 °F | 0% | 12 mph NNW | 2.2 ft | 12:20 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 45 / 60 °F | 1% | 6 mph WSW | 1.6 ft | 12:58 am · 12:23 pm | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 51 / 63 °F | 7% | 7 mph WSW | 1.8 ft | 1:05 am · 1:30 pm | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 52 / 62 °F | 15% · 0.02 in | 8 mph ENE | 1.5 ft | 2:12 am · 2:35 pm | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 52 / 62 °F | 18% · 0.65 in | 11 mph ESE | 2.8 ft | 3:13 am · 3:34 pm | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 54 / 63 °F | 39% · 0.76 in | 12 mph E | 3.2 ft | 4:06 am · 4:26 pm | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 52 / 62 °F | 48% · 0.76 in | 14 mph SSW | 6.2 ft | 4:54 am · 5:14 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 49 / 59 °F | 31% · 0.16 in | 11 mph NW | 3.1 ft | 5:38 am · 5:59 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 47 / 56 °F | 20% · 0.09 in | 13 mph NW | 2.6 ft | 6:19 am · 6:41 pm | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 46 / 52 °F | 13% | 11 mph NNW | 1.4 ft | 6:59 am · 7:21 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 48 / 53 °F | 16% | 13 mph ENE | 1.5 ft | 7:38 am · 8:02 pm | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Clear | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Mainly clear |
| Temperature | 41° | 41° | 41° | 49° | 57° | 58° | 53° | 50° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 3 E | 5 NE | 5 NE | 7 NE | 3 ESE | 6 SSE | 4 SSE | 6 SSW |
| Humidity | 66% | 70% | 75% | 62% | 56% | 60% | 69% | 72% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on wind on Friday 30: take it with some caution.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 56° | 62° | 63° | 55° | 57° | 60° | 63° |
| AIFS | 57° | 60° | 63° | 54° | 55° | 60° | 61° |
| GFS | 58° | 62° | 68° | 54° | 59° | 61° | 60° |
| ICON | 56° | 64° | 67° | 54° | 60° | 65° | 66° |
| HRRR | 58° | 62° | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 59° | 64° | 66° | 57° | 60° | 63° | 62° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| HRRR | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 in |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1219 | 1418 | 2028 | 1623 | 1018 | 1017 | 1318 |
| AIFS | 10 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 13 |
| GFS | 710 | 1527 | 1932 | 1524 | 1215 | 1015 | 1417 |
| ICON | 513 | 919 | 1228 | 1022 | 919 | 919 | 1331 |
| HRRR | 813 | 1327 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 69 | 1017 | 1220 | 1220 | 610 | 713 | 814 |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 27% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 15% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Above +4.7 °F | A bit above +33% | A bit above +0.5 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.1 °F | 54° / 50° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.1 °F | 53° / 49° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.2 °F | A bit above +29% | A bit above +1.3 °F | 51° / 47° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.1 °F | 49° / 45° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit above +24% | Normal +0.4 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit above +26% | A bit above +1.1 °F |
| January | Above +3.2 °F | A bit above +35% | A bit above +1.6 °F |
| February | Above +2.7 °F | A bit above +26% | Above +2.0 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit above +22% | Above +2.0 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Shinnecock Hills climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Shinnecock Hills is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shinnecock Hills, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 39° | 25° | 3.80 in | 8 | 3.6 | 43° | 2.8 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 40° | 26° | 3.65 in | 7 | 4.9 | 39° | 2.6 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 47° | 32° | 4.68 in | 9 | 5.5 | 40° | 2.5 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 56° | 40° | 3.98 in | 9 | 6.2 | 44° | 2.4 ft | – |
| MayMay | 67° | 49° | 3.44 in | 10 | 6.7 | 52° | 1.9 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 76° | 59° | 3.50 in | 10 | 7.5 | 62° | 1.6 ft | 1 |
| JulyJul | 82° | 65° | 3.29 in | 9 | 8.0 | 69° | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| AugustAug | 81° | 65° | 4.14 in | 10 | 7.4 | 71° | 1.6 ft | 4 |
| SeptemberSep | 74° | 58° | 3.72 in | 8 | 6.0 | 69° | 2.1 ft | 2 |
| OctoberOct | 64° | 47° | 4.38 in | 8 | 4.8 | 63° | 2.6 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 54° | 38° | 4.02 in | 7 | 3.8 | 55° | 2.7 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 44° | 30° | 4.68 in | 9 | 3.3 | 49° | 2.7 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43° | 2.8 ft | – |
| Feb | 39° | 2.6 ft | – |
| Mar | 40° | 2.5 ft | – |
| Apr | 44° | 2.4 ft | – |
| May | 52° | 1.9 ft | – |
| Jun | 62° | 1.6 ft | 1 |
| Jul | 69° | 1.5 ft | 3 |
| Aug | 71° | 1.6 ft | 4 |
| Sep | 69° | 2.1 ft | 2 |
| Oct | 63° | 2.6 ft | – |
| Nov | 55° | 2.7 ft | – |
| Dec | 49° | 2.7 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 47.27 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 51 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 40 °F to 58 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 64 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 18% and 0.65 in.
No rain in the last 7 days.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 42 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.28 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Partly cloudy | 52 / 61 °F | 0 | 16 mph N |
| Mon 26 | Clear sky | 51 / 64 °F | 0 | 12 mph W |
| Sun 25 | Clear sky | 49 / 61 °F | 0 | 9 mph WNW |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 48 / 59 °F | 0 | 9 mph NW |
| Fri 23 | Partly cloudy | 51 / 58 °F | 0 | 20 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 52 / 63 °F | 0 | 22 mph N |
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 53 / 59 °F | 0 | 24 mph NNE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 52 / 64 °F | 0 | 18 mph NNE |
| Mon 19 | Clear sky | 51 / 60 °F | 0 | 14 mph NE |
| Sun 18 | Clear sky | 45 / 54 °F | 0 | 20 mph NNE |
| Sat 17 | Drizzle | 50 / 65 °F | 0.25 in | 24 mph NNW |
| Fri 16 | Rain | 58 / 67 °F | 0.64 in | 17 mph SSW |
| Thu 15 | Overcast | 58 / 64 °F | 0 | 19 mph N |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 65 / 72 °F | 0.01 in | 17 mph WSW |
| Tue 13 | Partly cloudy | 61 / 67 °F | 0 | 16 mph SSE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 58 / 66 °F | 0.09 in | 20 mph N |
| Sun 11 | Rain | 58 / 64 °F | 1.33 in | 27 mph E |
| Sat 10 | Overcast | 59 / 63 °F | 0 | 9 mph NNW |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 57 / 67 °F | 0 | 17 mph WNW |
| Thu 8 | Mainly clear | 61 / 70 °F | 0 | 15 mph WSW |
| Wed 7 | Clear sky | 54 / 63 °F | 0 | 13 mph SSW |
| Tue 6 | Clear sky | 53 / 60 °F | 0 | 23 mph NW |
| Mon 5 | Overcast | 60 / 67 °F | 0 | 23 mph WNW |
| Sun 4 | Light rain | 59 / 62 °F | 0.35 in | 19 mph ENE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 62 / 68 °F | 0.02 in | 17 mph NE |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 68 / 75 °F | 0.05 in | 18 mph SW |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 63 / 71 °F | 0 | 14 mph SW |
| Wed 30 | Overcast | 62 / 66 °F | 0 | 9 mph WNW |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 61 / 67 °F | 0 | 13 mph WNW |
| Mon 28 | Light rain | 61 / 64 °F | 0.60 in | 24 mph NE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Shinnecock HillsQuestions
What's the weather like today in Shinnecock Hills?
Overcast, from 40 °F to 58 °F, with a light breeze from the south (5 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Shinnecock Hills?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): clear sky.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 66 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.40 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Shinnecock Hills?
The best time to visit Shinnecock Hills is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Shinnecock Hills in October?
In October, Shinnecock Hills normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.38 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 63 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Shinnecock Hills?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 25 °F. The wettest is December (4.68 in) and the driest, July.
When is hurricane season in Shinnecock Hills?
Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shinnecock Hills, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.
More about Shinnecock Hills today
Weather near Shinnecock Hills
- Hampton Bays 53 °F · overcast · 3.2 mi
- Water Mill 52 °F · partly cloudy · 6.6 mi
- Aquebogue 50 °F · mainly clear · 9.3 mi
- Quiogue 53 °F · overcast · 9.9 mi
- East Marion 51 °F · partly cloudy · 18 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:07 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from