Weather in Shelter Island Heights

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:30 am (EDT)

Now · clear 47 °F

Feels like: 43 °F
Low / high: 46 / 66 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 6 mph SSW

↘ 30.30 inHg · falling

Today in Shelter Island Heights: clear sky, 46 °F to 66 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 51 °F to 66 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 66 °F. Next likely rain: Thursday 5 (34%).

Measured now at the airport

East Hampton (KJPX), 10 mi away · 15 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature40 °F

WindCalm

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

66° 46°
Today
66° 51°
Fri 30
58° 48°
Sat 31
60° 47°
Sun 1
63° 52°
Mon 2
64° 55°
Tue 3
65° 56°
Wed 4
65° 57°
Thu 5
64° 54°
Fri 6
59° 51°
Sat 7
58° 49°
Sun 8
57° 48°
Mon 9
60° 52°
Tue 10
57° 55°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	46 / 66 °F	1%	10 mph SSW	1.5 ft	1:13 am · 1:26 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	51 / 66 °F	0%	12 mph WNW	1.8 ft	2:07 am · 2:22 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	48 / 58 °F	0%	10 mph NNW	1.6 ft	3:09 am · 3:27 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	47 / 60 °F	1%	5 mph W	0.9 ft	3:22 am · 3:40 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Partly cloudy	52 / 63 °F	3%	7 mph WSW	0.7 ft	4:33 am · 4:54 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	55 / 64 °F	10%	6 mph ENE	1.2 ft	5:36 am · 6:02 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	56 / 65 °F	14%	9 mph ESE	1.3 ft	6:33 am · 7:05 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	57 / 65 °F	34% · 0.20 in	11 mph SE	0.8 ft	7:25 am · 8:00 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Rain	54 / 64 °F	38% · 0.65 in	9 mph SSE	5.0 ft	8:10 am · 8:48 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	51 / 59 °F	30% · 0.20 in	11 mph NNW	5.1 ft	8:52 am · 9:34 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Mainly clear	49 / 58 °F	18% · 0.15 in	9 mph NNW	3.7 ft	9:31 am · 10:18 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	48 / 57 °F	21% · 0.02 in	17 mph W	2.4 ft	10:10 am · 11:00 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	52 / 60 °F	13% · 0.07 in	7 mph SSW	1.1 ft	10:48 am · 11:41 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	55 / 57 °F	18% · 0.08 in	8 mph NNW	1.2 ft	11:27 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 12:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	47°	46°	47°	56°	64°	65°	58°	57°
Chance of rain	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 SSE	5 S	6 SSW	5 SSW	8 WSW	10 SW	8 SW	9 SW
Humidity	89%	82%	84%	81%	63%	56%	79%	89%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	62°	63°	53°	55°	63°	62°	57°
AIFS	60°	63°	55°	55°	59°	60°	61°
GFS	65°	69°	54°	57°	63°	61°	59°
ICON	64°	66°	56°	57°	63°	67°	67°
HRRR	66°	65°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	64°	66°	58°	60°	63°	64°	65°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1320	1627	1423	1020	1319	1219	1322
AIFS	17	19	18	9	13	14	14
GFS	1227	1931	1425	611	1222	1122	1223
ICON	1118	1324	1321	813	1119	47	610
HRRR	1026	1632	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	917	1221	1019	510	713	612	916
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	4%	0%	0%	6%	10%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	3%	0%	0%	10%	16%	19%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	0%	0%	1%	3%	10%	14%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +5.0 °F	A bit above +43%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	52° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +30%	Above +1.8 °F	49° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +21%	A bit above +1.4 °F	47° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +26%	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +30%	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +38%	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +31%	Above +2.7 °F
March	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +25%	Above +2.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Shelter Island Heights climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Shelter Island Heights is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shelter Island Heights, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.

39° 24°

JanJ
40° 25°

FebF
46° 31°

MarM
56° 39°

AprA
66° 48°

MayM
76° 57°

JunJ
82° 64°

JulJ
81° 64°

AugA
74° 58°

SepS
65° 47°

OctO
54° 38°

NovN
45° 30°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	39°	24°	3.82 in	8	3.7	41°	2.8 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	40°	25°	3.56 in	7	4.9	38°	2.6 ft	–
MarchMar	46°	31°	4.66 in	8	5.5	39°	2.5 ft	–
AprilApr	56°	39°	4.23 in	9	6.2	44°	2.4 ft	–
MayMay	66°	48°	3.52 in	9	6.8	52°	1.9 ft	–
JuneJun	76°	57°	3.91 in	9	7.5	62°	1.6 ft	1
JulyJul	82°	64°	3.42 in	9	8.0	69°	1.5 ft	3
AugustAug	81°	64°	4.01 in	9	7.4	71°	1.6 ft	3
SeptemberSep	74°	58°	3.88 in	8	6.1	69°	2.1 ft	2
OctoberOct	65°	47°	4.60 in	8	4.7	63°	2.6 ft	–
NovemberNov	54°	38°	4.11 in	7	3.8	55°	2.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	45°	30°	4.65 in	9	3.3	47°	2.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	41°	2.8 ft	–
Feb	38°	2.6 ft	–
Mar	39°	2.5 ft	–
Apr	44°	2.4 ft	–
May	52°	1.9 ft	–
Jun	62°	1.6 ft	1
Jul	69°	1.5 ft	3
Aug	71°	1.6 ft	3
Sep	69°	2.1 ft	2
Oct	63°	2.6 ft	–
Nov	55°	2.7 ft	–
Dec	47°	2.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 48.38 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now47 °Ffeels like 43 °F

Tomorrow51 / 66 °F

It's 47 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 46 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 66 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 3%
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 14%

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 5: 34% and 0.20 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity84%

Dew point42 °F

Humidity is 84% now and the dew point is 42 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.9 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (7.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3moderate

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.00

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	47 / 57 °F	10 mph ENE
Tue 27	Mainly clear	52 / 60 °F	12 mph N
Mon 26	Clear sky	51 / 63 °F	11 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	47 / 61 °F	7 mph WNW
Sat 24	Overcast	46 / 57 °F	8 mph NW
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	50 / 57 °F	15 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	52 / 63 °F	20 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	52 / 58 °F	0	20 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	50 / 64 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	49 / 58 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sun 18	Clear sky	44 / 54 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	49 / 64 °F	0.26 in	20 mph NNW
Fri 16	Rain	57 / 67 °F	0.81 in	17 mph SSW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	57 / 64 °F	0	16 mph N
Wed 14	Light drizzle	65 / 73 °F	0.02 in	16 mph WSW
Tue 13	Mainly clear	60 / 66 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Mon 12	Drizzle	57 / 67 °F	0.09 in	16 mph N
Sun 11	Rain	56 / 63 °F	1.24 in	22 mph E
Sat 10	Overcast	58 / 63 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Fri 9	Overcast	57 / 68 °F	0	15 mph WNW
Thu 8	Mainly clear	61 / 69 °F	0	14 mph WSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	51 / 63 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Tue 6	Clear sky	52 / 59 °F	0	19 mph NW
Mon 5	Overcast	60 / 68 °F	0	20 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light rain	58 / 62 °F	0.44 in	16 mph ENE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	60 / 68 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NE
Fri 2	Drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.11 in	16 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	62 / 71 °F	0	14 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	62 / 66 °F	0	7 mph WNW
Tue 29	Overcast	60 / 67 °F	0	11 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Shelter Island HeightsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Shelter Island Heights?

Clear sky, from 46 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (6 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Shelter Island Heights?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 46 °F and a high of 66 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.30 inHg and falling: −0.14 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Shelter Island Heights?

The best time to visit Shelter Island Heights is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Shelter Island Heights in October?

In October, Shelter Island Heights normally sees highs of 65 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.60 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 63 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Shelter Island Heights?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 24 °F. The wettest is March (4.66 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Shelter Island Heights?

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shelter Island Heights, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.

More about Shelter Island Heights today

Weather near Shelter Island Heights

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:30 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from