Weather in Montauk
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:58 pm (EDT)- Feels like
- 48 °F
- Low / high
- 42 / 56 °F
- Rain
- 1%
- Wind
- 4 mph SSW
Today in Montauk: overcast, 42 °F to 56 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 51 °F to 63 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 65 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (19%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 42 / 56 °F | 1% | 8 mph SE | 2.7 ft | 10:30 am · 10:57 pm | HRRR | |
| Thu 29 | 51 / 63 °F | 1% | 10 mph SW | 2.0 ft | 11:23 am · 11:52 pm | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 52 / 65 °F | 3% | 13 mph WNW | 2.9 ft | 12:21 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 49 / 56 °F | 0% | 12 mph NNW | 2.6 ft | 12:52 am · 1:23 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 48 / 59 °F | 1% | 7 mph WSW | 1.4 ft | 1:54 am · 1:25 pm | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 55 / 62 °F | 7% | 8 mph WSW | 1.7 ft | 1:56 am · 2:26 pm | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 55 / 62 °F | 15% · 0.02 in | 9 mph ENE | 1.5 ft | 2:58 am · 3:28 pm | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 55 / 62 °F | 19% · 0.61 in | 11 mph ESE | 2.8 ft | 4:01 am · 4:30 pm | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 56 / 62 °F | 39% · 0.50 in | 13 mph E | 3.2 ft | 5:01 am · 5:27 pm | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 55 / 62 °F | 48% · 0.72 in | 15 mph SSW | 6.1 ft | 5:54 am · 6:17 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 51 / 59 °F | 33% · 0.18 in | 12 mph NW | 5.1 ft | 6:41 am · 7:02 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 50 / 56 °F | 24% · 0.11 in | 14 mph NW | 3.9 ft | 7:24 am · 7:44 pm | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 47 / 54 °F | 12% | 14 mph N | 2.3 ft | 8:04 am · 8:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 49 / 56 °F | 18% | 13 mph ENE | 1.8 ft | 8:43 am · 9:06 pm | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 12:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Mainly clear | Clear | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Overcast | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 45° | 45° | 43° | 51° | 55° | 56° | 52° | 50° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 2 SE | 3 NE | 5 NE | 5 NE | 6 E | 4 SSE | 4 SSW | 7 SSW |
| Humidity | 64% | 67% | 67% | 57% | 53% | 69% | 64% | 70% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on wind on Friday 30: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 57° | 61° | 64° | 54° | 57° | 60° | 62° |
| AIFS | 58° | 60° | 62° | 55° | 56° | 60° | 61° |
| GFS | 58° | 61° | 63° | 55° | 58° | 60° | 59° |
| ICON | 58° | 63° | 66° | 56° | 60° | 63° | 62° |
| HRRR | 56° | 62° | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 58° | 63° | 65° | 56° | 59° | 62° | 62° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| HRRR | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 in |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1421 | 1621 | 2231 | 1724 | 1319 | 1121 | 1417 |
| AIFS | 12 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 14 |
| GFS | 1111 | 1928 | 3034 | 2129 | 1415 | 1316 | 1919 |
| ICON | 1116 | 1319 | 1421 | 1421 | 1116 | 1217 | 1929 |
| HRRR | 811 | 1529 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 68 | 1018 | 1323 | 1221 | 711 | 813 | 915 |
| Confidence | high | high | low | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 26% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 15% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Above +4.3 °F | A bit above +24% | A bit above +0.7 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.9 °F | 55° / 51° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F | 54° / 50° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.0 °F | A bit above +33% | A bit above +0.9 °F | 52° / 48° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.5 °F | 50° / 46° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit above +21% | Normal +0.2 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit above +26% | A bit above +0.9 °F |
| January | Above +3.1 °F | A bit above +31% | A bit above +1.3 °F |
| February | Above +2.7 °F | A bit above +24% | Above +1.8 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit above +20% | Above +2.0 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Montauk climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Montauk is from June to September: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Montauk, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 40° | 25° | 3.71 in | 8 | 3.7 | 43° | 4.5 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 40° | 26° | 3.47 in | 7 | 5.0 | 40° | 4.2 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 46° | 31° | 4.61 in | 9 | 5.5 | 40° | 4.0 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 54° | 39° | 4.07 in | 9 | 6.2 | 44° | 3.9 ft | – |
| MayMay | 64° | 48° | 3.45 in | 9 | 6.7 | 52° | 3.2 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 73° | 57° | 3.65 in | 9 | 7.5 | 61° | 2.8 ft | 1 |
| JulyJul | 80° | 64° | 2.98 in | 9 | 8.1 | 68° | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| AugustAug | 79° | 64° | 3.80 in | 9 | 7.5 | 70° | 2.7 ft | 4 |
| SeptemberSep | 73° | 58° | 4.00 in | 8 | 6.1 | 68° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| OctoberOct | 64° | 48° | 4.35 in | 8 | 4.9 | 62° | 4.0 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 54° | 39° | 4.26 in | 7 | 3.8 | 55° | 4.2 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 45° | 31° | 4.56 in | 9 | 3.2 | 49° | 4.3 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43° | 4.5 ft | – |
| Feb | 40° | 4.2 ft | – |
| Mar | 40° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Apr | 44° | 3.9 ft | – |
| May | 52° | 3.2 ft | – |
| Jun | 61° | 2.8 ft | 1 |
| Jul | 68° | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| Aug | 70° | 2.7 ft | 4 |
| Sep | 68° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| Oct | 62° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Nov | 55° | 4.2 ft | – |
| Dec | 49° | 4.3 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 46.93 in of rain on about 99 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 52 °F now (feels like 48 °F). Today, 42 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 63 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 19% and 0.61 in.
No rain in the last 7 days.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 64% now and the dew point is 40 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (17 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.35 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Partly cloudy | 53 / 61 °F | 0 | 18 mph NNE |
| Mon 26 | Clear sky | 52 / 63 °F | 0 | 13 mph W |
| Sun 25 | Clear sky | 51 / 58 °F | 0 | 9 mph WNW |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 48 / 57 °F | 0 | 8 mph NW |
| Fri 23 | Clear sky | 51 / 58 °F | 0 | 20 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 52 / 61 °F | 0 | 26 mph N |
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 53 / 57 °F | 0 | 27 mph NNE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 52 / 62 °F | 0 | 22 mph NNE |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 52 / 59 °F | 0 | 19 mph NE |
| Sun 18 | Clear sky | 46 / 55 °F | 0 | 22 mph NNE |
| Sat 17 | Drizzle | 50 / 64 °F | 0.21 in | 24 mph NNW |
| Fri 16 | Light rain | 58 / 66 °F | 0.53 in | 21 mph SSW |
| Thu 15 | Partly cloudy | 59 / 64 °F | 0 | 19 mph N |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 65 / 72 °F | 0.02 in | 20 mph WSW |
| Tue 13 | Mainly clear | 60 / 66 °F | 0 | 20 mph SE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 57 / 65 °F | 0.09 in | 21 mph N |
| Sun 11 | Rain | 59 / 63 °F | 1.32 in | 28 mph E |
| Sat 10 | Overcast | 58 / 63 °F | 0 | 10 mph NE |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 59 / 67 °F | 0 | 14 mph W |
| Thu 8 | Clear sky | 62 / 69 °F | 0 | 18 mph WSW |
| Wed 7 | Clear sky | 54 / 62 °F | 0 | 16 mph SW |
| Tue 6 | Clear sky | 53 / 60 °F | 0 | 23 mph NW |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 60 / 67 °F | 0.01 in | 21 mph WNW |
| Sun 4 | Rain | 59 / 62 °F | 0.58 in | 21 mph ENE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 61 / 67 °F | 0.04 in | 16 mph NE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 67 / 69 °F | 0.12 in | 20 mph SW |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 63 / 68 °F | 0 | 17 mph SW |
| Wed 30 | Overcast | 63 / 65 °F | 0 | 7 mph WNW |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 60 / 66 °F | 0 | 13 mph WNW |
| Mon 28 | Light rain | 60 / 63 °F | 0.52 in | 24 mph NE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in MontaukQuestions
What's the weather like today in Montauk?
Overcast, from 42 °F to 56 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Montauk?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): clear sky.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 42 °F and a high of 65 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.41 inHg and steady: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Montauk?
The best time to visit Montauk is from June to September: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Montauk in October?
In October, Montauk normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.35 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 62 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Montauk?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 80 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 25 °F. The wettest is March (4.61 in) and the driest, July.
When is hurricane season in Montauk?
Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Montauk, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.
More about Montauk today
Weather near Montauk
- Amagansett 52 °F · overcast · 11 mi
- Fishers Island 56 °F · overcast · 16 mi
- Orient 54 °F · overcast · 20 mi
- Watch Hill 52 °F · partly cloudy · 20 mi
- New Shoreham 51 °F · partly cloudy · 23 mi
- Pawcatuck 52 °F · partly cloudy · 24 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:58 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from