Weather in Loch Arbour

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:01 pm (EDT)

Now · overcast 55 °F

Feels like: 52 °F
Low / high: 46 / 60 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 6 mph S

→ 30.39 inHg · steady

Today in Loch Arbour: overcast, 46 °F to 60 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south (6 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 45 °F to 67 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 71 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (10%).

Measured now at the airport

Farmingdale/Monmouth Exec (KBLM), 7.2 mi away · 7 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature55 °F

WindCalm

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

60° 46°
Today
67° 45°
Thu 29
71° 50°
Fri 30
59° 45°
Sat 31
62° 46°
Sun 1
66° 49°
Mon 2
65° 52°
Tue 3
65° 53°
Wed 4
65° 55°
Thu 5
64° 53°
Fri 6
61° 49°
Sat 7
58° 45°
Sun 8
53° 44°
Mon 9
54° 48°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	1%	8 mph ENE	2.8 ft	9:09 am · 9:37 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Clear sky	45 / 67 °F	1%	6 mph SW	2.2 ft	10:03 am · 10:37 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	50 / 71 °F	3%	8 mph WNW	2.6 ft	11:03 am · 11:42 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	45 / 59 °F	0%	7 mph NNW	2.6 ft	12:08 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	46 / 62 °F	1%	4 mph SSW	1.9 ft	12:48 am · 12:12 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	49 / 66 °F	8%	4 mph SW	1.6 ft	12:51 am · 1:12 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	52 / 65 °F	10% · 0.06 in	6 mph E	1.9 ft	1:51 am · 2:12 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	53 / 65 °F	19% · 1.16 in	8 mph E	2.4 ft	2:51 am · 3:12 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	55 / 65 °F	41% · 0.89 in	10 mph ESE	4.3 ft	3:48 am · 4:08 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light rain	53 / 64 °F	41% · 0.58 in	9 mph WSW	7.7 ft	4:39 am · 4:58 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light rain	49 / 61 °F	22% · 0.13 in	9 mph WNW	6.3 ft	5:23 am · 5:43 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	45 / 58 °F	15% · 0.04 in	10 mph NNW	5.1 ft	6:02 am · 6:25 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	44 / 53 °F	13%	11 mph N	3.1 ft	6:40 am · 7:05 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	48 / 54 °F	14%	9 mph NE	2.4 ft	7:16 am · 7:46 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	47°	49°	47°	52°	58°	60°	56°	53°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NW	6 NE	4 NNE	4 NNE	6 NE	7 E	6 SSE	6 S
Humidity	75%	65%	79%	82%	75%	86%	73%	79%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	58°	64°	69°	59°	61°	62°	65°
AIFS	60°	65°	70°	58°	60°	66°	68°
GFS	61°	70°	71°	58°	63°	64°	63°
ICON	60°	67°	72°	58°	63°	72°	67°
HRRR	60°	66°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	61°	67°	71°	59°	62°	66°	65°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	815	1017	1523	1220	1121	919	1121
AIFS	8	12	14	12	7	9	10
GFS	812	923	1425	1120	914	611	914
ICON	715	816	1121	917	917	714	1632
HRRR	813	1020	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	611	613	818	717	49	410	613
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	29%	35%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	8%	10%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +7.6 °F	Above +53%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	55° / 43°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	54° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +41%	51° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +30%	49° / 40°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +23%
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +29%
January	Above +3.4 °F	A bit above +46%
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +36%
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +33%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Loch Arbour climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Loch Arbour is from May to September: highs of 70 °F to 84 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Loch Arbour, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

41° 25°

JanJ
43° 26°

FebF
50° 33°

MarM
61° 42°

AprA
70° 52°

MayM
79° 61°

JunJ
84° 67°

JulJ
83° 66°

AugA
76° 59°

SepS
66° 47°

OctO
55° 38°

NovN
46° 30°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	41°	25°	3.59 in	7	3.7	43°	4.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	43°	26°	3.22 in	7	5.1	40°	4.1 ft	–
MarchMar	50°	33°	4.22 in	9	5.6	41°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	61°	42°	3.70 in	9	6.1	46°	4.1 ft	–
MayMay	70°	52°	3.61 in	9	6.7	55°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	79°	61°	4.22 in	10	7.4	65°	2.9 ft	1
JulyJul	84°	67°	4.39 in	10	7.7	72°	2.8 ft	3
AugustAug	83°	66°	4.85 in	10	6.9	74°	2.9 ft	2
SeptemberSep	76°	59°	3.99 in	8	5.9	71°	4.0 ft	2
OctoberOct	66°	47°	4.35 in	7	4.9	63°	4.3 ft	–
NovemberNov	55°	38°	3.57 in	7	4.0	55°	4.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	46°	30°	4.18 in	8	3.5	49°	4.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	43°	4.3 ft	–
Feb	40°	4.1 ft	–
Mar	41°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	46°	4.1 ft	–
May	55°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	65°	2.9 ft	1
Jul	72°	2.8 ft	3
Aug	74°	2.9 ft	2
Sep	71°	4.0 ft	2
Oct	63°	4.3 ft	–
Nov	55°	4.2 ft	–
Dec	49°	4.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.88 in of rain on about 101 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now55 °Ffeels like 52 °F

Tomorrow45 / 67 °F

It's 55 °F now (feels like 52 °F). Today, 46 °F to 60 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 67 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Thu 29 1%
Fri 30 3%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 8%
Tue 3 10% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 10% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity76%

Dew point48 °F

Humidity is 76% now and the dew point is 48 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.05

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.23 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 51

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Mainly clear	56 / 60 °F	12 mph NE
Mon 26	Clear sky	45 / 68 °F	10 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	43 / 64 °F	7 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	46 / 59 °F	8 mph NNW
Fri 23	Overcast	50 / 58 °F	16 mph NNE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	51 / 65 °F	15 mph NNW
Wed 21	Overcast	53 / 62 °F	19 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	53 / 66 °F	0	15 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	50 / 60 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Sun 18	Clear sky	45 / 55 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	49 / 64 °F	0.26 in	18 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light rain	61 / 73 °F	0.33 in	12 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	59 / 69 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Wed 14	Overcast	66 / 74 °F	0	13 mph WSW
Tue 13	Overcast	57 / 70 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Mon 12	Drizzle	58 / 71 °F	0.13 in	15 mph N
Sun 11	Rain	60 / 64 °F	1.91 in	21 mph ENE
Sat 10	Overcast	56 / 65 °F	0	12 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	53 / 72 °F	0	11 mph W
Thu 8	Clear sky	58 / 74 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	49 / 65 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Tue 6	Clear sky	51 / 62 °F	0	12 mph NW
Mon 5	Overcast	57 / 69 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 4	Drizzle	59 / 64 °F	0.19 in	15 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	64 / 69 °F	0	12 mph NE
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	68 / 79 °F	0.13 in	11 mph SW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	64 / 72 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	61 / 69 °F	0	8 mph SW
Tue 29	Overcast	61 / 69 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Mon 28	Rain	61 / 65 °F	0.50 in	19 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Loch ArbourQuestions

What's the weather like today in Loch Arbour?

Overcast, from 46 °F to 60 °F, with a light breeze from the south (6 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Loch Arbour?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 45 °F and a high of 71 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.39 inHg and steady: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Loch Arbour?

The best time to visit Loch Arbour is from May to September: highs of 70 °F to 84 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Loch Arbour in October?

In October, Loch Arbour normally sees highs of 66 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 7 rainy days (4.35 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 63 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Loch Arbour?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 25 °F. The wettest is August (4.85 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Loch Arbour?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Loch Arbour, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Loch Arbour today

Weather near Loch Arbour

Brielle 56 °F · overcast · 9.1 mi

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:01 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from