Weather in Essex

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:37 am (EDT)

Now · clear 42 °F

Feels like: 37 °F
Low / high: 42 / 66 °F
Rain: 3%
Wind: 6 mph SW

→ 30.31 inHg · steady

Today in Essex: mainly clear, 42 °F to 66 °F, with a 3% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 45 °F to 68 °F and a 20% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 68 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (20%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

66° 42°
Today
68° 45°
Fri 30
54° 36°
Sat 31
59° 31°
Sun 1
65° 40°
Mon 2
59° 44°
Tue 3
62° 46°
Wed 4
62° 47°
Thu 5
62° 49°
Fri 6
57° 44°
Sat 7
56° 37°
Sun 8
56° 34°
Mon 9
52° 36°
Tue 10
58° 38°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Mainly clear	42 / 66 °F	3%	13 mph SW	1.9 ft	2:03 am · 2:11 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	45 / 68 °F	20%	11 mph W	1.8 ft	2:56 am · 3:04 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Mainly clear	36 / 54 °F	0%	10 mph NW	1.2 ft	3:53 am · 4:02 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Mainly clear	31 / 59 °F	0%	6 mph WSW	0.7 ft	3:55 am · 4:05 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	40 / 65 °F	3%	7 mph WSW	1.0 ft	5:00 am · 5:14 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	44 / 59 °F	13%	9 mph ENE	1.6 ft	6:05 am · 6:25 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	46 / 62 °F	20% · 0.06 in	10 mph SSE	2.2 ft	7:08 am · 7:31 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	47 / 62 °F	34% · 0.37 in	11 mph ESE	1.4 ft	8:04 am · 8:30 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	49 / 62 °F	39% · 0.38 in	11 mph SE	2.4 ft	8:56 am · 9:23 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	44 / 57 °F	34% · 0.43 in	10 mph NNW	4.6 ft	9:43 am · 10:12 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	37 / 56 °F	18% · 0.10 in	9 mph NNW	4.1 ft	10:26 am · 10:57 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	34 / 56 °F	18%	6 mph NW	1.5 ft	11:05 am · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	36 / 52 °F	14%	7 mph NE	1.8 ft	11:41 am	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	38 / 58 °F	16%	8 mph SSW	1.4 ft	12:18 am · 12:16 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 8:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	42°	43°	44°	51°	62°	66°	60°	56°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 SW	6 SW	8 SW	10 SW	12 SW	13 SW	8 SSW	9 SW
Humidity	83%	89%	89%	89%	67%	56%	65%	83%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	67°	65°	51°	57°	68°	69°	69°
AIFS	67°	65°	52°	57°	68°	72°	74°
GFS	68°	68°	54°	57°	63°	55°	53°
ICON	69°	68°	52°	58°	68°	67°	66°
HRRR	66°	64°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	68°	68°	54°	59°	65°	59°	62°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0.03 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1328	1228	1328	719	1122	1020	1434
AIFS	12	13	11	7	9	13	13
GFS	1331	1530	1126	616	1127	1320	716
ICON	923	1229	1025	514	719	717	719
HRRR	1326	1729	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1119	1118	1017	69	711	914	1015
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	8%	0%	0%	3%	16%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	35%	0%	0%	15%	25%	42%
NBM (NOAA)	3%	20%	0%	0%	3%	13%	20%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	49° / 45°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +28%	A bit above +1.3 °F	47° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +23%	A bit above +1.3 °F	46° / 41°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +4.1 °F	A bit above +39%	Above +2.3 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +30%	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +22%	Above +2.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Essex climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Essex is from June to September: highs of 73 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Essex, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

36° 19°

JanJ
38° 20°

FebF
46° 28°

MarM
56° 37°

AprA
67° 47°

MayM
76° 56°

JunJ
82° 62°

JulJ
80° 61°

AugA
73° 53°

SepS
62° 42°

OctO
51° 34°

NovN
41° 25°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	36°	19°	3.68 in	8	3.5	42°	4.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	38°	20°	3.17 in	7	4.9	39°	4.1 ft	–
MarchMar	46°	28°	4.35 in	9	5.4	39°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	56°	37°	4.02 in	9	6.3	42°	3.6 ft	–
MayMay	67°	47°	3.27 in	10	6.4	49°	2.8 ft	–
JuneJun	76°	56°	3.54 in	10	7.0	58°	2.3 ft	–
JulyJul	82°	62°	3.11 in	10	7.7	64°	2.0 ft	2
AugustAug	80°	61°	3.17 in	9	7.4	65°	2.1 ft	1
SeptemberSep	73°	53°	3.53 in	8	6.0	62°	3.0 ft	1
OctoberOct	62°	42°	4.52 in	8	4.4	56°	3.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	51°	34°	3.98 in	8	3.4	50°	3.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	41°	25°	4.22 in	9	2.9	46°	4.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	42°	4.3 ft	–
Feb	39°	4.1 ft	–
Mar	39°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	42°	3.6 ft	–
May	49°	2.8 ft	–
Jun	58°	2.3 ft	–
Jul	64°	2.0 ft	2
Aug	65°	2.1 ft	1
Sep	62°	3.0 ft	1
Oct	56°	3.7 ft	–
Nov	50°	3.9 ft	–
Dec	46°	4.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 44.55 in of rain on about 105 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 37 °F

Tomorrow45 / 68 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 37 °F). Today, 42 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 68 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 3%
Fri 30 20%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 3%
Tue 3 13%
Wed 4 20% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 3%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 20% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%

Dew point39 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 39 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.5 migood

Clouds3%

Visibility is good now (8.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 29.92

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.12 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	32 / 54 °F	8 mph NNW
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	39 / 55 °F	9 mph NNW
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	38 / 69 °F	9 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	33 / 65 °F	7 mph WSW
Sat 24	Mainly clear	31 / 59 °F	5 mph WNW
Fri 23	Clear sky	39 / 56 °F	10 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	44 / 63 °F	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	42 / 56 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Tue 20	Mainly clear	37 / 65 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Mon 19	Clear sky	35 / 60 °F	0	5 mph SSE
Sun 18	Clear sky	32 / 55 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sat 17	Overcast	39 / 59 °F	0	14 mph NW
Fri 16	Light rain	44 / 68 °F	0.41 in	12 mph SSW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	46 / 62 °F	0	12 mph NW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	52 / 75 °F	0.05 in	11 mph WNW
Tue 13	Light rain	51 / 57 °F	0.38 in	13 mph E
Mon 12	Rain	48 / 69 °F	0.65 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 11	Rain	41 / 55 °F	0.65 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 10	Overcast	47 / 62 °F	0	9 mph NW
Fri 9	Mainly clear	50 / 66 °F	0	14 mph W
Thu 8	Light drizzle	53 / 71 °F	0.02 in	12 mph WSW
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	40 / 64 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	46 / 60 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Mon 5	Overcast	52 / 69 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	47 / 63 °F	0.02 in	8 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	52 / 69 °F	0	8 mph N
Fri 2	Light drizzle	66 / 84 °F	0.04 in	12 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	57 / 74 °F	0	10 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	58 / 68 °F	0.04 in	6 mph SW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	55 / 66 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in EssexQuestions

What's the weather like today in Essex?

Mainly clear, from 42 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (6 mph) and a 3% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Essex?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 20% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 68 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.31 inHg and steady: −0.14 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Essex?

The best time to visit Essex is from June to September: highs of 73 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Essex in October?

In October, Essex normally sees highs of 62 °F and lows of 42 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.52 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Essex?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is October (4.52 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Essex?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Essex, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Essex today

Weather near Essex

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:37 am (local time).

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