Weather in Dogtown Commons

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:15 am (EDT)

Now · clear 46 °F

Feels like: 40 °F
Low / high: 45 / 65 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 7 mph SW

→ 30.27 inHg · steady

Today in Dogtown Commons: clear sky, 45 °F to 65 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 47 °F to 67 °F and a 16% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 67 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (22%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

65° 45°
Today
67° 47°
Fri 30
53° 41°
Sat 31
58° 38°
Sun 1
64° 45°
Mon 2
58° 48°
Tue 3
61° 48°
Wed 4
61° 50°
Thu 5
61° 50°
Fri 6
57° 47°
Sat 7
55° 45°
Sun 8
58° 46°
Mon 9
57° 48°
Tue 10
53° 52°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	45 / 65 °F	2%	14 mph SW	2.3 ft	1:54 am · 2:03 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	47 / 67 °F	16%	12 mph W	2.2 ft	2:48 am · 2:57 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Clear sky	41 / 53 °F	0%	13 mph NW	1.9 ft	3:46 am · 3:56 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Clear sky	38 / 58 °F	0%	6 mph WSW	0.9 ft	3:47 am · 3:59 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	45 / 64 °F	4%	7 mph WSW	1.2 ft	4:50 am · 5:05 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	48 / 58 °F	13%	9 mph ENE	2.0 ft	5:54 am · 6:12 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	48 / 61 °F	22% · 0.06 in	10 mph SSE	2.6 ft	6:55 am · 7:17 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	50 / 61 °F	34% · 0.39 in	10 mph SE	1.8 ft	7:53 am · 8:17 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	50 / 61 °F	40% · 0.37 in	10 mph SE	3.5 ft	8:45 am · 9:12 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light rain	47 / 57 °F	36% · 0.45 in	10 mph N	4.5 ft	9:32 am · 10:02 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Mainly clear	45 / 55 °F	20% · 0.09 in	10 mph NW	3.3 ft	10:14 am · 10:47 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	46 / 58 °F	22%	13 mph WSW	1.6 ft	10:54 am · 11:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	16% · 0.02 in	9 mph SW	1.3 ft	11:32 am	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	52 / 53 °F	20% · 0.03 in	13 mph NE	1.7 ft	12:10 am · 12:09 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 11:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	46°	46°	46°	52°	60°	65°	60°	56°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 SW	7 SW	8 SW	11 SW	12 SW	13 SW	11 SW	12 SW
Humidity	81%	85%	87%	87%	72%	59%	62%	81%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	64°	62°	50°	55°	64°	55°	51°
AIFS	62°	62°	51°	53°	62°	64°	66°
GFS	63°	65°	51°	55°	63°	57°	55°
ICON	68°	66°	51°	57°	67°	62°	64°
HRRR	65°	64°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	66°	67°	53°	58°	64°	58°	61°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.00 in	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1521	1624	1828	919	1420	1119	1123
AIFS	16	15	15	9	12	13	13
GFS	1629	1836	2028	1117	1321	1317	1115
ICON	1020	1428	1224	613	816	818	1019
HRRR	1426	1631	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1118	1219	1320	610	712	914	1015
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	10%	0%	0%	2%	16%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	23%	0%	0%	10%	26%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	16%	0%	0%	4%	13%	22%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	49° / 45°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +28%	A bit above +1.3 °F	47° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +23%	A bit above +1.3 °F	46° / 41°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +4.1 °F	A bit above +39%	Above +2.3 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +30%	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +22%	Above +2.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Dogtown Commons climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Dogtown Commons is from June to September: highs of 71 °F to 81 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dogtown Commons, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

37° 20°

JanJ
39° 22°

FebF
45° 28°

MarM
55° 37°

AprA
65° 46°

MayM
74° 56°

JunJ
81° 62°

JulJ
79° 62°

AugA
71° 54°

SepS
61° 44°

OctO
51° 35°

NovN
42° 27°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	37°	20°	3.72 in	8	3.6	42°	4.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	39°	22°	3.24 in	7	5.0	39°	4.1 ft	–
MarchMar	45°	28°	4.54 in	9	5.4	39°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	55°	37°	4.06 in	9	6.3	42°	3.6 ft	–
MayMay	65°	46°	3.28 in	10	6.5	49°	2.8 ft	–
JuneJun	74°	56°	3.54 in	10	7.1	58°	2.3 ft	–
JulyJul	81°	62°	3.01 in	10	7.8	64°	2.0 ft	3
AugustAug	79°	62°	3.15 in	9	7.4	65°	2.1 ft	1
SeptemberSep	71°	54°	3.53 in	8	6.1	62°	3.0 ft	1
OctoberOct	61°	44°	4.56 in	8	4.4	56°	3.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	51°	35°	4.22 in	8	3.3	50°	3.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	42°	27°	4.34 in	9	2.9	46°	4.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	42°	4.3 ft	–
Feb	39°	4.1 ft	–
Mar	39°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	42°	3.6 ft	–
May	49°	2.8 ft	–
Jun	58°	2.3 ft	–
Jul	64°	2.0 ft	3
Aug	65°	2.1 ft	1
Sep	62°	3.0 ft	1
Oct	56°	3.7 ft	–
Nov	50°	3.9 ft	–
Dec	46°	4.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.17 in of rain on about 105 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now46 °Ffeels like 40 °F

Tomorrow47 / 67 °F

It's 46 °F now (feels like 40 °F). Today, 45 °F to 65 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 67 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Fri 30 16%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 13%
Wed 4 22% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 22% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point40 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 40 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 29.91

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	44 / 50 °F	14 mph NE
Tue 27	Mainly clear	45 / 55 °F	15 mph N
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	42 / 65 °F	14 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	38 / 59 °F	10 mph SW
Sat 24	Clear sky	39 / 54 °F	7 mph NW
Fri 23	Clear sky	44 / 53 °F	19 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	49 / 59 °F	18 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	48 / 55 °F	0	20 mph NNE
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	44 / 58 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Mon 19	Clear sky	41 / 55 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Sun 18	Clear sky	38 / 52 °F	0	13 mph W
Sat 17	Overcast	43 / 60 °F	0	20 mph NW
Fri 16	Light rain	48 / 66 °F	0.39 in	16 mph SSW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	51 / 59 °F	0	18 mph NW
Wed 14	Drizzle	54 / 70 °F	0.09 in	13 mph NW
Tue 13	Light rain	53 / 58 °F	0.39 in	19 mph E
Mon 12	Rain	52 / 66 °F	0.70 in	16 mph N
Sun 11	Rain	48 / 57 °F	0.64 in	10 mph SSE
Sat 10	Overcast	49 / 60 °F	0	12 mph NW
Fri 9	Mainly clear	51 / 64 °F	0	17 mph W
Thu 8	Drizzle	55 / 68 °F	0.06 in	14 mph WSW
Wed 7	Mainly clear	43 / 61 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Tue 6	Clear sky	47 / 59 °F	0	17 mph WNW
Mon 5	Overcast	54 / 67 °F	0	19 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	53 / 59 °F	0.05 in	12 mph NE
Sat 3	Overcast	56 / 64 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Fri 2	Drizzle	65 / 77 °F	0.11 in	14 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	58 / 70 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	58 / 60 °F	0.02 in	8 mph SSE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	56 / 61 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Dogtown CommonsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Dogtown Commons?

Clear sky, from 45 °F to 65 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Dogtown Commons?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 16% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 67 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and steady: −0.18 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Dogtown Commons?

The best time to visit Dogtown Commons is from June to September: highs of 71 °F to 81 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Dogtown Commons in October?

In October, Dogtown Commons normally sees highs of 61 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.56 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Dogtown Commons?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 81 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 20 °F. The wettest is October (4.56 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Dogtown Commons?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dogtown Commons, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Dogtown Commons today

Weather near Dogtown Commons

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:15 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from