TidePlanet

Weather in Madison

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:13 am (EDT)
Now · clear 50 °F
Feels like
47 °F
Low / high
45 / 69 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
4 mph SSE
→ 30.29 inHg · steady

Today in Madison: clear sky, 45 °F to 69 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 55 °F to 72 °F and a 3% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 72 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (20%).

Measured now at the airport

Cambridge/Dorchester Rgnl (KCGE), 10 mi away · 18 min ago

Visibility7.0 mi
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature48 °F
WindCalm

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Clear sky 45 / 69 °F 0% 7 mph SSW 0.1 ft 6:00 am · 6:52 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Mainly clear 55 / 72 °F 3% 9 mph NW 0.9 ft 6:52 am · 7:52 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 49 / 60 °F 0% 7 mph N 1.0 ft 7:54 am · 9:00 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 49 / 64 °F 0% 5 mph SSE 0.7 ft 8:09 am · 9:05 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 53 / 66 °F 8% 5 mph S 0.5 ft 9:19 am · 10:04 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 55 / 69 °F 11% 8 mph ESE 0.7 ft 10:27 am · 11:01 pm NBM
Wed 4 Mainly clear 57 / 69 °F 20% · 0.06 in 10 mph ESE 0.3 ft 11:34 am · 11:53 pm NBM
Thu 5 Light rain 59 / 69 °F 28% · 0.11 in 11 mph SE 0.1 ft 12:33 pm NBM
Fri 6 Rain 54 / 65 °F 28% · 0.31 in 9 mph NNW 2.0 ft 12:39 am · 1:24 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light drizzle 50 / 62 °F 26% · 0.10 in 10 mph NNW 2.2 ft 1:21 am · 2:10 pm NBM
Sun 8 Partly cloudy 48 / 60 °F 21% · 0.13 in 11 mph NW 1.5 ft 2:03 am · 2:54 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Mainly clear 52 / 63 °F 16% 10 mph SW 1.6 ft 2:46 am · 3:37 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 58 / 64 °F 22% · 0.14 in 11 mph SW 1.6 ft 3:30 am · 4:17 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 55 / 60 °F 22% · 0.02 in 14 mph NW 1.6 ft 4:12 am · 4:55 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 11:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClearClear skyClear skyClear skyClear skyClear
Temperature 56°52°48°50°65°69°63°57°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 3 ESE5 SSE2 SE1 NW2 WNW6 SW5 SSW5 S
Humidity 88%84%91%100%72%58%68%89%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 66°68°60°61°62°66°69°
AIFS 65°69°61°60°61°64°67°
GFS 70°74°59°65°64°71°74°
ICON 68°74°60°63°67°73°73°
HRRR 69°71°—————
NBM 68°72°60°64°66°69°69°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediummedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000
GFS 0000000
ICON 0000000
HRRR 00—————
NBM 0000000.06 in
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 814132213224238186211218
AIFS 9121355810
GFS 7111328122465687151225
ICON 51191992061361448716
HRRR 7151324—————
NBM 41091471558588141016
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 2%0%0%2%6%12%12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%6%14%16%
NBM (NOAA) 0%3%0%0%8%11%20%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%0%1%1%1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +6.8 °F Above +78% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.7 °F A bit above +22% —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal 58° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.3 °F A bit above +36% 55° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +41% 53° / 42°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +34%
December A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +29%
January A bit above +2.5 °F A bit above +41%
February A bit above +1.4 °F A bit above +46%
March A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +28%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Madison climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Madison is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 69 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Madison, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 44° 28° 3.52 in 7 4.2 38° 1.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 47° 29° 3.01 in 7 5.2 37° 1.0 ft –
MarchMar 56° 36° 4.26 in 8 5.8 40° 1.0 ft –
AprilApr 67° 45° 3.48 in 8 6.5 47° 1.0 ft –
MayMay 76° 54° 3.90 in 10 7.3 57° 0.7 ft –
JuneJun 84° 64° 4.18 in 11 7.4 68° 0.7 ft –
JulyJul 88° 68° 4.34 in 11 7.7 77° 0.6 ft 2
AugustAug 86° 66° 4.15 in 10 7.1 78° 0.7 ft 3
SeptemberSep 80° 60° 4.01 in 8 5.9 74° 0.8 ft 2
OctoberOct 69° 49° 3.88 in 7 5.3 65° 1.0 ft –
NovemberNov 58° 39° 3.06 in 7 4.6 54° 1.1 ft –
DecemberDec 49° 32° 3.78 in 8 3.8 45° 1.0 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 38° 1.1 ft –
Feb 37° 1.0 ft –
Mar 40° 1.0 ft –
Apr 47° 1.0 ft –
May 57° 0.7 ft –
Jun 68° 0.7 ft –
Jul 77° 0.6 ft 2
Aug 78° 0.7 ft 3
Sep 74° 0.8 ft 2
Oct 65° 1.0 ft –
Nov 54° 1.1 ft –
Dec 45° 1.0 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.56 in of rain on about 101 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now50 °Ffeels like 47 °F
Tomorrow55 / 72 °F

It's 50 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 45 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 72 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Fri 30 3%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 0%
  • Mon 2 8%
  • Tue 3 11%
  • Wed 4 20% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 20% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%
Dew point46 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 46 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.8 migood
Clouds5%

Visibility is good now (7.8 mi). There may be fog today at 6:00 am, 7:00 am, 8:00 am, 9:00 am.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 39
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast52 / 66 °F08 mph NE
Tue 27 Clear sky55 / 66 °F011 mph N
Mon 26 Mainly clear51 / 67 °F07 mph WSW
Sun 25 Clear sky47 / 63 °F06 mph NE
Sat 24 Overcast48 / 62 °F010 mph NE
Fri 23 Partly cloudy52 / 63 °F013 mph NE
Thu 22 Partly cloudy55 / 64 °F015 mph NNW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast53 / 63 °F015 mph N
Tue 20 Clear sky57 / 67 °F016 mph N
Mon 19 Clear sky48 / 64 °F013 mph NNE
Sun 18 Clear sky46 / 58 °F017 mph NNE
Sat 17 Rain53 / 65 °F0.77 in21 mph N
Fri 16 Light rain62 / 78 °F0.44 in16 mph SSW
Thu 15 Light drizzle62 / 72 °F0.07 in13 mph NE
Wed 14 Overcast68 / 84 °F012 mph SW
Tue 13 Mainly clear62 / 77 °F013 mph SW
Mon 12 Light rain62 / 71 °F0.35 in21 mph NNW
Sun 11 Light rain65 / 72 °F0.78 in20 mph ESE
Sat 10 Overcast58 / 71 °F012 mph E
Fri 9 Overcast60 / 72 °F08 mph NE
Thu 8 Overcast62 / 75 °F013 mph SW
Wed 7 Mainly clear53 / 67 °F013 mph S
Tue 6 Clear sky56 / 65 °F015 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast63 / 72 °F013 mph NW
Sun 4 Drizzle63 / 67 °F0.28 in11 mph NE
Sat 3 Rain62 / 71 °F0.77 in18 mph NNE
Fri 2 Heavy drizzle69 / 81 °F0.12 in11 mph SSW
Thu 1 Overcast67 / 80 °F011 mph SSW
Wed 30 Overcast64 / 75 °F011 mph SSW
Tue 29 Overcast65 / 72 °F07 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MadisonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Madison?

Clear sky, from 45 °F to 69 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (4 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Madison?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 3% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 45 °F and a high of 72 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.29 inHg and steady: −0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Madison?

The best time to visit Madison is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 69 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Madison in October?

In October, Madison normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.88 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Madison?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 28 °F. The wettest is July (4.34 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Madison?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Madison, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Madison today

Weather near Madison

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:13 am (local time).

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