TidePlanet

Weather in Choptank

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:38 am (EDT)
Now · mainly clear 49 °F
Feels like
47 °F
Low / high
44 / 70 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
3 mph ESE
↘ 30.28 inHg · falling

Today in Choptank: mainly clear, 44 °F to 70 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light air from the east-southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 53 °F to 73 °F and a 3% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 73 °F. Next likely rain: Thursday 5 (27%).

Measured now at the airport

Easton Muni (KESN), 11 mi away · 23 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature49 °F
WindCalm

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Mainly clear 44 / 70 °F 0% 9 mph SW 0.5 ft 8:53 am · 9:45 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Mainly clear 53 / 73 °F 3% 9 mph NW 0.9 ft 9:45 am · 10:45 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 44 / 63 °F 0% 6 mph N 1.0 ft 10:47 am · 11:53 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 44 / 66 °F 0% 4 mph SSE 0.2 ft 11:02 am · 11:58 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 48 / 68 °F 7% 4 mph S 0.7 ft 12:12 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 51 / 71 °F 10% 7 mph ESE 1.0 ft 12:57 am · 1:20 pm NBM
Wed 4 Clear sky 55 / 71 °F 18% · 0.02 in 9 mph ESE 0.5 ft 1:54 am · 2:27 pm NBM
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 57 / 70 °F 27% · 0.07 in 9 mph SE 0.2 ft 2:46 am · 3:26 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light rain 54 / 67 °F 27% · 0.20 in 8 mph NNW 0.8 ft 3:32 am · 4:17 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light rain 49 / 63 °F 26% · 0.06 in 9 mph NW 1.7 ft 4:14 am · 5:03 pm NBM
Sun 8 Light drizzle 42 / 61 °F 19% · 0.10 in 7 mph NNW 1.4 ft 4:56 am · 5:47 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Clear sky 38 / 57 °F 16% 7 mph NNE 0.8 ft 5:39 am · 6:30 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 36 / 60 °F 15% 5 mph NE 0.3 ft 6:23 am · 7:10 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 41 / 61 °F 16% 3 mph N 0.1 ft 7:05 am · 7:48 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearMainly clearClearClear skyClear skyClear skyClear skyClear
Temperature 54°49°46°49°64°70°64°58°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 4 NNW4 ESE1 NNE1 NNW4 WSW7 WSW4 WSW5 SSW
Humidity 90%95%100%92%76%57%64%88%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 69°71°60°64°68°70°72°
AIFS 68°73°60°62°64°67°71°
GFS 71°73°59°64°63°69°73°
ICON 69°74°61°64°69°74°75°
HRRR 70°71°—————
NBM 70°73°63°66°68°71°71°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000
GFS 0000000
ICON 0000000
HRRR 00—————
NBM 0000000.01 in
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 61311239185207171121514
AIFS 71094468
GFS 7131528122467587171325
ICON 51192191841161448716
HRRR 9161526—————
NBM 489166124848713916
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%6%13%13%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%13%13%19%
NBM (NOAA) 0%3%0%0%7%10%18%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%1%1%1%1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +6.7 °F Above +68% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.7 °F A bit above +21% —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal 57° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.3 °F A bit above +37% 54° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +36% 52° / 42°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +30%
December A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +31%
January A bit above +2.5 °F A bit above +41%
February A bit above +1.4 °F A bit above +44%
March A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +25%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Choptank climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Choptank is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Choptank, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 44° 27° 3.54 in 7 4.0 38° 1.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 47° 28° 2.98 in 7 5.2 37° 1.0 ft –
MarchMar 56° 36° 4.25 in 8 5.7 40° 1.0 ft –
AprilApr 67° 44° 3.50 in 8 6.4 47° 1.0 ft –
MayMay 75° 54° 3.82 in 10 7.2 57° 0.7 ft –
JuneJun 83° 63° 4.22 in 11 7.4 68° 0.7 ft –
JulyJul 88° 68° 4.65 in 11 7.7 77° 0.6 ft 3
AugustAug 86° 66° 4.48 in 10 7.1 78° 0.7 ft 3
SeptemberSep 80° 59° 4.02 in 8 5.9 74° 0.8 ft 2
OctoberOct 70° 48° 3.78 in 7 5.3 65° 1.0 ft –
NovemberNov 58° 38° 3.19 in 7 4.6 54° 1.1 ft –
DecemberDec 49° 32° 3.81 in 8 3.7 45° 1.0 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 38° 1.1 ft –
Feb 37° 1.0 ft –
Mar 40° 1.0 ft –
Apr 47° 1.0 ft –
May 57° 0.7 ft –
Jun 68° 0.7 ft –
Jul 77° 0.6 ft 3
Aug 78° 0.7 ft 3
Sep 74° 0.8 ft 2
Oct 65° 1.0 ft –
Nov 54° 1.1 ft –
Dec 45° 1.0 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.25 in of rain on about 101 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now49 °Ffeels like 47 °F
Tomorrow53 / 73 °F

It's 49 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 44 °F to 70 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 73 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Fri 30 3%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 0%
  • Mon 2 7%
  • Tue 3 10%
  • Wed 4 18% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 5: 27% and 0.07 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%
Dew point48 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 48 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now2.9 mimoderate
Clouds28%

Visibility is moderate now (2.9 mi). There may be fog today at 4:00 am, 5:00 am, 6:00 am, 7:00 am.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 37
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast48 / 68 °F07 mph E
Tue 27 Clear sky50 / 69 °F09 mph NE
Mon 26 Overcast43 / 67 °F07 mph W
Sun 25 Clear sky41 / 65 °F05 mph NE
Sat 24 Partly cloudy41 / 64 °F08 mph NE
Fri 23 Mainly clear47 / 63 °F010 mph NE
Thu 22 Partly cloudy45 / 66 °F010 mph NNW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast47 / 64 °F012 mph N
Tue 20 Clear sky47 / 69 °F011 mph N
Mon 19 Clear sky42 / 64 °F09 mph NNE
Sun 18 Clear sky40 / 59 °F011 mph NNE
Sat 17 Rain47 / 63 °F0.64 in15 mph N
Fri 16 Showers61 / 78 °F0.52 in13 mph SW
Thu 15 Light drizzle62 / 71 °F0.08 in13 mph NE
Wed 14 Overcast67 / 87 °F09 mph SW
Tue 13 Mainly clear59 / 79 °F09 mph SW
Mon 12 Rain58 / 73 °F0.56 in14 mph NNW
Sun 11 Light showers64 / 74 °F0.74 in16 mph ESE
Sat 10 Overcast54 / 72 °F09 mph E
Fri 9 Overcast53 / 73 °F06 mph W
Thu 8 Clear sky59 / 77 °F09 mph WSW
Wed 7 Clear sky46 / 69 °F08 mph S
Tue 6 Clear sky50 / 62 °F09 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast57 / 72 °F010 mph NW
Sun 4 Heavy drizzle62 / 66 °F0.26 in10 mph NE
Sat 3 Heavy drizzle60 / 69 °F0.53 in12 mph NNE
Fri 2 Rain67 / 84 °F0.52 in9 mph SSW
Thu 1 Overcast65 / 82 °F09 mph SSW
Wed 30 Overcast60 / 77 °F07 mph SSW
Tue 29 Light drizzle63 / 73 °F0.01 in6 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChoptankQuestions

What's the weather like today in Choptank?

Mainly clear, from 44 °F to 70 °F, with a light air from the east-southeast (3 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Choptank?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 3% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 44 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.28 inHg and falling: −0.10 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Choptank?

The best time to visit Choptank is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Choptank in October?

In October, Choptank normally sees highs of 70 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.78 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Choptank?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 27 °F. The wettest is July (4.65 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Choptank?

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Choptank, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Choptank today

Weather near Choptank

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:38 am (local time).

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