TidePlanet

Weather in Chesapeake Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:04 pm (EDT)
Now · overcast 59 °F
Feels like
56 °F
Low / high
51 / 66 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
5 mph NNE
→ 30.36 inHg · steady

Today in Chesapeake Beach: overcast, 51 °F to 66 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 49 °F to 69 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 73 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (19%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 51 / 66 °F 0% 9 mph ENE 0.5 ft 5:36 am · 6:24 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Mainly clear 49 / 69 °F 1% 6 mph S 0.4 ft 6:24 am · 7:16 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Clear sky 51 / 73 °F 2% 8 mph WNW 1.0 ft 7:16 am · 8:16 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 47 / 61 °F 0% 8 mph NNE 1.1 ft 8:18 am · 9:24 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 47 / 65 °F 0% 5 mph SSE 1.0 ft 8:33 am · 9:29 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 50 / 66 °F 11% 5 mph SSE 0.7 ft 9:43 am · 10:28 pm NBM
Tue 3 Partly cloudy 53 / 69 °F 19% · 0.06 in 8 mph E 1.0 ft 10:51 am · 11:25 pm NBM
Wed 4 Partly cloudy 54 / 69 °F 21% · 0.26 in 9 mph E 1.0 ft 11:58 am NBM
Thu 5 Overcast 56 / 68 °F 35% · 0.81 in 12 mph SE 2.4 ft 12:17 am · 12:57 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light rain 53 / 66 °F 35% · 0.38 in 9 mph WNW 3.5 ft 1:03 am · 1:48 pm NBM
Sat 7 Heavy drizzle 49 / 62 °F 18% · 0.09 in 10 mph NW 3.0 ft 1:45 am · 2:34 pm NBM
Sun 8 Light drizzle 45 / 59 °F 12% 10 mph NNW 2.3 ft 2:27 am · 3:18 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Clear sky 47 / 56 °F 11% 9 mph NNE 1.4 ft 3:10 am · 4:01 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 46 / 58 °F 18% 5 mph NNE 0.6 ft 3:54 am · 4:41 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClearClear skyMainly clearPartly cloudyOvercastPartly cloudy
Temperature 55°53°52°55°61°65°61°57°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 7 SSE6 E6 ENE3 N6 NE3 ENE3 NNE4 NNE
Humidity 88%82%75%92%68%55%63%78%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 65°68°71°59°64°68°69°
AIFS 65°67°72°60°63°65°67°
GFS 64°69°72°58°62°63°67°
ICON 67°72°76°62°69°77°73°
HRRR 66°68°—————
NBM 65°69°73°61°65°66°69°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000
GFS 0000000
ICON 0000000
HRRR 00—————
NBM 0000000.05 in
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 713812111711179217171019
AIFS 67109566
GFS 9158151121111911199171121
ICON 5134121023615616514616
HRRR 914613—————
NBM 595108148155858813
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%0%0%1%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%3%26%42%
NBM (NOAA) 0%1%2%0%0%11%19%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%0%1%1%1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +6.1 °F Above +75% Above +2.5 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +1.3 °F Normal Above +2.7 °F 58° / 50°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F 56° / 50°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.5 °F A bit above +35% Above +2.5 °F 54° / 48°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +36% Above +2.3 °F 51° / 46°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.1 °F A bit above +27% A bit above +0.7 °F
December A bit above +1.8 °F Normal A bit above +1.3 °F
January A bit above +2.5 °F A bit above +27% Above +2.0 °F
February A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +34% Above +2.2 °F
March A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +24% Above +1.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Chesapeake Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Chesapeake Beach is from May to October: highs of 69 °F to 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chesapeake Beach, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 44° 27° 3.20 in 7 4.1 38° 1.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 47° 28° 2.81 in 7 5.1 37° 1.0 ft –
MarchMar 56° 35° 3.92 in 8 5.7 40° 1.0 ft –
AprilApr 67° 44° 3.46 in 8 6.4 47° 1.0 ft –
MayMay 76° 54° 4.09 in 10 7.2 57° 0.7 ft –
JuneJun 83° 63° 4.33 in 11 7.3 68° 0.7 ft –
JulyJul 87° 67° 4.37 in 11 7.6 77° 0.6 ft 2
AugustAug 86° 66° 4.20 in 10 7.0 78° 0.7 ft 3
SeptemberSep 79° 59° 4.34 in 8 5.9 74° 0.8 ft 2
OctoberOct 69° 47° 3.61 in 7 5.3 65° 1.0 ft –
NovemberNov 58° 38° 2.93 in 7 4.5 54° 1.1 ft –
DecemberDec 49° 31° 3.61 in 8 3.7 45° 1.0 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 38° 1.1 ft –
Feb 37° 1.0 ft –
Mar 40° 1.0 ft –
Apr 47° 1.0 ft –
May 57° 0.7 ft –
Jun 68° 0.7 ft –
Jul 77° 0.6 ft 2
Aug 78° 0.7 ft 3
Sep 74° 0.8 ft 2
Oct 65° 1.0 ft –
Nov 54° 1.1 ft –
Dec 45° 1.0 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 44.87 in of rain on about 101 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now59 °Ffeels like 56 °F
Tomorrow49 / 69 °F

It's 59 °F now (feels like 56 °F). Today, 51 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 69 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 1%
  • Fri 30 2%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 0%
  • Mon 2 11%
  • Tue 3 19% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 19% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%
Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 49 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood
Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.18 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 45
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Clear sky51 / 66 °F010 mph NNE
Mon 26 Overcast43 / 69 °F07 mph W
Sun 25 Clear sky50 / 62 °F06 mph ENE
Sat 24 Partly cloudy50 / 62 °F010 mph NE
Fri 23 Mainly clear54 / 62 °F013 mph NNE
Thu 22 Mainly clear49 / 66 °F012 mph NNW
Wed 21 Mainly clear56 / 64 °F015 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Clear sky54 / 68 °F014 mph N
Mon 19 Clear sky50 / 63 °F012 mph NNE
Sun 18 Clear sky50 / 58 °F017 mph NNE
Sat 17 Rain54 / 64 °F0.86 in19 mph N
Fri 16 Rain63 / 80 °F0.72 in11 mph SW
Thu 15 Light drizzle63 / 72 °F0.11 in13 mph NE
Wed 14 Overcast67 / 85 °F011 mph WSW
Tue 13 Partly cloudy58 / 79 °F011 mph SW
Mon 12 Heavy drizzle61 / 73 °F0.19 in17 mph NW
Sun 11 Rain65 / 73 °F1.13 in17 mph ESE
Sat 10 Light drizzle59 / 70 °F0.01 in12 mph ENE
Fri 9 Overcast58 / 74 °F07 mph NW
Thu 8 Overcast59 / 76 °F011 mph WSW
Wed 7 Mainly clear50 / 70 °F010 mph SSW
Tue 6 Clear sky55 / 62 °F012 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast60 / 73 °F010 mph NW
Sun 4 Drizzle64 / 67 °F0.32 in11 mph NE
Sat 3 Rain62 / 71 °F0.72 in17 mph NNE
Fri 2 Light rain67 / 83 °F0.19 in10 mph SW
Thu 1 Overcast65 / 82 °F09 mph SSW
Wed 30 Overcast60 / 76 °F09 mph SSW
Tue 29 Light drizzle62 / 73 °F0.01 in6 mph WNW
Mon 28 Overcast61 / 69 °F011 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Chesapeake BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Chesapeake Beach?

Overcast, from 51 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Chesapeake Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 47 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.36 inHg and steady: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Chesapeake Beach?

The best time to visit Chesapeake Beach is from May to October: highs of 69 °F to 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Chesapeake Beach in October?

In October, Chesapeake Beach normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.61 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Chesapeake Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 27 °F. The wettest is July (4.37 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Chesapeake Beach?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chesapeake Beach, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Chesapeake Beach today

Weather near Chesapeake Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:04 pm (local time).

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