Weather in Centreville

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:35 pm (EDT)

Now · clear 55 °F

Feels like: 53 °F
Low / high: 45 / 66 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph ESE

→ 30.35 inHg · steady

Today in Centreville: overcast, 45 °F to 66 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 45 °F to 69 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 73 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (18%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

66° 45°
Today
69° 45°
Thu 29
73° 53°
Fri 30
63° 43°
Sat 31
67° 44°
Sun 1
68° 48°
Mon 2
70° 50°
Tue 3
70° 53°
Wed 4
69° 55°
Thu 5
67° 53°
Fri 6
63° 48°
Sat 7
60° 42°
Sun 8
58° 37°
Mon 9
60° 35°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	45 / 66 °F	0%	8 mph E	0.1 ft	8:43 am · 9:31 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Mainly clear	45 / 69 °F	1%	9 mph SSW	0.5 ft	9:31 am · 10:23 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Clear sky	53 / 73 °F	3%	9 mph WNW	0.9 ft	10:23 am · 11:23 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	43 / 63 °F	0%	5 mph N	0.8 ft	11:25 am	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	44 / 67 °F	0%	4 mph SSE	0.7 ft	12:31 am · 11:40 am	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	48 / 68 °F	8% · 0.02 in	4 mph SSW	0.5 ft	12:36 am · 12:50 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	50 / 70 °F	18% · 0.06 in	6 mph E	0.9 ft	1:35 am · 1:58 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	53 / 70 °F	18% · 0.34 in	9 mph ESE	0.6 ft	2:32 am · 3:05 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	55 / 69 °F	32% · 0.76 in	10 mph SE	0.1 ft	3:24 am · 4:04 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	53 / 67 °F	32% · 0.31 in	9 mph WSW	0.8 ft	4:10 am · 4:55 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	48 / 63 °F	19% · 0.07 in	9 mph NW	1.7 ft	4:52 am · 5:41 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	42 / 60 °F	20%	7 mph NNW	1.4 ft	5:34 am · 6:25 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	37 / 58 °F	17%	6 mph NNE	0.8 ft	6:17 am · 7:08 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	35 / 60 °F	17%	4 mph NE	0.3 ft	7:01 am · 7:48 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 5:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear
Temperature	50°	47°	45°	51°	63°	66°	61°	56°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 S	2 N	4 N	5 NNE	7 E	6 E	3 E	7 ESE
Humidity	80%	85%	93%	94%	64%	52%	78%	88%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	67°	69°	71°	59°	64°	69°	70°
AIFS	66°	68°	73°	61°	63°	66°	69°
GFS	67°	69°	73°	60°	64°	59°	69°
ICON	67°	69°	73°	60°	66°	73°	72°
HRRR	66°	68°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	68°	69°	73°	63°	67°	68°	70°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.04 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	716	715	1223	816	520	819	1222
AIFS	7	7	12	8	4	5	7
GFS	920	817	1526	1023	617	815	819
ICON	613	511	1122	816	816	715	816
HRRR	815	916	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	510	59	915	511	47	48	612
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	7%	13%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	20%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	8%	18%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.5 °F	Above +69%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	57° / 47°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	56° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +39%	53° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +34%	51° / 43°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +26%
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +31%
January	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +41%
February	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +42%
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +28%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Centreville climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Centreville is from May to September: highs of 75 °F to 87 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Centreville, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

43° 26°

JanJ
45° 27°

FebF
54° 35°

MarM
66° 44°

AprA
75° 54°

MayM
83° 63°

JunJ
87° 68°

JulJ
85° 66°

AugA
79° 59°

SepS
69° 48°

OctO
57° 38°

NovN
47° 31°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	43°	26°	3.25 in	7	3.9	38°	1.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	45°	27°	2.94 in	7	5.2	36°	1.0 ft	–
MarchMar	54°	35°	4.20 in	9	5.6	39°	1.1 ft	–
AprilApr	66°	44°	3.49 in	8	6.4	47°	1.0 ft	–
MayMay	75°	54°	3.86 in	10	7.1	58°	0.8 ft	–
JuneJun	83°	63°	4.57 in	11	7.4	68°	0.8 ft	–
JulyJul	87°	68°	4.20 in	12	7.7	76°	0.7 ft	3
AugustAug	85°	66°	4.31 in	10	7.0	78°	0.7 ft	3
SeptemberSep	79°	59°	4.40 in	8	5.9	74°	0.8 ft	2
OctoberOct	69°	48°	3.73 in	7	5.2	65°	1.1 ft	–
NovemberNov	57°	38°	3.06 in	6	4.4	53°	1.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	47°	31°	3.96 in	8	3.6	44°	1.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	38°	1.2 ft	–
Feb	36°	1.0 ft	–
Mar	39°	1.1 ft	–
Apr	47°	1.0 ft	–
May	58°	0.8 ft	–
Jun	68°	0.8 ft	–
Jul	76°	0.7 ft	3
Aug	78°	0.7 ft	3
Sep	74°	0.8 ft	2
Oct	65°	1.1 ft	–
Nov	53°	1.2 ft	–
Dec	44°	1.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.98 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now55 °Ffeels like 53 °F

Tomorrow45 / 69 °F

It's 55 °F now (feels like 53 °F). Today, 45 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 69 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 1%
Fri 30 3%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 8% 0.02 in
Tue 3 18% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 18% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 52 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.2 migood

Clouds3%

Visibility is good now (8.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.09

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 37

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Clear sky	50 / 69 °F	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	45 / 68 °F	7 mph WSW
Sun 25	Clear sky	39 / 65 °F	5 mph NE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	39 / 63 °F	7 mph ENE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	47 / 63 °F	10 mph NE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	45 / 66 °F	10 mph NNW
Wed 21	Overcast	46 / 65 °F	12 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	47 / 69 °F	0	11 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	40 / 65 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Sun 18	Clear sky	39 / 59 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light rain	47 / 62 °F	0.51 in	15 mph N
Fri 16	Rain	61 / 78 °F	1.37 in	13 mph SSW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	61 / 71 °F	0.04 in	11 mph ENE
Wed 14	Overcast	67 / 86 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Tue 13	Clear sky	59 / 79 °F	0	11 mph SW
Mon 12	Light rain	57 / 73 °F	0.25 in	13 mph NNW
Sun 11	Rain	64 / 73 °F	0.94 in	17 mph E
Sat 10	Overcast	53 / 72 °F	0	10 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	53 / 73 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Thu 8	Clear sky	60 / 77 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	45 / 69 °F	0	9 mph S
Tue 6	Clear sky	50 / 62 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Mon 5	Overcast	57 / 72 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sun 4	Heavy drizzle	61 / 65 °F	0.27 in	10 mph NE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	61 / 69 °F	0.39 in	12 mph NNE
Fri 2	Rain	67 / 83 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SSW
Thu 1	Overcast	64 / 81 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	60 / 77 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	64 / 73 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WNW
Mon 28	Light drizzle	62 / 68 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CentrevilleQuestions

What's the weather like today in Centreville?

Overcast, from 45 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Centreville?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 43 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.35 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Centreville?

The best time to visit Centreville is from May to September: highs of 75 °F to 87 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Centreville in October?

In October, Centreville normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.73 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Centreville?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 26 °F. The wettest is June (4.57 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Centreville?

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Centreville, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Centreville today

Weather near Centreville

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:35 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from