Weather in East Machias

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:15 am (EDT)

Now · clear sky 40 °F

Feels like: 36 °F
Low / high: 35 / 59 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 2 mph SSW

→ 30.17 inHg · steady

Today in East Machias: partly cloudy, 35 °F to 59 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light air from the south-southwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 45 °F to 64 °F and a 69% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 64 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

59° 35°
Today
64° 45°
Fri 30
49° 33°
Sat 31
54° 31°
Sun 1
60° 39°
Mon 2
55° 40°
Tue 3
57° 44°
Wed 4
58° 45°
Thu 5
58° 46°
Fri 6
54° 41°
Sat 7
51° 37°
Sun 8
56° 37°
Mon 9
52° 46°
Tue 10
48° 41°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Partly cloudy	35 / 59 °F	2%	13 mph SSW	3.4 ft	1:20 am · 1:39 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Drizzle	45 / 64 °F	69% · 0.13 in	9 mph W	3.4 ft	2:12 am · 2:32 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Mainly clear	33 / 49 °F	8%	10 mph NW	1.6 ft	3:08 am · 3:31 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Mainly clear	31 / 54 °F	0%	8 mph W	1.7 ft	3:09 am · 3:34 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	39 / 60 °F	1%	8 mph WSW	1.7 ft	4:14 am · 4:41 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	40 / 55 °F	14%	5 mph NNE	1.4 ft	5:22 am · 5:49 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	44 / 57 °F	27% · 0.02 in	7 mph SSW	4.2 ft	6:26 am · 6:54 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	45 / 58 °F	18% · 0.02 in	8 mph SSW	2.8 ft	7:25 am · 7:52 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	46 / 58 °F	37% · 1.02 in	9 mph S	3.1 ft	8:17 am · 8:45 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light rain	41 / 54 °F	37% · 0.73 in	8 mph E	8.2 ft	9:04 am · 9:32 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	37 / 51 °F	23% · 0.13 in	8 mph NW	9.1 ft	9:47 am · 10:15 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Overcast	37 / 56 °F	14% · 0.01 in	11 mph W	5.0 ft	10:28 am · 10:56 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	46 / 52 °F	22% · 0.12 in	6 mph N	3.0 ft	11:07 am · 11:36 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	41 / 48 °F	22% · 0.12 in	7 mph NE	2.6 ft	11:47 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 3:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	37°	36°	36°	45°	58°	56°	50°	51°
Chance of rain	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 SW	4 SE	1 SE	3 SSW	8 SW	13 SW	10 SW	9 SW
Humidity	64%	79%	81%	92%	73%	75%	77%	87%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	59°	63°	47°	51°	62°	46°	48°
AIFS	59°	63°	47°	51°	61°	60°	64°
GFS	57°	65°	47°	53°	63°	54°	47°
ICON	58°	64°	48°	50°	63°	51°	53°
HRRR	59°	62°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	60°	64°	49°	54°	60°	55°	57°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.08 in	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.01 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.06 in
GFS	0	0.08 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.07 in	0	0	0	0	0.05 in
HRRR	0	0.05 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.13 in	0	0	0	0	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1123	1124	1328	1022	1023	917	622
AIFS	13	13	13	10	11	7	6
GFS	1535	1428	1427	1029	1128	1123	1021
ICON	1023	1125	1228	921	921	616	919
HRRR	1328	1128	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1120	915	1018	814	814	58	713
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	75%	2%	0%	16%	16%	27%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	75%	13%	0%	7%	18%	24%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	69%	8%	0%	1%	14%	27%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −22%	45° / 35°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +26%	44° / 35°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	40° / 31°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.7 °F	A bit above +22%
January	Well above +6.3 °F	A bit above +30%
February	Above +4.7 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

East Machias climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit East Machias is from June to August: highs of 72 °F to 78 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in July and in September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of East Machias, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

29° 10°

JanJ
32° 11°

FebF
40° 21°

MarM
51° 32°

AprA
63° 42°

MayM
72° 50°

JunJ
78° 56°

JulJ
77° 55°

AugA
70° 48°

SepS
58° 39°

OctO
46° 30°

NovN
36° 19°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	29°	10°	4.19 in	11	3.7	42°	5.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	32°	11°	3.43 in	9	5.0	39°	4.9 ft	–
MarchMar	40°	21°	3.89 in	11	5.9	38°	4.3 ft	–
AprilApr	51°	32°	4.28 in	11	5.9	39°	4.1 ft	–
MayMay	63°	42°	4.55 in	12	6.4	43°	3.0 ft	–
JuneJun	72°	50°	3.50 in	12	7.0	48°	2.7 ft	–
JulyJul	78°	56°	2.87 in	11	7.4	53°	2.6 ft	2
AugustAug	77°	55°	2.87 in	9	7.4	55°	2.4 ft	–
SeptemberSep	70°	48°	4.11 in	10	6.2	54°	2.9 ft	1
OctoberOct	58°	39°	5.14 in	11	4.1	52°	3.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	46°	30°	5.43 in	11	2.9	49°	4.4 ft	–
DecemberDec	36°	19°	5.70 in	12	2.6	46°	4.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	42°	5.1 ft	–
Feb	39°	4.9 ft	–
Mar	38°	4.3 ft	–
Apr	39°	4.1 ft	–
May	43°	3.0 ft	–
Jun	48°	2.7 ft	–
Jul	53°	2.6 ft	2
Aug	55°	2.4 ft	–
Sep	54°	2.9 ft	1
Oct	52°	3.7 ft	–
Nov	49°	4.4 ft	–
Dec	46°	4.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.96 in of rain on about 128 days and about 1,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now40 °Ffeels like 36 °F

Tomorrow45 / 64 °F

It's 40 °F now (feels like 36 °F). Today, 35 °F to 59 °F; tomorrow, 45 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Fri 30 69% 0.13 in
Sat 31 8%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 1%
Tue 3 14%
Wed 4 27% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 69% and 0.13 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point36 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 36 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.7 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (7.7 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.50 29.81

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	28 / 49 °F	7 mph W
Tue 27	Clear sky	34 / 48 °F	12 mph NNW
Mon 26	Overcast	37 / 66 °F	12 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	33 / 65 °F	8 mph WSW
Sat 24	Clear sky	31 / 54 °F	9 mph NW
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	38 / 50 °F	15 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	41 / 56 °F	16 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	37 / 56 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	34 / 59 °F	0	11 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	37 / 56 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Sun 18	Clear sky	28 / 53 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	32 / 56 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NW
Fri 16	Light rain	36 / 58 °F	0.48 in	15 mph S
Thu 15	Overcast	40 / 56 °F	0	13 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	47 / 60 °F	0.58 in	13 mph NE
Tue 13	Light rain	39 / 46 °F	0.60 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	44 / 66 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NW
Sun 11	Overcast	36 / 56 °F	0	10 mph SW
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	40 / 56 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	42 / 63 °F	0.07 in	12 mph W
Thu 8	Light rain	49 / 62 °F	0.24 in	11 mph SSW
Wed 7	Overcast	37 / 58 °F	0	11 mph SW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	45 / 58 °F	0	18 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	49 / 65 °F	0.06 in	12 mph W
Sun 4	Overcast	42 / 62 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Sat 3	Overcast	48 / 63 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	54 / 78 °F	0.25 in	8 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	50 / 67 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	54 / 67 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light rain	55 / 60 °F	0.50 in	9 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in East MachiasQuestions

What's the weather like today in East Machias?

Partly cloudy, from 35 °F to 59 °F, with a light air from the south-southwest (2 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in East Machias?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 69% (0.13 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 64 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.17 inHg and steady: −0.30 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit East Machias?

The best time to visit East Machias is from June to August: highs of 72 °F to 78 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in East Machias in October?

In October, East Machias normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 39 °F, with about 11 rainy days (5.14 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 52 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in East Machias?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 78 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 10 °F. The wettest is December (5.70 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in East Machias?

Hurricane season: in July and in September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of East Machias, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

More about East Machias today

Weather near East Machias

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:15 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from