Weather in Triumph

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:58 pm (CDT)

Now · clear sky 72 °F

Feels like: 73 °F
Low / high: 61 / 77 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 6 mph ENE

→ 30.13 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Triumph: partly cloudy, 61 °F to 77 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 76 °F and a 3% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 77 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (46%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 61°
Today
76° 63°
Thu 29
75° 70°
Fri 30
76° 71°
Sat 31
75° 71°
Sun 1
74° 69°
Mon 2
75° 70°
Tue 3
73° 68°
Wed 4
71° 65°
Thu 5
69° 64°
Fri 6
69° 64°
Sat 7
70° 60°
Sun 8
69° 60°
Mon 9
71° 59°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Partly cloudy	61 / 77 °F	1%	12 mph NE	1.6 ft	11:36 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	63 / 76 °F	3%	15 mph NE	1.7 ft	—	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	70 / 75 °F	10%	15 mph ENE	2.0 ft	12:25 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	71 / 76 °F	46% · 0.13 in	13 mph E	1.9 ft	1:13 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	71 / 75 °F	26% · 0.16 in	12 mph ENE	2.6 ft	1:03 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	69 / 74 °F	6%	14 mph ENE	3.4 ft	1:53 am	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 75 °F	14%	15 mph ESE	3.4 ft	2:28 am	NBM
Wed 4	Light showers	68 / 73 °F	37% · 0.46 in	15 mph SSW	2.6 ft	2:18 am · 8:13 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light showers	65 / 71 °F	12% · 0.03 in	13 mph W	3.9 ft	8:07 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	64 / 69 °F	3%	11 mph NW	3.8 ft	8:10 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	64 / 69 °F	3%	11 mph NE	—	7:42 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	60 / 70 °F	8%	11 mph NE	—	7:51 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	60 / 69 °F	13%	9 mph NNE	—	8:20 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	59 / 71 °F	14%	6 mph NNE	—	8:57 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 12:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 1:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	64°	62°	62°	72°	77°	76°	71°	65°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 E	3 NNE	5 NNE	6 NE	11 NNE	11 NE	6 ENE	5 NE
Humidity	77%	70%	77%	78%	48%	54%	74%	76%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	75°	74°	76°	79°	78°	76°	80°
AIFS	73°	74°	75°	76°	75°	75°	76°
GFS	77°	77°	81°	83°	82°	76°	81°
ICON	75°	74°	77°	78°	74°	76°	74°
HRRR	77°	77°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	73°	73°	75°	76°	75°	74°	75°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0	0	0.05 in	0.10 in	0.22 in	0.05 in	0
GFS	0	0	0.02 in	0.16 in	0	0	0.00 in
ICON	0	0	0	0.00 in	0.35 in	0.00 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0.13 in	0.16 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1121	1222	1326	1122	1318	1426	1231
AIFS	11	13	14	13	17	19	19
GFS	1315	1418	1521	1222	1316	1113	1120
ICON	819	920	919	921	817	1024	716
HRRR	1215	1419	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1317	1519	1519	1317	1215	1418	1520
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	69%	71%	62%	55%	33%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	6%	55%	77%	36%	19%	49%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	3%	10%	46%	26%	6%	14%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	9%	23%	15%	3%	8%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Above +65%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	69° / 66°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +31%	Normal +0.4 °F	69° / 66°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +47%	Normal +0.4 °F	67° / 64°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +80%	Normal −0.4 °F	65° / 62°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +69%	—
December	A bit below −1.3 °F	A bit above +31%	—
January	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +23%	—
February	A bit below −2.2 °F	Above +56%	—
March	A bit below −1.4 °F	Above +50%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Triumph climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Triumph is from April to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 82 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 26 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Triumph, about 9 every 10 years; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Francine, in September 2024.

62° 47°

JanJ
65° 49°

FebF
69° 55°

MarM
75° 61°

AprA
82° 69°

MayM
87° 74°

JunJ
89° 76°

JulJ
89° 76°

AugA
87° 74°

SepS
80° 66°

OctO
71° 56°

NovN
65° 50°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	62°	47°	4.59 in	9	4.7	61°	2.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	65°	49°	3.81 in	8	5.3	62°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	69°	55°	4.02 in	7	6.5	66°	1.7 ft	–
AprilApr	75°	61°	4.37 in	7	7.4	71°	1.8 ft	–
MayMay	82°	69°	4.63 in	9	8.8	78°	1.5 ft	–
JuneJun	87°	74°	4.90 in	15	8.1	83°	1.3 ft	4
JulyJul	89°	76°	7.11 in	19	7.6	85°	1.1 ft	2
AugustAug	89°	76°	7.70 in	19	7.4	86°	1.2 ft	6
SeptemberSep	87°	74°	6.13 in	12	7.2	83°	1.4 ft	10
OctoberOct	80°	66°	3.95 in	8	6.4	77°	1.8 ft	3
NovemberNov	71°	56°	3.73 in	7	6.0	70°	2.0 ft	1
DecemberDec	65°	50°	5.13 in	8	4.4	65°	1.9 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	61°	2.0 ft	–
Feb	62°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	66°	1.7 ft	–
Apr	71°	1.8 ft	–
May	78°	1.5 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.3 ft	4
Jul	85°	1.1 ft	2
Aug	86°	1.2 ft	6
Sep	83°	1.4 ft	10
Oct	77°	1.8 ft	3
Nov	70°	2.0 ft	1
Dec	65°	1.9 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.06 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 73 °F

Tomorrow63 / 76 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 73 °F). Today, 61 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Thu 29 3%
Fri 30 10%
Sat 31 46% 0.13 in
Sun 1 26% 0.16 in
Mon 2 6%
Tue 3 14%

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 46% and 0.13 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point63 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 63 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds10%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.06

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 48

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	68 / 76 °F	13 mph ENE
Mon 26	Overcast	68 / 74 °F	15 mph ENE
Sun 25	Overcast	67 / 74 °F	16 mph NE
Sat 24	Clear sky	65 / 76 °F	14 mph ENE
Fri 23	Overcast	61 / 78 °F	9 mph NE
Thu 22	Clear sky	63 / 78 °F	7 mph NNE
Wed 21	Clear sky	64 / 76 °F	10 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	67 / 75 °F	0	13 mph ENE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	65 / 73 °F	0.01 in	16 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	64 / 72 °F	0	17 mph ENE
Sat 17	Overcast	60 / 70 °F	0	24 mph NNE
Fri 16	Partly cloudy	70 / 84 °F	0	25 mph N
Thu 15	Clear sky	73 / 84 °F	0	9 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	70 / 82 °F	0	8 mph E
Tue 13	Clear sky	71 / 84 °F	0	6 mph SE
Mon 12	Overcast	69 / 82 °F	0	7 mph E
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	68 / 82 °F	0	6 mph SSW
Sat 10	Overcast	69 / 77 °F	0	15 mph N
Fri 9	Drizzle	72 / 78 °F	0.19 in	26 mph NE
Thu 8	Light rain	77 / 80 °F	0.33 in	22 mph NE
Wed 7	Overcast	78 / 82 °F	0	16 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.07 in	14 mph NE
Mon 5	Showers	76 / 81 °F	1.17 in	12 mph NNE
Sun 4	Showers	77 / 81 °F	1.96 in	11 mph SE
Sat 3	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.47 in	11 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light showers	81 / 87 °F	0.31 in	10 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.12 in	13 mph SE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.02 in	12 mph ESE
Tue 29	Clear sky	76 / 89 °F	0	9 mph E
Mon 28	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	0	7 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TriumphQuestions

What's the weather like today in Triumph?

Partly cloudy, from 61 °F to 77 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Triumph?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 3% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 61 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.13 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Triumph?

The best time to visit Triumph is from April to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 82 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Triumph in October?

In October, Triumph normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 8 rainy days (3.95 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Triumph?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 47 °F. The wettest is August (7.70 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Triumph?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 26 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Triumph, about 9 every 10 years; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Francine, in September 2024.

More about Triumph today

Weather near Triumph

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 20 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:58 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from