Weather in Pa‘auilo

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:19 pm (HST)

Now · light rain 76 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 75 / 77 °F
Rain: 100% · 1.81 in
Wind: 4 mph SE

↗ 29.90 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Pa‘auilo: rain, 75 °F to 77 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.81 in) and a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, showers, 74 °F to 81 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 81 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 75°
Today
81° 74°
Thu 29
79° 75°
Fri 30
77° 74°
Sat 31
79° 71°
Sun 1
74° 70°
Mon 2
75° 69°
Tue 3
76° 70°
Wed 4
77° 71°
Thu 5
76° 72°
Fri 6
77° 74°
Sat 7
75° 74°
Sun 8
76° 73°
Mon 9
78° 71°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Rain	75 / 77 °F	100% · 1.81 in	12 mph SE	5.8 ft	4:51 am · 3:47 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Showers	74 / 81 °F	100% · 2.95 in	4 mph WNW	6.4 ft	5:45 am · 4:27 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Rain	75 / 79 °F	85% · 1.64 in	6 mph E	6.4 ft	6:45 am · 5:21 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Rain	74 / 77 °F	82% · 0.76 in	5 mph SE	5.2 ft	7:56 am · 6:57 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	71 / 79 °F	57% · 0.17 in	8 mph WNW	6.6 ft	9:13 am · 9:34 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light rain	70 / 74 °F	82% · 0.57 in	5 mph NNW	9.3 ft	10:17 am · 11:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light rain	69 / 75 °F	63% · 0.41 in	6 mph ESE	9.1 ft	11:07 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light rain	70 / 76 °F	59% · 0.61 in	8 mph SE	8.4 ft	12:08 am · 11:49 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	71 / 77 °F	61% · 0.28 in	13 mph SE	9.5 ft	12:55 am · 12:25 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	72 / 76 °F	53% · 0.17 in	14 mph SE	9.9 ft	1:34 am · 12:58 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	74 / 77 °F	67% · 0.05 in	13 mph SE	11 ft	2:08 am · 1:28 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	74 / 75 °F	69% · 0.48 in	10 mph SE	11 ft	2:41 am · 1:57 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	73 / 76 °F	52% · 0.70 in	6 mph ESE	8.9 ft	3:13 am · 2:26 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light rain	71 / 78 °F	59% · 0.27 in	5 mph WNW	15 ft	3:47 am · 2:55 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Drizzle	Light rain	Light rain	Light rain	Light rain	Rain	Light rain	Light rain
Temperature	76°	75°	76°	77°	77°	76°	76°	76°
Chance of rain	49%	100%	100%	98%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Rain	0.03 in	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.05 in	0.06 in	0.13 in	0.09 in	0.08 in
Wind (mph)	8 SSE	5 S	5 SSE	8 ESE	11 ESE	10 ESE	8 SE	1 SSE
Humidity	85%	92%	95%	96%	96%	97%	97%	97%
UV	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	77°	81°	79°	77°	79°	74°	75°
AIFS	78°	77°	77°	78°	78°	76°	76°
GFS	76°	75°	74°	73°	73°	71°	74°
ICON	83°	84°	83°	79°	82°	74°	76°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1.81 in	2.95 in	1.64 in	0.76 in	0.17 in	0.57 in	0.41 in
AIFS	1.36 in	1.88 in	1.37 in	0.57 in	0.56 in	0.47 in	0.38 in
GFS	0.60 in	0.52 in	0.22 in	0.00 in	0.13 in	0.26 in	0.04 in
ICON	0.30 in	0.33 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.09 in	0.25 in	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	low	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1227	415	613	515	819	522	617
AIFS	13	9	9	11	8	9	11
GFS	2021	1823	76	75	614	1512	1714
ICON	413	517	516	411	618	1026	1125
Confidence	low	low	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	85%	82%	57%	82%	63%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	79%	49%	72%	67%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +48%	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	71° / 67°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit below −20%	A bit above +0.5 °F	71° / 66°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	70° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit below −21%	Normal +0.4 °F	70° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
December	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −39%	—
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Below −51%	—
February	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit below −46%	—
March	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −58%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Pa‘auilo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Pa‘auilo is from May to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pa‘auilo, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Douglas, in July 2020.

78° 63°

JanJ
78° 63°

FebF
78° 64°

MarM
79° 65°

AprA
80° 67°

MayM
82° 68°

JunJ
83° 69°

JulJ
83° 69°

AugA
83° 69°

SepS
83° 68°

OctO
80° 67°

NovN
78° 65°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	78°	63°	5.30 in	9	6.2	76°	6.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	78°	63°	5.37 in	10	6.4	76°	6.2 ft	–
MarchMar	78°	64°	7.53 in	12	5.9	75°	5.9 ft	–
AprilApr	79°	65°	4.26 in	11	7.6	76°	5.3 ft	–
MayMay	80°	67°	2.28 in	10	8.1	77°	4.6 ft	–
JuneJun	82°	68°	1.45 in	11	8.6	78°	4.4 ft	–
JulyJul	83°	69°	0.50 in	11	8.3	79°	4.5 ft	3
AugustAug	83°	69°	3.03 in	10	7.6	79°	4.3 ft	1
SeptemberSep	83°	69°	1.41 in	10	7.4	80°	4.4 ft	1
OctoberOct	83°	68°	3.31 in	10	7.1	80°	5.0 ft	–
NovemberNov	80°	67°	3.47 in	11	5.9	79°	6.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	78°	65°	7.11 in	11	5.9	77°	6.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	6.2 ft	–
Feb	76°	6.2 ft	–
Mar	75°	5.9 ft	–
Apr	76°	5.3 ft	–
May	77°	4.6 ft	–
Jun	78°	4.4 ft	–
Jul	79°	4.5 ft	3
Aug	79°	4.3 ft	1
Sep	80°	4.4 ft	1
Oct	80°	5.0 ft	–
Nov	79°	6.1 ft	–
Dec	77°	6.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 45.02 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow74 / 81 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 75 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 81 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 1.81 in
Thu 29 100% 2.95 in
Fri 30 85% 1.64 in
Sat 31 82% 0.76 in
Sun 1 57% 0.17 in
Mon 2 82% 0.57 in
Tue 3 63% 0.41 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.81 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 2.95 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.49 in; last 3 days, 1.63 in; last 7 days, 2.27 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity98%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 98% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now2.1 mimisty

Clouds100%

Visibility is misty now (2.1 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.06 in	9 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	73 / 79 °F	0.04 in	7 mph SSE
Sun 25	Light rain	74 / 78 °F	0.50 in	4 mph SSW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.06 in	3 mph W
Fri 23	Drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.11 in	6 mph W
Thu 22	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SE
Wed 21	Light rain	71 / 79 °F	0.28 in	15 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.09 in	10 mph SSE
Mon 19	Rain	73 / 81 °F	0.45 in	10 mph SE
Sun 18	Light rain	72 / 78 °F	0.70 in	11 mph SE
Sat 17	Drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.17 in	10 mph SSE
Fri 16	Drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.20 in	14 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.15 in	11 mph SE
Wed 14	Drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.14 in	9 mph SE
Tue 13	Drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.07 in	12 mph SE
Mon 12	Drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.14 in	12 mph SE
Sun 11	Mainly clear	72 / 81 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.08 in	12 mph SE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.02 in	12 mph SE
Thu 8	Showers	75 / 83 °F	0.73 in	5 mph SSE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.08 in	5 mph SE
Tue 6	Overcast	73 / 80 °F	0	7 mph SE
Mon 5	Light rain	72 / 80 °F	0.31 in	5 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	73 / 79 °F	0.24 in	10 mph SE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SE
Fri 2	Mainly clear	76 / 82 °F	0	12 mph SE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	75 / 82 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 29	Partly cloudy	74 / 83 °F	0	16 mph SE
Mon 28	Mainly clear	75 / 83 °F	0	19 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Pa‘auiloQuestions

What's the weather like today in Pa‘auilo?

Rain, from 75 °F to 77 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Pa‘auilo?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (2.95 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 81 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and rising: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Pa‘auilo?

The best time to visit Pa‘auilo is from May to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Pa‘auilo in October?

In October, Pa‘auilo normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.31 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Pa‘auilo?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 83 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 63 °F. The wettest is March (7.53 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Pa‘auilo?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pa‘auilo, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Douglas, in July 2020.

More about Pa‘auilo today

Weather near Pa‘auilo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:19 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from