Weather in Mākena

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:04 am (HST)

Now · light rain 75 °F

Feels like: 81 °F
Low / high: 75 / 77 °F
Rain: 86% · 0.57 in
Wind: 6 mph NE

→ 29.85 inHg · steady

Today in Mākena: light rain, 75 °F to 77 °F, with a 86% chance of rain (0.57 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 75 °F to 77 °F and a 38% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 78 °F. Next likely rain: Thursday 5 (10%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 75°
Today
77° 75°
Fri 30
78° 74°
Sat 31
78° 74°
Sun 1
78° 74°
Mon 2
76° 72°
Tue 3
73° 71°
Wed 4
73° 71°
Thu 5
74° 70°
Fri 6
74° 71°
Sat 7
77° 72°
Sun 8
80° 74°
Mon 9
78° 73°
Tue 10
79° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	75 / 77 °F	86% · 0.57 in	9 mph NNE	4.3 ft	6:26 am · 4:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	75 / 77 °F	38% · 0.02 in	11 mph NNE	4.3 ft	7:33 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	21% · 0.01 in	10 mph NNE	4.1 ft	8:56 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	24% · 0.01 in	22 mph NNE	3.7 ft	10:19 am · 9:42 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	12% · 0.01 in	20 mph NNE	3.8 ft	11:22 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Mainly clear	72 / 76 °F	8%	10 mph N	3.7 ft	12:02 am · 12:08 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	71 / 73 °F	13% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	4.1 ft	1:02 am · 12:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	71 / 73 °F	10% · 0.05 in	6 mph W	4.3 ft	1:46 am · 1:11 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	70 / 74 °F	12%	4 mph NNW	4.8 ft	2:23 am · 1:36 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	71 / 74 °F	13%	4 mph N	5.0 ft	2:57 am · 1:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	72 / 77 °F	15%	8 mph NNE	2.1 ft	3:29 am · 2:20 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	74 / 80 °F	6%	8 mph NNE	2.3 ft	4:01 am · 2:42 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	73 / 78 °F	12%	7 mph NNE	2.3 ft	4:33 am · 3:03 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	72 / 79 °F	8% · 0.02 in	7 mph NNE	2.0 ft	5:08 am · 3:21 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Heavy drizzle	Light rain	Light drizzle	Light rain	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	75°	75°	75°	75°	76°	77°	76°	75°
Chance of rain	81%	81%	82%	67%	67%	65%	56%	47%
Rain	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 NE	6 NE	6 NNE	6 N	5 NNE	4 NE	8 NNE	9 NNE
Humidity	87%	87%	91%	91%	87%	82%	88%	92%
UV	0	0	0	2	4	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	77°	77°	78°	78°	78°	76°	73°
AIFS	77°	78°	78°	76°	77°	78°	78°
GFS	78°	82°	82°	80°	81°	80°	83°
ICON	83°	85°	85°	82°	81°	81°	85°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.57 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0.02 in
AIFS	1.02 in	0.25 in	0.24 in	0.61 in	0.19 in	0.13 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.60 in	0.02 in	0	0.01 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.27 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	914	1116	1015	2231	2031	1027	925
AIFS	6	6	4	11	11	7	6
GFS	2221	1916	1513	2424	2924	2424	2324
ICON	717	819	614	1536	1233	1124	820
Confidence	low	medium	medium	medium	low	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	86%	38%	21%	24%	12%	8%	13%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	90%	43%	19%	14%	13%	12%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit below −32%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	A bit below −29%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit below −40%	77° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.7 °F	A bit below −37%	77° / 70°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.7 °F	A bit below −43%	77° / 70°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −22%
December	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −59%
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −77%
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Below −67%
March	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −75%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Mākena climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mākena is from April to September and from January to February: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mākena, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Douglas, in July 2020.

79° 65°

JanJ
79° 64°

FebF
80° 66°

MarM
81° 67°

AprA
82° 69°

MayM
84° 70°

JunJ
85° 71°

JulJ
85° 72°

AugA
85° 71°

SepS
84° 70°

OctO
82° 69°

NovN
80° 67°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	79°	65°	4.13 in	9	6.3	76°	5.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	79°	64°	4.10 in	10	6.7	76°	5.1 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	66°	5.74 in	12	6.5	75°	4.9 ft	–
AprilApr	81°	67°	4.20 in	11	7.6	76°	4.8 ft	–
MayMay	82°	69°	4.06 in	10	7.9	77°	4.5 ft	–
JuneJun	84°	70°	2.13 in	11	8.4	78°	4.7 ft	–
JulyJul	85°	71°	3.74 in	11	8.1	79°	4.6 ft	1
AugustAug	85°	72°	4.73 in	10	7.8	80°	4.5 ft	1
SeptemberSep	85°	71°	3.20 in	10	7.4	80°	4.4 ft	1
OctoberOct	84°	70°	5.06 in	10	7.1	80°	4.5 ft	–
NovemberNov	82°	69°	4.58 in	11	6.0	79°	5.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	80°	67°	4.83 in	11	6.1	77°	5.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	5.1 ft	–
Feb	76°	5.1 ft	–
Mar	75°	4.9 ft	–
Apr	76°	4.8 ft	–
May	77°	4.5 ft	–
Jun	78°	4.7 ft	–
Jul	79°	4.6 ft	1
Aug	80°	4.5 ft	1
Sep	80°	4.4 ft	1
Oct	80°	4.5 ft	–
Nov	79°	5.0 ft	–
Dec	77°	5.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.48 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 81 °F

Tomorrow75 / 77 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 81 °F). Today, 75 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 77 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 86% 0.57 in
Fri 30 38% 0.02 in
Sat 31 21% 0.01 in
Sun 1 24% 0.01 in
Mon 2 12% 0.01 in
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 13% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 86%, with 0.57 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 5: 10% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.24 in; last 3 days, 1.82 in; last 7 days, 1.82 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity89%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 89% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.95

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Rain	74 / 76 °F	1.36 in	9 mph NNE
Tue 27	Drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.24 in	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	72 / 80 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sun 25	Overcast	74 / 80 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	75 / 80 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Fri 23	Overcast	75 / 81 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	74 / 78 °F	0	7 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	73 / 78 °F	0	6 mph N
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	75 / 79 °F	0	9 mph W
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	75 / 79 °F	0	10 mph N
Sun 18	Light drizzle	73 / 80 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.07 in	6 mph NNE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.31 in	8 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	73 / 78 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NE
Tue 13	Partly cloudy	74 / 81 °F	0	8 mph NE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	73 / 80 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sun 11	Mainly clear	73 / 81 °F	0	7 mph NE
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	76 / 80 °F	0	6 mph N
Fri 9	Drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.14 in	10 mph SSE
Thu 8	Light rain	78 / 80 °F	0.38 in	16 mph SSE
Wed 7	Overcast	74 / 79 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Tue 6	Overcast	74 / 80 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	73 / 80 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 2	Overcast	76 / 82 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Thu 1	Mainly clear	76 / 82 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Wed 30	Overcast	77 / 83 °F	0	8 mph NE
Tue 29	Partly cloudy	76 / 82 °F	0	9 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MākenaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mākena?

Light rain, from 75 °F to 77 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph) and a 86% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mākena?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 38% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 78 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mākena?

The best time to visit Mākena is from April to September and from January to February: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mākena in October?

In October, Mākena normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 10 rainy days (5.06 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mākena?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 85 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is March (5.74 in) and the driest, June.

When is hurricane season in Mākena?

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mākena, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Douglas, in July 2020.

More about Mākena today

Weather near Mākena

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:04 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from