Weather in Kapalua

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 4:33 pm (HST)

Now · light drizzle 77 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 76 / 77 °F
Rain: 100% · 1.54 in
Wind: 17 mph ENE

→ 29.83 inHg · steady

Today in Kapalua: rain, 76 °F to 77 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.54 in) and a moderate breeze from the east-northeast (17 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 77 °F to 78 °F and a 81% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 79 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 76°
Today
78° 77°
Thu 29
78° 77°
Fri 30
79° 76°
Sat 31
77° 75°
Sun 1
76° 73°
Mon 2
77° 73°
Tue 3
77° 74°
Wed 4
78° 74°
Thu 5
78° 76°
Fri 6
77° 75°
Sat 7
78° 76°
Sun 8
76° 75°
Mon 9
75° 75°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Rain	76 / 77 °F	100% · 1.54 in	17 mph NE	4.0 ft	5:29 am · 3:50 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	77 / 78 °F	81% · 0.08 in	17 mph ENE	4.1 ft	6:23 am · 4:07 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	77 / 78 °F	23% · 0.01 in	19 mph NE	4.3 ft	7:30 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	76 / 79 °F	22%	16 mph NE	3.7 ft	8:53 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 77 °F	37% · 0.07 in	21 mph NE	5.1 ft	10:16 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	73 / 76 °F	47% · 0.07 in	26 mph NE	6.1 ft	11:19 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	73 / 77 °F	12% · 0.09 in	26 mph NE	5.9 ft	12:05 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 77 °F	20% · 0.09 in	25 mph ENE	6.0 ft	12:59 am · 12:40 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 78 °F	25% · 0.01 in	26 mph ENE	6.6 ft	1:43 am · 1:08 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	76 / 78 °F	14% · 0.01 in	26 mph ENE	6.6 ft	2:20 am · 1:33 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 77 °F	21% · 0.01 in	23 mph ENE	5.5 ft	2:54 am · 1:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	76 / 78 °F	22%	18 mph ENE	4.5 ft	3:26 am · 2:17 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	75 / 76 °F	25%	16 mph NE	3.5 ft	3:58 am · 2:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	75 / 75 °F	18% · 0.04 in	21 mph NE	6.6 ft	4:30 am · 3:00 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Heavy drizzle	Rain	Rain	Rain	Light rain	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	77°	76°	76°	76°	77°	77°	77°	77°
Chance of rain	97%	100%	100%	100%	100%	98%	91%	89%
Rain	0.04 in	0.13 in	0.18 in	0.10 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 ENE	4 WSW	1 ENE	12 ENE	10 ENE	16 NE	17 ENE	15 NE
Humidity	89%	88%	87%	89%	86%	86%	85%	86%
UV	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	77°	78°	78°	79°	77°	76°	77°
AIFS	77°	78°	78°	78°	77°	77°	77°
GFS	79°	82°	82°	81°	80°	78°	78°
ICON	79°	80°	81°	81°	79°	78°	78°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1.54 in	0.08 in	0.01 in	0	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.09 in
AIFS	1.77 in	0.32 in	0.12 in	0.09 in	0.17 in	0.07 in	0.07 in
GFS	1.41 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.00 in	0
ICON	1.45 in	0.44 in	0	0	0.08 in	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1723	1723	1925	1622	2128	2633	2635
AIFS	12	15	16	12	22	23	22
GFS	919	714	814	814	1828	1728	1226
ICON	617	617	824	717	1241	1540	1544
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	81%	23%	22%	37%	47%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	92%	34%	26%	26%	19%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	Normal	78° / 70°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.5 °F	Below −51%	78° / 70°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit below −48%	78° / 69°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Below −53%	77° / 69°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −59%
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −74%
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −66%
March	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −74%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Kapalua climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Kapalua is from April to September: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in July and in September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Kapalua, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kiko, in September 2025.

79° 65°

JanJ
79° 65°

FebF
80° 66°

MarM
80° 67°

AprA
82° 68°

MayM
83° 70°

JunJ
84° 71°

JulJ
85° 72°

AugA
85° 71°

SepS
84° 71°

OctO
82° 69°

NovN
80° 67°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	79°	65°	4.34 in	7	6.5	76°	6.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	79°	65°	3.02 in	7	6.9	75°	6.3 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	66°	3.59 in	8	6.8	75°	5.9 ft	–
AprilApr	80°	67°	2.04 in	6	8.1	76°	5.3 ft	–
MayMay	82°	68°	1.33 in	5	8.6	77°	4.6 ft	–
JuneJun	83°	70°	0.89 in	4	9.3	78°	4.5 ft	–
JulyJul	84°	71°	0.48 in	5	8.7	78°	4.4 ft	1
AugustAug	85°	72°	0.80 in	5	8.4	79°	4.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	85°	71°	1.09 in	6	8.0	80°	4.4 ft	2
OctoberOct	84°	71°	3.05 in	7	7.3	80°	5.1 ft	–
NovemberNov	82°	69°	3.12 in	8	6.3	79°	6.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	80°	67°	4.41 in	7	6.2	77°	6.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	6.3 ft	–
Feb	75°	6.3 ft	–
Mar	75°	5.9 ft	–
Apr	76°	5.3 ft	–
May	77°	4.6 ft	–
Jun	78°	4.5 ft	–
Jul	78°	4.4 ft	1
Aug	79°	4.2 ft	–
Sep	80°	4.4 ft	2
Oct	80°	5.1 ft	–
Nov	79°	6.0 ft	–
Dec	77°	6.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 28.16 in of rain on about 74 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow77 / 78 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 76 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 77 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 1.54 in
Thu 29 81% 0.08 in
Fri 30 23% 0.01 in
Sat 31 22%
Sun 1 37% 0.07 in
Mon 2 47% 0.07 in
Tue 3 12% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.54 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 81% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.73 in; last 3 days, 1.81 in; last 7 days, 1.83 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now2.5 mimisty

Clouds80%

Visibility is misty now (2.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	77 / 79 °F	0.28 in	15 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	76 / 79 °F	0	15 mph NE
Sun 25	Overcast	75 / 78 °F	0	14 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	76 / 79 °F	0	17 mph NE
Fri 23	Overcast	78 / 79 °F	0	16 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 78 °F	0.02 in	19 mph ENE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 79 °F	0.02 in	20 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	78 / 80 °F	0	23 mph ENE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.02 in	24 mph ENE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.02 in	23 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	76 / 79 °F	0.04 in	21 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.07 in	22 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.04 in	21 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 79 °F	0.01 in	17 mph NE
Tue 13	Clear sky	78 / 80 °F	0	19 mph ENE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	77 / 80 °F	0	18 mph NE
Sun 11	Clear sky	78 / 80 °F	0	15 mph NE
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	79 / 80 °F	0	18 mph ENE
Fri 9	Drizzle	78 / 80 °F	0.19 in	11 mph SSE
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	77 / 80 °F	0.71 in	17 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.01 in	16 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	77 / 79 °F	0.01 in	16 mph NE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	76 / 79 °F	0.01 in	19 mph ENE
Sun 4	Mainly clear	78 / 80 °F	0	21 mph NE
Sat 3	Overcast	78 / 81 °F	0	19 mph ENE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.01 in	12 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NE
Wed 30	Overcast	78 / 82 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Tue 29	Overcast	77 / 81 °F	0	15 mph NE
Mon 28	Mainly clear	78 / 82 °F	0	20 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KapaluaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Kapalua?

Rain, from 76 °F to 77 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-northeast (17 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Kapalua?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 81% (0.08 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 79 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Kapalua?

The best time to visit Kapalua is from April to September: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Kapalua in October?

In October, Kapalua normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.05 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Kapalua?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 85 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is December (4.41 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Kapalua?

Hurricane season: in July and in September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 3 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Kapalua, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kiko, in September 2025.

More about Kapalua today

Weather near Kapalua

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:33 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from