Weather in South Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:16 pm (EDT)

Now · light drizzle 77 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 74 / 77 °F
Rain: 65% · 3.01 in
Wind: 12 mph NE

→ 29.95 inHg · steady

Today in South Beach: drizzle, 74 °F to 77 °F, with a 65% chance of rain (3.01 in) and a moderate breeze from the northeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 75 °F to 81 °F and a 25% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 81 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 74°
Today
81° 75°
Thu 29
81° 76°
Fri 30
81° 76°
Sat 31
79° 75°
Sun 1
79° 72°
Mon 2
80° 71°
Tue 3
81° 72°
Wed 4
80° 71°
Thu 5
79° 70°
Fri 6
78° 68°
Sat 7
78° 66°
Sun 8
76° 61°
Mon 9
79° 64°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	74 / 77 °F	65% · 3.01 in	24 mph NE	9.1 ft	1:11 am · 1:56 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	25% · 0.38 in	17 mph NE	6.4 ft	2:01 am · 2:49 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	76 / 81 °F	39% · 0.13 in	17 mph NE	5.1 ft	2:55 am · 3:44 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	76 / 81 °F	50% · 0.39 in	20 mph ENE	5.1 ft	3:54 am · 4:43 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Showers	75 / 79 °F	68% · 1.31 in	19 mph E	5.2 ft	3:59 am · 4:46 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light showers	72 / 79 °F	58% · 0.61 in	15 mph E	5.2 ft	5:08 am · 5:49 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	19% · 0.03 in	13 mph NE	4.7 ft	6:18 am · 6:50 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	72 / 81 °F	13%	11 mph ENE	5.0 ft	7:23 am · 7:45 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	22%	11 mph SW	3.8 ft	8:22 am · 8:36 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	70 / 79 °F	18% · 0.02 in	10 mph W	3.7 ft	9:13 am · 9:22 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	10% · 0.02 in	10 mph N	2.7 ft	9:59 am · 10:04 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	66 / 78 °F	14%	10 mph NNE	2.2 ft	10:41 am · 10:44 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	61 / 76 °F	16%	7 mph NW	3.2 ft	11:20 am · 11:22 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	64 / 79 °F	9%	8 mph WSW	3.5 ft	11:58 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	76°	75°	76°	76°	76°	76°	76°	77°
Chance of rain	29%	30%	48%	48%	61%	52%	53%	31%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.54 in	0.04 in	0.94 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	23 NE	24 NNE	18 NE	15 NE	11 NNE	7 ENE	9 NNE	12 NE
Humidity	84%	91%	91%	92%	95%	92%	98%	92%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Friday 30: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	80°	82°	82°	77°	80°	78°	81°
AIFS	81°	82°	83°	82°	77°	74°	77°
GFS	80°	84°	82°	81°	78°	84°	85°
ICON	79°	81°	81°	82°	80°	78°	85°
HRRR	77°	80°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	80°	81°	81°	81°	79°	79°	80°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.44 in	0.06 in	0.04 in	0.47 in	0.70 in	0.72 in	0.10 in
AIFS	0.40 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.21 in	0.89 in	1.90 in	1.55 in
GFS	0.88 in	0.06 in	0.28 in	0.43 in	1.36 in	0.94 in	0.11 in
ICON	0.39 in	0.05 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.43 in	1.34 in	0
HRRR	3.01 in	0.34 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1.48 in	0.19 in	0.13 in	0.39 in	1.31 in	0.61 in	0.03 in
Confidence	medium	high	low	high	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1427	1730	1426	1222	1426	1316	1426
AIFS	16	13	11	14	12	13	13
GFS	2236	1425	1623	1828	1828	1426	814
ICON	1831	1324	1323	1527	1527	919	714
HRRR	2437	1526	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	2837	1724	1723	2028	1927	1521	1320
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	85%	73%	71%	65%	65%	45%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	78%	77%	94%	100%	73%	31%
NBM (NOAA)	65%	25%	39%	50%	68%	58%	19%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	7%	2%	18%	25%	38%	35%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +22%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +28%	76° / 65°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +25%	76° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Above +62%	76° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +113%	74° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +58%
December	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +110%
January	A bit below −1.6 °F	Well above +116%
February	A bit below −1.4 °F	Well above +134%
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +93%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

South Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit South Beach is from November to April: highs of 73 °F to 82 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of South Beach, about 7 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

73° 53°

JanJ
76° 55°

FebF
78° 59°

MarM
82° 63°

AprA
86° 68°

MayM
89° 72°

JunJ
91° 73°

JulJ
91° 74°

AugA
89° 73°

SepS
85° 69°

OctO
80° 62°

NovN
76° 56°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	73°	53°	2.34 in	6	5.7	74°	4.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	76°	55°	2.70 in	6	6.5	73°	3.8 ft	–
MarchMar	78°	59°	3.04 in	7	7.4	74°	4.1 ft	–
AprilApr	82°	63°	2.49 in	8	8.1	76°	3.5 ft	–
MayMay	86°	68°	4.91 in	11	9.1	79°	3.2 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	72°	7.15 in	20	7.5	81°	2.3 ft	1
JulyJul	91°	73°	6.65 in	21	8.1	83°	2.1 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	74°	7.41 in	22	7.5	84°	2.4 ft	4
SeptemberSep	89°	73°	9.21 in	19	6.1	84°	3.6 ft	7
OctoberOct	85°	69°	6.08 in	11	6.0	82°	4.3 ft	5
NovemberNov	80°	62°	2.55 in	6	5.8	79°	4.9 ft	2
DecemberDec	76°	56°	2.18 in	6	5.1	76°	4.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	74°	4.1 ft	–
Feb	73°	3.8 ft	–
Mar	74°	4.1 ft	–
Apr	76°	3.5 ft	–
May	79°	3.2 ft	–
Jun	81°	2.3 ft	1
Jul	83°	2.1 ft	1
Aug	84°	2.4 ft	4
Sep	84°	3.6 ft	7
Oct	82°	4.3 ft	5
Nov	79°	4.9 ft	2
Dec	76°	4.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 56.73 in of rain on about 143 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow75 / 81 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 74 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 81 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65% 3.01 in
Thu 29 25% 0.38 in
Fri 30 39% 0.13 in
Sat 31 50% 0.39 in
Sun 1 68% 1.31 in
Mon 2 58% 0.61 in
Tue 3 19% 0.03 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%, with 3.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 25% and 0.38 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 2.97 in; last 3 days, 3.46 in; last 7 days, 3.94 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.2 migood

Clouds78%

Visibility is good now (8.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 30.03

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 32

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.25 in	18 mph NNE
Mon 26	Drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.08 in	19 mph NE
Sun 25	Light rain	71 / 82 °F	0.46 in	19 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	68 / 82 °F	0.01 in	13 mph N
Fri 23	Clear sky	64 / 81 °F	0	13 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	67 / 80 °F	0	11 mph N
Wed 21	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.01 in	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	69 / 81 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	0.08 in	16 mph NE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.05 in	16 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light showers	72 / 84 °F	0.50 in	12 mph N
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.33 in	5 mph ESE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.04 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.02 in	10 mph ENE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	69 / 86 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Mon 12	Overcast	73 / 86 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	77 / 86 °F	0.21 in	9 mph SSW
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	76 / 89 °F	0.13 in	15 mph S
Fri 9	Drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.12 in	11 mph SSE
Thu 8	Light showers	73 / 87 °F	0.27 in	5 mph ESE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	75 / 82 °F	0.56 in	6 mph E
Tue 6	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.44 in	4 mph NE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.09 in	6 mph SSE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.01 in	9 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	75 / 84 °F	0.19 in	8 mph SE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	77 / 84 °F	0.25 in	10 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	74 / 82 °F	0.25 in	10 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.30 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SW
Mon 28	Overcast	65 / 86 °F	0	6 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in South BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in South Beach?

Drizzle, from 74 °F to 77 °F, with a moderate breeze from the northeast (12 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in South Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 25% (0.38 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 81 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.95 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit South Beach?

The best time to visit South Beach is from November to April: highs of 73 °F to 82 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in South Beach in October?

In October, South Beach normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 69 °F, with about 11 rainy days (6.08 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in South Beach?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is September (9.21 in) and the driest, December.

When is hurricane season in South Beach?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of South Beach, about 7 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about South Beach today

Weather near South Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:16 pm (local time).

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