Weather in Siesta Key

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:18 am (EDT)

Now · clear 72 °F

Feels like: 73 °F
Low / high: 71 / 87 °F
Rain: 8%
Wind: 12 mph NE

→ 29.99 inHg · steady

Today in Siesta Key: light drizzle, 71 °F to 87 °F, with a 8% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 71 °F to 86 °F and a 24% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (51%).

Measured now at the airport

Sarasota-Bradenton (KSRQ), 9.3 mi away · 25 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind13 mph from the east-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 71°
Today
86° 71°
Fri 30
85° 71°
Sat 31
82° 71°
Sun 1
82° 68°
Mon 2
82° 66°
Tue 3
82° 67°
Wed 4
81° 67°
Thu 5
79° 66°
Fri 6
78° 63°
Sat 7
78° 60°
Sun 8
73° 60°
Mon 9
73° 64°
Tue 10
73° 65°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	8%	12 mph NE	1.4 ft	12:48 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	24% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	1.2 ft	1:36 am	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	71 / 85 °F	51% · 0.07 in	15 mph ENE	1.2 ft	2:32 am	NBM
Sun 1	Rain	71 / 82 °F	64% · 0.54 in	13 mph ENE	1.2 ft	2:42 am · 7:22 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Rain	68 / 82 °F	44% · 0.05 in	13 mph NE	1.2 ft	4:17 am · 7:41 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	66 / 82 °F	9%	10 mph NE	1.1 ft	6:08 am · 8:03 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	67 / 82 °F	11%	10 mph ESE	0.7 ft	7:49 am · 8:26 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	67 / 81 °F	18% · 0.02 in	13 mph SSW	2.2 ft	9:12 am · 8:48 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	66 / 79 °F	10%	11 mph WNW	5.8 ft	10:20 am · 9:10 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	63 / 78 °F	6% · 0.02 in	10 mph NNW	5.6 ft	11:18 am · 9:30 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	60 / 78 °F	5%	11 mph N	4.5 ft	12:09 pm · 9:51 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	60 / 73 °F	8%	8 mph N	3.5 ft	12:55 pm · 10:15 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	64 / 73 °F	12% · 0.05 in	8 mph N	2.4 ft	1:40 pm · 10:43 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	65 / 73 °F	14%	10 mph N	2.4 ft	11:14 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	73°	72°	71°	74°	83°	87°	84°	77°
Chance of rain	6%	4%	1%	1%	1%	1%	8%	3%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 NE	10 NE	8 NE	8 NE	10 ENE	9 ENE	11 NE	12 NE
Humidity	76%	86%	89%	88%	69%	59%	61%	85%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	86°	85°	78°	80°	83°	82°
AIFS	84°	84°	84°	78°	75°	78°	80°
GFS	86°	86°	86°	83°	84°	85°	85°
ICON	86°	87°	85°	78°	78°	80°	82°
HRRR	87°	85°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	85°	86°	85°	82°	82°	82°	82°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.21 in	0.35 in	0.55 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0.08 in	0.67 in	0.66 in	0.36 in	0.10 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.49 in	0.08 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	1.01 in	0.52 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.54 in	0.05 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	low	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1323	1124	1328	1223	1517	1025	817
AIFS	13	11	13	15	16	15	11
GFS	1329	1525	1627	1327	815	87	1111
ICON	1122	1322	1221	1017	1121	714	612
HRRR	1233	1326	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1424	1322	1523	1321	1319	1017	1015
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	20%	75%	65%	76%	43%	37%	22%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	46%	68%	82%	77%	19%	14%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	8%	24%	51%	64%	44%	9%	11%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	8%	18%	32%	23%	9%	7%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +44%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +118%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +71%	A bit above +0.5 °F	74° / 66°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +118%	A bit above +0.5 °F	73° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal 0.0 °F	Well above +194%	Normal +0.4 °F	71° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Well above +103%	—
December	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +132%	—
January	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +136%	—
February	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +154%	—
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	Well above +149%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Siesta Key climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Siesta Key is from November to April: highs of 71 °F to 82 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Siesta Key, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

71° 53°

JanJ
74° 55°

FebF
78° 58°

MarM
82° 63°

AprA
88° 68°

MayM
90° 73°

JunJ
91° 74°

JulJ
92° 75°

AugA
90° 74°

SepS
86° 69°

OctO
79° 61°

NovN
74° 56°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	71°	53°	2.31 in	7	6.2	65°	1.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	74°	55°	2.58 in	6	6.7	65°	0.9 ft	–
MarchMar	78°	58°	2.64 in	7	7.6	68°	1.0 ft	–
AprilApr	82°	63°	1.70 in	7	8.5	73°	1.0 ft	–
MayMay	88°	68°	2.95 in	9	9.2	78°	0.9 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	73°	8.00 in	21	7.5	83°	0.8 ft	1
JulyJul	91°	74°	7.54 in	25	7.5	85°	0.7 ft	2
AugustAug	92°	75°	9.06 in	25	7.2	86°	0.8 ft	3
SeptemberSep	90°	74°	7.68 in	20	6.4	85°	0.8 ft	9
OctoberOct	86°	69°	2.50 in	9	6.4	81°	1.0 ft	1
NovemberNov	79°	61°	1.90 in	5	6.5	74°	1.0 ft	3
DecemberDec	74°	56°	2.12 in	5	5.7	69°	1.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	65°	1.1 ft	–
Feb	65°	0.9 ft	–
Mar	68°	1.0 ft	–
Apr	73°	1.0 ft	–
May	78°	0.9 ft	–
Jun	83°	0.8 ft	1
Jul	85°	0.7 ft	2
Aug	86°	0.8 ft	3
Sep	85°	0.8 ft	9
Oct	81°	1.0 ft	1
Nov	74°	1.0 ft	3
Dec	69°	1.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.97 in of rain on about 145 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 73 °F

Tomorrow71 / 86 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 73 °F). Today, 71 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 8%
Fri 30 24% 0.02 in
Sat 31 51% 0.07 in
Sun 1 64% 0.54 in
Mon 2 44% 0.05 in
Tue 3 9%
Wed 4 11%

Today the chance of rain reaches 8%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 51% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.06 in; last 7 days, 0.07 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity76%

Dew point65 °F

Humidity is 76% now and the dew point is 65 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds14%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 30.05

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 42

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.02 in	17 mph NE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	67 / 83 °F	0.04 in	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	70 / 85 °F	0.01 in	18 mph NE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	68 / 84 °F	0.01 in	19 mph NE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	64 / 82 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	60 / 81 °F	0	13 mph NE
Thu 22	Clear sky	64 / 80 °F	0	11 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Mainly clear	62 / 82 °F	0	11 mph NE
Tue 20	Mainly clear	64 / 81 °F	0	12 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	66 / 82 °F	0	16 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	67 / 78 °F	0.91 in	15 mph NNE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.20 in	8 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.14 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	72 / 88 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	69 / 86 °F	0	8 mph NE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	71 / 85 °F	0	9 mph N
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	78 / 85 °F	0.74 in	10 mph SW
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	80 / 86 °F	0.33 in	13 mph S
Fri 9	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.07 in	17 mph SE
Thu 8	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	2.16 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	76 / 80 °F	1.54 in	8 mph S
Tue 6	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.50 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 5	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.12 in	13 mph SE
Sun 4	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.21 in	8 mph SE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	75 / 89 °F	0.45 in	9 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.13 in	11 mph E
Thu 1	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.15 in	13 mph E
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	70 / 88 °F	0.35 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.24 in	8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Siesta KeyQuestions

What's the weather like today in Siesta Key?

Light drizzle, from 71 °F to 87 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (12 mph) and a 8% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Siesta Key?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 24% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.99 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Siesta Key?

The best time to visit Siesta Key is from November to April: highs of 71 °F to 82 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Siesta Key in October?

In October, Siesta Key normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 69 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.50 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Siesta Key?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is August (9.06 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Siesta Key?

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Siesta Key, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Siesta Key today

Weather near Siesta Key

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:18 am (local time).

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