Weather in Ponce Inlet

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:56 am (EDT)

Now · mainly clear 74 °F

Feels like: 76 °F
Low / high: 74 / 80 °F
Rain: 21% · 0.07 in
Wind: 13 mph NE

→ 30.01 inHg · steady

Today in Ponce Inlet: light drizzle, 74 °F to 80 °F, with a 21% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a moderate breeze from the northeast (13 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 75 °F to 79 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 80 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

80° 74°
Today
79° 75°
Fri 30
80° 75°
Sat 31
77° 73°
Sun 1
76° 73°
Mon 2
78° 72°
Tue 3
78° 72°
Wed 4
78° 71°
Thu 5
76° 68°
Fri 6
74° 66°
Sat 7
74° 61°
Sun 8
69° 58°
Mon 9
75° 67°
Tue 10
73° 63°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	21% · 0.07 in	17 mph NE	6.8 ft	11:06 am · 11:25 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	75 / 79 °F	31% · 0.04 in	16 mph NE	4.9 ft	12:03 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	75 / 80 °F	29% · 0.08 in	19 mph ENE	5.4 ft	12:23 am · 1:02 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light rain	73 / 77 °F	65% · 2.52 in	19 mph E	5.4 ft	1:24 am · 1:05 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light rain	73 / 76 °F	57% · 1.27 in	16 mph ENE	6.2 ft	1:29 am · 2:08 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	72 / 78 °F	14% · 0.02 in	14 mph NE	6.4 ft	2:33 am · 3:08 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	72 / 78 °F	11%	11 mph ENE	5.2 ft	3:35 am · 4:05 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	71 / 78 °F	20%	10 mph SSW	4.3 ft	4:32 am · 4:57 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	68 / 76 °F	14%	9 mph W	3.5 ft	5:23 am · 5:44 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	66 / 74 °F	11% · 0.05 in	10 mph N	2.8 ft	6:10 am · 6:28 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	61 / 74 °F	12%	10 mph N	2.0 ft	6:52 am · 7:09 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	58 / 69 °F	14% · 0.09 in	11 mph NNW	5.8 ft	7:33 am · 7:49 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	67 / 75 °F	12% · 0.19 in	10 mph NNE	5.6 ft	8:12 am · 8:29 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	63 / 73 °F	25% · 0.12 in	6 mph N	4.1 ft	8:50 am · 9:09 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	74°	74°	74°	77°	80°	80°	76°	76°
Chance of rain	8%	5%	5%	8%	14%	21%	7%	11%
Rain	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	15 NE	12 NE	11 NE	8 NE	11 NE	13 NE	10 NNE	16 NNE
Humidity	80%	88%	85%	87%	81%	81%	87%	90%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	79°	80°	81°	75°	73°	81°	81°
AIFS	80°	79°	80°	78°	75°	76°	77°
GFS	82°	82°	82°	76°	83°	86°	85°
ICON	78°	80°	79°	78°	76°	81°	81°
HRRR	80°	79°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	79°	79°	80°	77°	76°	78°	78°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.76 in	0.89 in	0.07 in	0
AIFS	0.05 in	0.11 in	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.33 in	0.76 in	0.53 in
GFS	0.13 in	0.12 in	0.13 in	1.54 in	0.41 in	0	0.02 in
ICON	0.09 in	0	0	0.08 in	1.67 in	0	0
HRRR	0.03 in	0.04 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.20 in	0.04 in	0.08 in	2.52 in	1.27 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	low	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1229	1124	1328	1225	1230	1130	1025
AIFS	13	11	14	16	15	17	13
GFS	1223	1222	1323	1223	823	713	815
ICON	1323	1221	1221	1120	2138	714	510
HRRR	1527	1827	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	2026	1623	1926	1926	1623	1421	1117
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	63%	63%	60%	49%	59%	39%	26%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	74%	36%	55%	100%	66%	14%	32%
NBM (NOAA)	21%	31%	29%	65%	57%	14%	11%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	2%	15%	13%	36%	29%	9%	8%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +53%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.3 °F	A bit above +49%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	74° / 64°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.2 °F	Above +72%	73° / 62°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.5 °F	Well above +148%	71° / 61°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +79%
December	Normal −0.5 °F	Above +96%
January	A bit below −1.6 °F	Above +89%
February	A bit below −1.6 °F	Well above +129%
March	A bit below −1.4 °F	Above +85%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ponce Inlet climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ponce Inlet is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 71 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ponce Inlet, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

69° 49°

JanJ
71° 51°

FebF
75° 56°

MarM
80° 61°

AprA
85° 66°

MayM
88° 71°

JunJ
89° 73°

JulJ
89° 73°

AugA
87° 73°

SepS
82° 67°

OctO
76° 58°

NovN
71° 52°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	69°	49°	2.38 in	7	5.8	68°	2.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	71°	51°	2.64 in	6	5.9	67°	2.2 ft	–
MarchMar	75°	56°	2.90 in	7	7.3	68°	2.3 ft	–
AprilApr	80°	61°	2.48 in	7	8.4	72°	2.1 ft	–
MayMay	85°	66°	3.69 in	9	9.4	76°	1.9 ft	1
JuneJun	88°	71°	6.68 in	20	7.9	80°	1.5 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	73°	6.68 in	21	8.5	82°	1.4 ft	–
AugustAug	89°	73°	7.58 in	22	7.6	82°	1.6 ft	4
SeptemberSep	87°	73°	7.95 in	17	6.3	82°	2.2 ft	7
OctoberOct	82°	67°	4.53 in	10	6.2	79°	2.5 ft	4
NovemberNov	76°	58°	2.15 in	6	5.7	74°	2.7 ft	1
DecemberDec	71°	52°	2.56 in	5	5.0	70°	2.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	2.3 ft	–
Feb	67°	2.2 ft	–
Mar	68°	2.3 ft	–
Apr	72°	2.1 ft	–
May	76°	1.9 ft	1
Jun	80°	1.5 ft	–
Jul	82°	1.4 ft	–
Aug	82°	1.6 ft	4
Sep	82°	2.2 ft	7
Oct	79°	2.5 ft	4
Nov	74°	2.7 ft	1
Dec	70°	2.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.21 in of rain on about 137 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now74 °Ffeels like 76 °F

Tomorrow75 / 79 °F

It's 74 °F now (feels like 76 °F). Today, 74 °F to 80 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 79 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 21% 0.07 in
Fri 30 31% 0.04 in
Sat 31 29% 0.08 in
Sun 1 65% 2.52 in
Mon 2 57% 1.27 in
Tue 3 14% 0.02 in
Wed 4 11%

Today the chance of rain reaches 21%, with 0.07 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 31% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.11 in; last 7 days, 0.57 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity84%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 84% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds36%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.10 30.10

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 67

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NE
Tue 27	Mainly clear	72 / 80 °F	0	16 mph NE
Mon 26	Drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.09 in	17 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.28 in	16 mph NE
Sat 24	Drizzle	67 / 78 °F	0.18 in	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	61 / 78 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	62 / 77 °F	0	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	64 / 81 °F	0	12 mph N
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	65 / 77 °F	0	11 mph N
Mon 19	Drizzle	69 / 76 °F	0.21 in	17 mph NNE
Sun 18	Drizzle	71 / 75 °F	0.08 in	17 mph NNE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	67 / 75 °F	0.24 in	17 mph NNW
Fri 16	Thunderstorm	71 / 82 °F	0.34 in	5 mph SSE
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	73 / 85 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	0.06 in	8 mph NE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	68 / 85 °F	0.01 in	8 mph N
Mon 12	Mainly clear	68 / 87 °F	0	8 mph NW
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	73 / 80 °F	0.12 in	9 mph SW
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.28 in	9 mph S
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	75 / 90 °F	0.66 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 8	Showers	74 / 77 °F	3.73 in	9 mph NE
Wed 7	Showers	72 / 75 °F	4.36 in	9 mph NE
Tue 6	Light showers	72 / 77 °F	1.82 in	6 mph NNW
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	75 / 85 °F	1.04 in	7 mph N
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	74 / 88 °F	0.96 in	6 mph N
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	76 / 89 °F	0.45 in	8 mph ESE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	76 / 85 °F	0.78 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.06 in	11 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	0.13 in	9 mph S
Tue 29	Light drizzle	69 / 87 °F	0.02 in	6 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Ponce InletQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ponce Inlet?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 80 °F, with a moderate breeze from the northeast (13 mph) and a 21% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ponce Inlet?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 31% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 80 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.01 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ponce Inlet?

The best time to visit Ponce Inlet is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 71 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ponce Inlet in October?

In October, Ponce Inlet normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.53 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 79 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ponce Inlet?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 49 °F. The wettest is September (7.95 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Ponce Inlet?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ponce Inlet, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Ponce Inlet today

Weather near Ponce Inlet

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:56 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from