TidePlanet

Weather in Pace

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:33 pm (CDT)
Now · clear sky 71 °F
Feels like
67 °F
Low / high
54 / 81 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
6 mph ENE
→ 30.14 inHg · steady

Today in Pace: partly cloudy, 54 °F to 81 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 58 °F to 82 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (44%).

Measured now at the airport

Pensacola (KPNS), 8.5 mi away · 40 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature76 °F
Wind7 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Partly cloudy 54 / 81 °F 0% 10 mph NE 1.0 ft 12:53 am HRRR
Thu 29 Overcast 58 / 82 °F 0% 11 mph NE 0.9 ft 1:35 am HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Overcast 62 / 82 °F 1% 10 mph ENE 1.0 ft 2:21 am NBM
Sat 31 Light drizzle 66 / 80 °F 44% · 1.13 in 12 mph E 1.4 ft 3:12 am NBM
Sun 1 Light drizzle 65 / 76 °F 59% · 1.73 in 14 mph ENE 2.3 ft 3:14 am NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 62 / 78 °F 8% 13 mph ENE 2.8 ft 4:18 am NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 63 / 79 °F 15% 17 mph ESE 3.4 ft 5:37 am NBM
Wed 4 Heavy drizzle 64 / 78 °F 41% · 0.91 in 19 mph SSE 3.2 ft 8:00 am · 9:50 pm NBM
Thu 5 Rain 58 / 75 °F 28% · 0.15 in 12 mph SW 3.1 ft 9:29 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light drizzle 53 / 73 °F 5% · 0.05 in 9 mph WNW 3.3 ft 9:37 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light drizzle 50 / 74 °F 2% 9 mph N 2.7 ft 9:57 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 49 / 73 °F 6% 7 mph N 1.9 ft 10:20 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 54 / 71 °F 10% 6 mph NNE 1.6 ft 10:47 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 56 / 72 °F 16% 5 mph N 1.4 ft 11:17 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 1:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 1:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Partly cloudyPartly cloudyPartly cloudyMainly clearClear skyClear skyClear skyMainly clear
Temperature 58°55°57°64°78°81°72°64°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 5 NE5 NNE7 NE7 ENE9 ENE8 NNE6 ENE8 NE
Humidity 74%84%70%69%41%31%40%48%
UV 00016300
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 80°81°81°80°79°77°78°
AIFS 79°79°80°79°76°78°78°
GFS 81°83°83°82°75°74°78°
ICON 81°80°80°79°72°77°73°
HRRR 81°80°—————
NBM 81°82°82°80°76°78°79°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0000.04 in0.04 in00
AIFS 0000.09 in0.15 in0.03 in0
GFS 0001.46 in3.48 in00
ICON 0000.00 in0.73 in00
HRRR 00—————
NBM 0001.13 in1.73 in00
Confidence highhighhighlowmediumhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 8209218198189239231136
AIFS 9999111111
GFS 9201022102210221324918612
ICON 81881961571710211124614
HRRR 10161121—————
NBM 101591510171220142213211728
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%0%0%20%47%12%26%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%3%78%84%28%52%
NBM (NOAA) 0%0%1%44%59%8%15%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%25%25%4%2%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Above +4.3 °F Well above +158% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Below −2.7 °F A bit above +24% 70° / 53°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.5 °F A bit above +25% 70° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit below −0.9 °F A bit above +35% 67° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit below −1.3 °F Above +74% 64° / 52°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Normal +0.4 °F Above +59%
December A bit below −1.4 °F A bit above +28%
January A bit below −1.8 °F A bit above +35%
February A bit below −2.0 °F Above +58%
March A bit below −1.3 °F A bit above +49%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Pace climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Pace is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pace, about 6 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sally, in September 2020.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 61° 42° 4.77 in 9 4.7 65° 3.3 ft –
FebruaryFeb 65° 45° 4.85 in 8 5.1 63° 3.0 ft –
MarchMar 71° 50° 5.38 in 8 6.5 65° 2.8 ft –
AprilApr 77° 56° 4.84 in 8 7.3 69° 2.7 ft –
MayMay 84° 64° 3.98 in 9 8.6 76° 2.2 ft 1
JuneJun 89° 71° 8.11 in 15 7.3 82° 2.1 ft 2
JulyJul 91° 73° 7.51 in 20 7.5 84° 1.7 ft 3
AugustAug 90° 73° 7.63 in 19 7.0 85° 1.9 ft 3
SeptemberSep 87° 69° 6.45 in 12 6.9 83° 2.3 ft 7
OctoberOct 80° 59° 4.09 in 7 6.3 78° 2.8 ft 1
NovemberNov 71° 48° 3.77 in 7 5.7 72° 3.0 ft 1
DecemberDec 64° 44° 4.94 in 9 4.5 68° 3.1 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 65° 3.3 ft –
Feb 63° 3.0 ft –
Mar 65° 2.8 ft –
Apr 69° 2.7 ft –
May 76° 2.2 ft 1
Jun 82° 2.1 ft 2
Jul 84° 1.7 ft 3
Aug 85° 1.9 ft 3
Sep 83° 2.3 ft 7
Oct 78° 2.8 ft 1
Nov 72° 3.0 ft 1
Dec 68° 3.1 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.33 in of rain on about 131 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 67 °F
Tomorrow58 / 82 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 67 °F). Today, 54 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 58 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 0%
  • Fri 30 1%
  • Sat 31 44% 1.13 in
  • Sun 1 59% 1.73 in
  • Mon 2 8%
  • Tue 3 15%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 44% and 1.13 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity43%
Dew point47 °F

Humidity is 43% now and the dew point is 47 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now28 migood
Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (28 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak6moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 5

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 44
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Overcast55 / 79 °F07 mph NE
Mon 26 Overcast59 / 79 °F09 mph NE
Sun 25 Mainly clear57 / 79 °F010 mph NE
Sat 24 Clear sky55 / 76 °F09 mph NE
Fri 23 Clear sky53 / 81 °F08 mph NE
Thu 22 Clear sky51 / 80 °F06 mph N
Wed 21 Clear sky50 / 78 °F06 mph NNE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Partly cloudy53 / 76 °F08 mph NE
Mon 19 Overcast53 / 75 °F09 mph NE
Sun 18 Clear sky53 / 70 °F012 mph NE
Sat 17 Overcast55 / 70 °F018 mph N
Fri 16 Drizzle66 / 81 °F0.24 in19 mph NW
Thu 15 Clear sky63 / 85 °F06 mph SE
Wed 14 Clear sky62 / 87 °F05 mph NNW
Tue 13 Clear sky61 / 88 °F05 mph NW
Mon 12 Clear sky63 / 89 °F06 mph NW
Sun 11 Clear sky59 / 86 °F08 mph W
Sat 10 Drizzle61 / 73 °F0.05 in20 mph WNW
Fri 9 Heavy rain61 / 74 °F4.41 in38 mph NNE
Thu 8 Overcast70 / 82 °F013 mph NE
Wed 7 Overcast70 / 85 °F010 mph NE
Tue 6 Drizzle73 / 80 °F0.08 in13 mph NE
Mon 5 Heavy showers73 / 79 °F2.56 in10 mph NE
Sun 4 Heavy showers75 / 78 °F4.89 in7 mph ESE
Sat 3 Light showers75 / 84 °F0.61 in8 mph E
Fri 2 Light showers75 / 85 °F0.58 in12 mph E
Thu 1 Light drizzle77 / 86 °F0.15 in10 mph ESE
Wed 30 Light drizzle69 / 89 °F0.06 in10 mph ESE
Tue 29 Clear sky64 / 92 °F06 mph NE
Mon 28 Partly cloudy63 / 89 °F06 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PaceQuestions

What's the weather like today in Pace?

Partly cloudy, from 54 °F to 81 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Pace?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.14 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Pace?

The best time to visit Pace is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Pace in October?

In October, Pace normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 59 °F, with about 7 rainy days (4.09 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Pace?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 42 °F. The wettest is June (8.11 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Pace?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pace, about 6 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sally, in September 2020.

More about Pace today

Weather near Pace

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:33 pm (local time).

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