TidePlanet

Weather in Ortega

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:10 pm (EDT)
Now · clear 69 °F
Feels like
70 °F
Low / high
64 / 77 °F
Rain
9%
Wind
14 mph NNE
→ 30.11 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Ortega: partly cloudy, 64 °F to 77 °F, with a 9% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the north-northeast (14 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 70 °F to 76 °F and a 10% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 79 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (56%).

Measured now at the airport

Jacksonville (KNIP), 3.2 mi away · 17 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature71 °F
Wind12 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind High tides Model
Today · 28 Partly cloudy 64 / 77 °F 9% 19 mph NNE 12:27 am · 1:01 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Light drizzle 70 / 76 °F 10% · 0.02 in 17 mph NNE 1:18 am · 1:54 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Overcast 69 / 78 °F 9% 16 mph NNE 2:13 am · 2:51 pm NBM
Sat 31 Light drizzle 70 / 79 °F 19% 17 mph ENE 3:11 am · 3:51 pm NBM
Sun 1 Heavy drizzle 68 / 74 °F 56% · 1.83 in 16 mph ENE 3:14 am · 3:56 pm NBM
Mon 2 Rain 67 / 74 °F 54% · 0.65 in 16 mph NE 4:21 am · 5:01 pm NBM
Tue 3 Mainly clear 64 / 76 °F 16% · 0.01 in 15 mph NE 5:29 am · 6:04 pm NBM
Wed 4 Clear sky 65 / 78 °F 14% · 0.02 in 14 mph E 6:32 am · 7:00 pm NBM
Thu 5 Light drizzle 64 / 77 °F 25% · 0.07 in 12 mph SSW 7:28 am · 7:52 pm NBM
Fri 6 Heavy drizzle 60 / 74 °F 12% 10 mph WSW 8:18 am · 8:39 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light drizzle 55 / 73 °F 5% · 0.04 in 9 mph NNW 9:04 am · 9:23 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 55 / 72 °F 6% · 0.03 in 9 mph N 9:47 am · 10:05 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 57 / 68 °F 6% 9 mph N 10:27 am · 10:46 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 60 / 69 °F 16% · 0.02 in 9 mph N 11:06 am · 11:25 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 4:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearMainly clearPartly cloudyMainly clearMainly clearMainly clearClear skyClear
Temperature 67°69°67°66°75°76°73°69°
Chance of rain 0%0%9%2%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 12 NNE14 NNE12 N15 NNE18 NE17 NNE17 NNE14 NNE
Humidity 85%83%86%89%79%72%81%89%
UV 00015400
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 77°76°77°79°78°77°79°
AIFS 78°77°79°77°77°77°79°
GFS 80°81°82°83°82°81°88°
ICON 76°78°78°77°77°74°78°
HRRR 77°76°—————
NBM 76°76°78°79°74°74°76°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 00.01 in00.05 in0.24 in0.44 in0
AIFS 0.02 in0.07 in0.06 in0.24 in0.15 in0.14 in0.17 in
GFS 0.01 in0.03 in0.02 in0.07 in0.40 in0.39 in0.01 in
ICON 0000.07 in0.01 in0.81 in0.07 in
HRRR 00—————
NBM 00.04 in001.83 in0.65 in0.01 in
Confidence highhighhighhighmediummediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 1529142711231325122112281326
AIFS 15131110131314
GFS 172715251324142213221124818
ICON 153112271123102111251533512
HRRR 19311526—————
NBM 1930182816241727162616251523
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%25%16%53%70%54%28%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 3%61%29%48%94%53%19%
NBM (NOAA) 9%10%9%19%56%54%16%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%1%4%10%24%24%6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Above +4.1 °F Above +95% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit below −1.8 °F A bit above +35% 71° / 57°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.2 °F A bit above +42% 71° / 58°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal −0.2 °F Well above +133% 70° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal −0.5 °F Well above +161% 67° / 56°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +0.9 °F Above +95%
December Normal −0.5 °F Above +71%
January A bit below −1.4 °F Above +86%
February A bit below −1.4 °F Well above +106%
March A bit below −1.1 °F Above +77%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Ortega climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ortega is from March to May and in November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ortega, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 65° 46° 2.93 in 8 5.3 62° 1.9 ft –
FebruaryFeb 69° 49° 3.18 in 7 5.4 61° 1.9 ft –
MarchMar 74° 53° 3.36 in 8 6.9 63° 2.0 ft –
AprilApr 80° 59° 2.83 in 7 8.0 68° 2.0 ft –
MayMay 86° 66° 3.43 in 8 9.0 75° 1.9 ft 1
JuneJun 89° 72° 6.41 in 18 7.5 80° 1.6 ft 3
JulyJul 91° 74° 6.02 in 20 8.2 82° 1.5 ft –
AugustAug 90° 74° 7.00 in 20 7.3 82° 1.6 ft 5
SeptemberSep 87° 72° 7.28 in 14 5.9 82° 2.2 ft 5
OctoberOct 80° 64° 3.63 in 8 5.9 77° 2.3 ft 4
NovemberNov 73° 55° 1.90 in 5 5.6 70° 2.4 ft 1
DecemberDec 67° 49° 2.70 in 6 4.6 65° 2.0 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 62° 1.9 ft –
Feb 61° 1.9 ft –
Mar 63° 2.0 ft –
Apr 68° 2.0 ft –
May 75° 1.9 ft 1
Jun 80° 1.6 ft 3
Jul 82° 1.5 ft –
Aug 82° 1.6 ft 5
Sep 82° 2.2 ft 5
Oct 77° 2.3 ft 4
Nov 70° 2.4 ft 1
Dec 65° 2.0 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.69 in of rain on about 129 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now69 °Ffeels like 70 °F
Tomorrow70 / 76 °F

It's 69 °F now (feels like 70 °F). Today, 64 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 9%
  • Thu 29 10% 0.02 in
  • Fri 30 9%
  • Sat 31 19%
  • Sun 1 56% 1.83 in
  • Mon 2 54% 0.65 in
  • Tue 3 16% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 9%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 56% and 1.83 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.15 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity89%
Dew point66 °F

Humidity is 89% now and the dew point is 66 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.9 migood
Clouds1%

Visibility is good now (8.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 58
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Overcast63 / 74 °F015 mph NNE
Mon 26 Overcast66 / 73 °F016 mph NNE
Sun 25 Light drizzle65 / 71 °F0.07 in17 mph NNE
Sat 24 Drizzle57 / 73 °F0.08 in19 mph NNE
Fri 23 Mainly clear56 / 73 °F012 mph NNE
Thu 22 Clear sky53 / 74 °F09 mph NNE
Wed 21 Clear sky55 / 76 °F011 mph NNE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Clear sky54 / 73 °F09 mph N
Mon 19 Overcast59 / 71 °F014 mph NNE
Sun 18 Overcast61 / 65 °F018 mph NNE
Sat 17 Light drizzle63 / 76 °F0.01 in14 mph NNW
Fri 16 Light drizzle67 / 88 °F0.02 in4 mph SW
Thu 15 Overcast69 / 84 °F06 mph E
Wed 14 Overcast66 / 85 °F06 mph NE
Tue 13 Mainly clear64 / 85 °F07 mph NE
Mon 12 Mainly clear66 / 85 °F010 mph NW
Sun 11 Light drizzle71 / 83 °F0.04 in12 mph WSW
Sat 10 Thunderstorm74 / 83 °F0.80 in11 mph SSE
Fri 9 Light showers73 / 80 °F0.63 in14 mph ENE
Thu 8 Light rain73 / 78 °F0.57 in11 mph NE
Wed 7 Light rain73 / 77 °F0.45 in12 mph NE
Tue 6 Rain73 / 76 °F1.37 in11 mph NNE
Mon 5 Drizzle75 / 80 °F0.25 in9 mph N
Sun 4 Thunderstorm74 / 82 °F0.43 in7 mph ESE
Sat 3 Thunderstorm with hail75 / 88 °F0.76 in9 mph ESE
Fri 2 Thunderstorm75 / 82 °F0.80 in10 mph ESE
Thu 1 Drizzle74 / 84 °F0.18 in7 mph E
Wed 30 Drizzle72 / 84 °F0.12 in7 mph ENE
Tue 29 Overcast66 / 89 °F07 mph SSW
Mon 28 Overcast66 / 90 °F07 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in OrtegaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ortega?

Partly cloudy, from 64 °F to 77 °F, with a moderate breeze from the north-northeast (14 mph) and a 9% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ortega?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 10% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 79 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.11 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ortega?

The best time to visit Ortega is from March to May and in November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ortega in October?

In October, Ortega normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 8 rainy days (3.63 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ortega?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is September (7.28 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Ortega?

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ortega, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

More about Ortega today

Weather near Ortega

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:10 pm (local time).

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