Weather in Orange Park

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:28 am (EDT)

Now · clear 71 °F

Feels like: 72 °F
Low / high: 70 / 77 °F
Rain: 11% · 0.21 in
Wind: 11 mph NNE

↘ 30.05 inHg · falling

Today in Orange Park: overcast, 70 °F to 77 °F, with a 11% chance of rain (0.21 in) and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 70 °F to 77 °F and a 10% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 79 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (56%).

Measured now at the airport

Jacksonville (KNIP), 5.1 mi away · 16 min ago

Visibility9.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature71 °F

Wind13 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 70°
Today
77° 70°
Fri 30
79° 71°
Sat 31
75° 70°
Sun 1
75° 68°
Mon 2
77° 66°
Tue 3
79° 66°
Wed 4
77° 65°
Thu 5
74° 61°
Fri 6
73° 57°
Sat 7
72° 56°
Sun 8
68° 57°
Mon 9
69° 60°
Tue 10
73° 59°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	70 / 77 °F	11% · 0.21 in	16 mph NNE	1:56 am · 3:36 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	70 / 77 °F	10%	17 mph NE	2:48 am · 4:34 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	14%	18 mph ENE	3:44 am · 5:33 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	70 / 75 °F	56% · 1.50 in	16 mph ENE	4:37 am · 5:34 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	68 / 75 °F	50% · 0.44 in	17 mph NE	5:58 am · 6:33 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	66 / 77 °F	11%	16 mph NE	7:03 am · 7:29 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	66 / 79 °F	15%	13 mph E	8:01 am · 8:21 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	65 / 77 °F	22% · 0.02 in	11 mph SW	8:54 am · 9:10 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	61 / 74 °F	15%	9 mph WSW	9:43 am · 9:56 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	57 / 73 °F	5%	9 mph N	10:30 am · 10:40 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	56 / 72 °F	4%	9 mph NNE	11:16 am · 11:23 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	57 / 68 °F	6%	9 mph N	12:00 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	60 / 69 °F	16% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	12:04 am · 12:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	59 / 73 °F	14%	6 mph N	12:37 am · 1:27 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	70°	70°	71°	73°	76°	76°	71°	72°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	1%	1%	5%	6%	7%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.20 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 NNE	12 NNE	13 NE	12 NE	14 NE	14 NE	13 NE	16 NNE
Humidity	91%	89%	90%	88%	82%	79%	93%	90%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	76°	77°	79°	77°	79°	80°	78°
AIFS	77°	78°	78°	78°	76°	77°	79°
GFS	82°	83°	82°	82°	76°	82°	83°
ICON	77°	78°	76°	76°	73°	76°	78°
HRRR	77°	78°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	76°	77°	79°	75°	75°	77°	79°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.28 in	0.03 in	0
AIFS	0.09 in	0.08 in	0.14 in	0.15 in	0.20 in	0.63 in	0.55 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.20 in	0.57 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
ICON	0	0	0.11 in	0.09 in	0.51 in	0.23 in	0.20 in
HRRR	0.20 in	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.10 in	0	0	1.50 in	0.44 in	0	0
Confidence	low	high	medium	high	high	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1327	1224	1326	1221	1328	1226	1023
AIFS	13	11	10	13	12	14	10
GFS	1425	1324	1422	1422	1124	1318	1217
ICON	1328	1123	1021	1123	1123	1224	920
HRRR	1526	1524	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1929	1725	1828	1627	1726	1625	1321
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	35%	17%	53%	55%	41%	28%	26%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	48%	21%	32%	79%	48%	27%	35%
NBM (NOAA)	11%	10%	14%	56%	50%	11%	15%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	5%	8%	23%	23%	7%	9%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	Above +95%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +35%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +42%	71° / 58°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +133%	70° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.5 °F	Well above +161%	67° / 56°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +95%
December	Normal −0.5 °F	Above +71%
January	A bit below −1.4 °F	Above +86%
February	A bit below −1.4 °F	Well above +106%
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +77%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Orange Park climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Orange Park is from March to May and in November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Orange Park, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

65° 46°

JanJ
69° 49°

FebF
74° 53°

MarM
80° 59°

AprA
86° 65°

MayM
89° 72°

JunJ
91° 73°

JulJ
90° 74°

AugA
87° 72°

SepS
80° 64°

OctO
73° 55°

NovN
67° 49°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	65°	46°	2.85 in	8	5.3	62°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	69°	49°	3.15 in	7	5.5	61°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	74°	53°	3.26 in	8	7.0	63°	2.0 ft	–
AprilApr	80°	59°	2.72 in	7	8.1	68°	2.0 ft	–
MayMay	86°	65°	3.49 in	9	9.1	75°	1.9 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	72°	6.52 in	19	7.6	80°	1.6 ft	2
JulyJul	91°	73°	6.07 in	21	8.3	82°	1.5 ft	–
AugustAug	90°	74°	7.10 in	21	7.4	82°	1.6 ft	5
SeptemberSep	87°	72°	7.04 in	15	6.0	82°	2.2 ft	5
OctoberOct	80°	64°	3.44 in	9	6.0	77°	2.3 ft	4
NovemberNov	73°	55°	1.91 in	6	5.6	70°	2.4 ft	1
DecemberDec	67°	49°	2.67 in	6	4.7	65°	2.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	62°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	61°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	63°	2.0 ft	–
Apr	68°	2.0 ft	–
May	75°	1.9 ft	1
Jun	80°	1.6 ft	2
Jul	82°	1.5 ft	–
Aug	82°	1.6 ft	5
Sep	82°	2.2 ft	5
Oct	77°	2.3 ft	4
Nov	70°	2.4 ft	1
Dec	65°	2.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.22 in of rain on about 134 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 72 °F

Tomorrow70 / 77 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 70 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 77 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 11% 0.21 in
Fri 30 10%
Sat 31 14%
Sun 1 56% 1.50 in
Mon 2 50% 0.44 in
Tue 3 11%
Wed 4 15%

Today the chance of rain reaches 11%, with 0.21 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 56% and 1.50 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.15 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 67 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.2 migood

Clouds6%

Visibility is good now (9.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.14

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 57

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	65 / 77 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Tue 27	Overcast	63 / 74 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Overcast	66 / 73 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	65 / 71 °F	0.07 in	17 mph NNE
Sat 24	Drizzle	57 / 73 °F	0.08 in	19 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	56 / 73 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	53 / 74 °F	0	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	55 / 76 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Tue 20	Clear sky	54 / 73 °F	0	9 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	59 / 71 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Sun 18	Overcast	61 / 65 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	63 / 76 °F	0.01 in	14 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	67 / 88 °F	0.02 in	4 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	69 / 84 °F	0	6 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	66 / 85 °F	0	6 mph NE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	64 / 85 °F	0	7 mph NE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	66 / 85 °F	0	10 mph NW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.04 in	12 mph WSW
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	0.80 in	11 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light showers	73 / 80 °F	0.63 in	14 mph ENE
Thu 8	Light rain	73 / 78 °F	0.57 in	11 mph NE
Wed 7	Light rain	73 / 77 °F	0.45 in	12 mph NE
Tue 6	Rain	73 / 76 °F	1.37 in	11 mph NNE
Mon 5	Drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.25 in	9 mph N
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	74 / 82 °F	0.43 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm with hail	75 / 88 °F	0.76 in	9 mph ESE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	75 / 82 °F	0.80 in	10 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.18 in	7 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.12 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 29	Overcast	66 / 89 °F	0	7 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Orange ParkQuestions

What's the weather like today in Orange Park?

Overcast, from 70 °F to 77 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (11 mph) and a 11% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Orange Park?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 10% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 79 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.05 inHg and falling: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Orange Park?

The best time to visit Orange Park is from March to May and in November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Orange Park in October?

In October, Orange Park normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 9 rainy days (3.44 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Orange Park?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is August (7.10 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Orange Park?

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Orange Park, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

More about Orange Park today

Weather near Orange Park

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:28 am (local time).

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