Weather in Oldsmar

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:26 pm (EDT)

Now · clear 72 °F

Feels like: 73 °F
Low / high: 67 / 81 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 10 mph NE

→ 30.01 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Oldsmar: overcast, 67 °F to 81 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 68 °F to 86 °F and a 4% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (62%).

Measured now at the airport

St Petersburg-Clearwater (KPIE), 8.5 mi away · 33 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind12 mph from the northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

81° 67°
Today
86° 68°
Thu 29
85° 71°
Fri 30
85° 71°
Sat 31
80° 71°
Sun 1
80° 68°
Mon 2
82° 66°
Tue 3
82° 66°
Wed 4
80° 67°
Thu 5
78° 65°
Fri 6
77° 61°
Sat 7
76° 59°
Sun 8
70° 59°
Mon 9
68° 63°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	67 / 81 °F	1%	15 mph NNE	1.3 ft	5:08 am	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	68 / 86 °F	4%	12 mph NE	0.9 ft	5:48 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	7%	11 mph NE	0.9 ft	6:36 am	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	71 / 85 °F	35%	13 mph ENE	1.0 ft	7:36 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	71 / 80 °F	62% · 0.84 in	11 mph ENE	1.0 ft	7:54 am	NBM
Mon 2	Rain	68 / 80 °F	43% · 0.20 in	11 mph NE	0.9 ft	1:09 am · 9:31 am	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	66 / 82 °F	10%	9 mph NE	0.7 ft	1:09 am · 11:23 am	NBM
Wed 4	Mainly clear	66 / 82 °F	9%	7 mph SE	0.5 ft	1:25 am · 1:03 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Drizzle	67 / 80 °F	16% · 0.02 in	9 mph SW	0.9 ft	1:42 am · 2:18 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	65 / 78 °F	11% · 0.02 in	8 mph WNW	1.8 ft	1:59 am · 3:20 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	61 / 77 °F	6% · 0.05 in	7 mph NNW	1.2 ft	2:16 am · 4:16 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	59 / 76 °F	10%	7 mph N	0.9 ft	2:34 am · 5:10 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	59 / 70 °F	8% · 0.02 in	7 mph NNE	0.9 ft	2:55 am · 6:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	63 / 68 °F	18% · 0.24 in	8 mph N	0.9 ft	3:19 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	70°	68°	67°	70°	81°	81°	78°	75°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 NNE	9 NNE	8 NNE	8 NNE	15 NE	13 NE	10 NNE	9 NE
Humidity	83%	87%	86%	82%	68%	62%	67%	73%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	84°	86°	85°	87°	76°	80°	83°
AIFS	83°	82°	82°	83°	78°	76°	78°
GFS	84°	86°	86°	87°	84°	85°	85°
ICON	82°	85°	85°	85°	78°	78°	80°
HRRR	81°	86°	84°	—	—	—	—
NBM	83°	85°	85°	85°	80°	80°	82°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.13 in	0.76 in	0.36 in	0.04 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.56 in	0.43 in	0.28 in
GFS	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.83 in	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.83 in	0.87 in	0.02 in
HRRR	0	0	0.24 in	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0.84 in	0.20 in	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1534	1125	1225	1328	1225	1316	926
AIFS	16	14	12	14	15	17	17
GFS	2031	1527	1425	1628	1428	713	77
ICON	1531	1123	1123	1122	917	919	817
HRRR	1531	1328	1323	—	—	—	—
NBM	1628	1222	1119	1323	1119	1119	915
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	29%	69%	67%	75%	43%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	5%	45%	39%	65%	70%	15%	14%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	4%	7%	35%	62%	43%	10%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	8%	21%	35%	25%	8%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +71%	Normal +0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +107%	A bit above +0.5 °F	72° / 65°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +63%	Normal +0.2 °F	72° / 66°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +104%	Normal +0.4 °F	70° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +183%	Normal +0.2 °F	68° / 63°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +115%	—
December	Normal −0.2 °F	Above +96%	—
January	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +108%	—
February	A bit below −1.1 °F	Well above +128%	—
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +99%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Oldsmar climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Oldsmar is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 73 °F to 87 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oldsmar, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

70° 50°

JanJ
73° 53°

FebF
77° 57°

MarM
82° 62°

AprA
87° 68°

MayM
90° 73°

JunJ
91° 74°

JulJ
91° 75°

AugA
89° 73°

SepS
85° 67°

OctO
78° 58°

NovN
73° 53°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	70°	50°	2.67 in	7	6.1	63°	2.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	73°	53°	2.83 in	6	6.3	63°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	77°	57°	2.72 in	7	7.4	67°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	82°	62°	1.75 in	7	8.4	73°	1.8 ft	–
MayMay	87°	68°	3.08 in	9	9.2	78°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	73°	7.03 in	21	7.6	83°	1.4 ft	2
JulyJul	91°	74°	7.39 in	25	7.5	85°	1.3 ft	2
AugustAug	91°	75°	8.75 in	25	7.2	86°	1.4 ft	3
SeptemberSep	89°	73°	7.04 in	19	6.3	84°	1.6 ft	7
OctoberOct	85°	67°	2.92 in	9	6.4	80°	2.1 ft	1
NovemberNov	78°	58°	1.89 in	5	6.4	72°	2.1 ft	2
DecemberDec	73°	53°	2.88 in	5	5.4	67°	2.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	63°	2.4 ft	–
Feb	63°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	67°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	73°	1.8 ft	–
May	78°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.4 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.3 ft	2
Aug	86°	1.4 ft	3
Sep	84°	1.6 ft	7
Oct	80°	2.1 ft	1
Nov	72°	2.1 ft	2
Dec	67°	2.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.95 in of rain on about 143 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 73 °F

Tomorrow68 / 86 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 73 °F). Today, 67 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 68 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Thu 29 4%
Fri 30 7%
Sat 31 35%
Sun 1 62% 0.84 in
Mon 2 43% 0.20 in
Tue 3 10%

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 62% and 0.84 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point65 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 65 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds4%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.10 30.08

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 51

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Mainly clear	64 / 84 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	68 / 84 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NE
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	67 / 85 °F	0	17 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	60 / 83 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	57 / 82 °F	0	11 mph NE
Thu 22	Mainly clear	59 / 80 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	59 / 83 °F	0	9 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	58 / 81 °F	0	9 mph NE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	62 / 80 °F	0	14 mph NE
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	61 / 81 °F	0	15 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	65 / 76 °F	1.18 in	12 mph NNE
Fri 16	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.20 in	7 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	71 / 89 °F	0.01 in	8 mph ENE
Wed 14	Mainly clear	70 / 87 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	67 / 86 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	71 / 84 °F	0	11 mph N
Sun 11	Light showers	73 / 82 °F	0.47 in	9 mph NW
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.46 in	13 mph S
Fri 9	Rain	74 / 85 °F	0.98 in	13 mph ESE
Thu 8	Heavy showers	74 / 77 °F	2.26 in	9 mph E
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	75 / 78 °F	3.00 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 6	Heavy showers	75 / 79 °F	3.92 in	9 mph E
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.35 in	7 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	0.35 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.26 in	9 mph ESE
Fri 2	Drizzle	75 / 84 °F	0.11 in	10 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	0.11 in	11 mph E
Wed 30	Rain	72 / 91 °F	0.69 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	70 / 91 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 28	Overcast	67 / 90 °F	0	9 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in OldsmarQuestions

What's the weather like today in Oldsmar?

Overcast, from 67 °F to 81 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (10 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Oldsmar?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 4% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.01 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Oldsmar?

The best time to visit Oldsmar is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 73 °F to 87 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Oldsmar in October?

In October, Oldsmar normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.92 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Oldsmar?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 50 °F. The wettest is August (8.75 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Oldsmar?

Hurricane season: from June to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oldsmar, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Oldsmar today

Weather near Oldsmar

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:26 pm (local time).

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