Weather in Niceville

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:55 pm (CDT)

Now · clear 64 °F

Feels like: 59 °F
Low / high: 55 / 82 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph NNE

↗ 30.16 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Niceville: overcast, 55 °F to 82 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 57 °F to 82 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (38%).

Measured now at the airport

Valparaiso/Eglin AFB (KVPS), 3.5 mi away · 1 h ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature67 °F

Wind6 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 55°
Today
82° 57°
Thu 29
82° 64°
Fri 30
80° 67°
Sat 31
76° 65°
Sun 1
78° 63°
Mon 2
79° 63°
Tue 3
78° 65°
Wed 4
75° 60°
Thu 5
73° 54°
Fri 6
73° 51°
Sat 7
73° 51°
Sun 8
73° 54°
Mon 9
73° 53°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	55 / 82 °F	0%	10 mph NE	1.6 ft	HRRR
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	57 / 82 °F	1%	10 mph NE	1.6 ft	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	64 / 82 °F	1%	9 mph ENE	1.8 ft	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	38% · 0.58 in	9 mph E	1.8 ft	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	65 / 76 °F	53% · 1.33 in	13 mph ENE	3.0 ft	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	63 / 78 °F	8% · 0.00 in	12 mph ENE	2.6 ft	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	63 / 79 °F	15%	13 mph ESE	3.0 ft	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	65 / 78 °F	39% · 0.90 in	16 mph SSE	3.5 ft	NBM
Thu 5	Thunderstorm	60 / 75 °F	31% · 0.33 in	11 mph SW	4.4 ft	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	54 / 73 °F	5% · 0.04 in	9 mph W	4.9 ft	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	51 / 73 °F	4% · 0.00 in	8 mph N	4.2 ft	NBM
Sun 8	Mainly clear	51 / 73 °F	8%	7 mph NNE	2.4 ft	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	54 / 73 °F	10%	6 mph NNE	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	53 / 73 °F	12%	5 mph NNE	1.4 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 1:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	57°	56°	55°	66°	78°	81°	72°	64°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 N	3 NNW	2 N	6 ENE	10 NE	10 NNE	7 ENE	6 NNE
Humidity	72%	65%	74%	59%	34%	30%	24%	40%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	82°	82°	83°	82°	79°	80°	80°
AIFS	81°	80°	80°	79°	74°	78°	79°
GFS	80°	83°	80°	81°	73°	74°	76°
ICON	81°	81°	81°	80°	73°	76°	74°
HRRR	82°	80°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	80°	82°	82°	80°	76°	78°	79°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.11 in	0.13 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0.00 in	5.75 in	0	0.02 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.46 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0.58 in	1.33 in	0.00 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	low	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	922	921	922	1020	1226	1321	1130
AIFS	9	9	9	10	12	12	11
GFS	1125	1027	1025	1025	1429	922	815
ICON	920	919	716	817	1023	1226	714
HRRR	1020	1019	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1017	1016	916	921	1323	1220	1323
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	2%	0%	20%	33%	8%	18%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	10%	78%	71%	13%	35%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	1%	1%	38%	53%	8%	15%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	17%	16%	3%	2%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.3 °F	Well above +165%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Below −2.7 °F	A bit above +32%	70° / 53°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	70° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +40%	67° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +82%	64° / 52°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +59%
December	A bit below −1.3 °F	A bit above +27%
January	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +38%
February	A bit below −1.8 °F	Above +61%
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	A bit above +49%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Niceville climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Niceville is from April to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Niceville, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Fred, in August 2021.

62° 41°

JanJ
65° 44°

FebF
71° 50°

MarM
76° 56°

AprA
83° 64°

MayM
89° 71°

JunJ
90° 73°

JulJ
90° 73°

AugA
87° 70°

SepS
81° 59°

OctO
71° 48°

NovN
64° 43°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	62°	41°	4.75 in	9	4.8	65°	3.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	65°	44°	4.81 in	8	5.2	63°	2.9 ft	–
MarchMar	71°	50°	5.34 in	8	6.7	65°	2.7 ft	–
AprilApr	76°	56°	4.83 in	8	7.4	69°	2.6 ft	–
MayMay	83°	64°	3.81 in	9	8.8	76°	2.1 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	71°	8.09 in	15	7.6	82°	2.1 ft	1
JulyJul	90°	73°	7.45 in	20	7.7	84°	1.7 ft	2
AugustAug	90°	73°	7.90 in	19	7.0	85°	1.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	87°	70°	6.77 in	12	7.0	83°	2.2 ft	4
OctoberOct	81°	59°	4.15 in	6	6.3	79°	2.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	71°	48°	3.70 in	7	5.8	72°	2.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	64°	43°	4.91 in	9	4.5	68°	3.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	65°	3.3 ft	–
Feb	63°	2.9 ft	–
Mar	65°	2.7 ft	–
Apr	69°	2.6 ft	–
May	76°	2.1 ft	1
Jun	82°	2.1 ft	1
Jul	84°	1.7 ft	2
Aug	85°	1.9 ft	4
Sep	83°	2.2 ft	4
Oct	79°	2.7 ft	1
Nov	72°	2.9 ft	–
Dec	68°	3.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.50 in of rain on about 129 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now64 °Ffeels like 59 °F

Tomorrow57 / 82 °F

It's 64 °F now (feels like 59 °F). Today, 55 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 57 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 1%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 38% 0.58 in
Sun 1 53% 1.33 in
Mon 2 8% 0.00 in
Tue 3 15%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 38% and 0.58 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity40%

Dew point39 °F

Humidity is 40% now and the dew point is 39 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now30 migood

Clouds5%

Visibility is good now (30 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.06

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 46

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	54 / 81 °F	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	59 / 79 °F	10 mph NE
Sun 25	Clear sky	57 / 79 °F	12 mph NE
Sat 24	Clear sky	51 / 76 °F	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Clear sky	52 / 81 °F	9 mph NE
Thu 22	Clear sky	49 / 81 °F	6 mph N
Wed 21	Mainly clear	49 / 79 °F	6 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	50 / 76 °F	0	7 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	54 / 75 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sun 18	Clear sky	52 / 70 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	56 / 72 °F	0.02 in	17 mph N
Fri 16	Drizzle	66 / 87 °F	0.14 in	15 mph NW
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	63 / 87 °F	0	5 mph SE
Wed 14	Overcast	61 / 88 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Tue 13	Clear sky	60 / 89 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Mon 12	Clear sky	62 / 91 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sun 11	Clear sky	59 / 86 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	62 / 76 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WSW
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	65 / 74 °F	6.17 in	41 mph NE
Thu 8	Overcast	70 / 83 °F	0	13 mph NE
Wed 7	Overcast	70 / 84 °F	0	12 mph NE
Tue 6	Rain	71 / 80 °F	1.87 in	12 mph NE
Mon 5	Showers	73 / 80 °F	1.94 in	12 mph NE
Sun 4	Showers	74 / 77 °F	2.64 in	6 mph SE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.47 in	8 mph ESE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	1.02 in	11 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.22 in	9 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	68 / 88 °F	0.04 in	9 mph E
Tue 29	Clear sky	62 / 89 °F	0	6 mph E
Mon 28	Mainly clear	61 / 87 °F	0	6 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NicevilleQuestions

What's the weather like today in Niceville?

Overcast, from 55 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Niceville?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 55 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.16 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Niceville?

The best time to visit Niceville is from April to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Niceville in October?

In October, Niceville normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 59 °F, with about 6 rainy days (4.15 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 79 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Niceville?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 41 °F. The wettest is June (8.09 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Niceville?

Hurricane season: from July to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Niceville, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Fred, in August 2021.

More about Niceville today

Weather near Niceville

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:55 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from