Weather in Madeira Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:13 am (EDT)

Now · clear 70 °F

Feels like: 72 °F
Low / high: 69 / 86 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 10 mph NNE

→ 30.00 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Madeira Beach: light drizzle, 69 °F to 86 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 71 °F to 85 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (63%).

Measured now at the airport

St Petersburg-Clearwater (KPIE), 10 mi away · 31 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature71 °F

Wind9 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 69°
Today
85° 71°
Fri 30
85° 72°
Sat 31
80° 71°
Sun 1
81° 69°
Mon 2
82° 67°
Tue 3
81° 68°
Wed 4
80° 69°
Thu 5
77° 68°
Fri 6
76° 64°
Sat 7
75° 62°
Sun 8
76° 55°
Mon 9
78° 59°
Tue 10
81° 60°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	69 / 86 °F	4%	12 mph NE	1.7 ft	12:56 am	HRRR
Fri 30	Drizzle	71 / 85 °F	8%	11 mph NE	1.5 ft	1:44 am	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	72 / 85 °F	38% · 0.02 in	14 mph ENE	1.6 ft	2:44 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	71 / 80 °F	63% · 0.58 in	13 mph ENE	1.7 ft	3:02 am · 8:17 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	44% · 0.13 in	12 mph ENE	1.5 ft	4:39 am · 8:17 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	67 / 82 °F	10%	9 mph ENE	1.4 ft	6:31 am · 8:33 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	68 / 81 °F	9%	7 mph E	1.0 ft	8:11 am · 8:50 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	69 / 80 °F	20% · 0.02 in	9 mph WSW	2.0 ft	9:26 am · 9:07 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	68 / 77 °F	12%	10 mph NW	3.7 ft	10:28 am · 9:24 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	64 / 76 °F	6%	9 mph N	2.6 ft	11:24 am · 9:42 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Mainly clear	62 / 75 °F	5% · 0.02 in	9 mph NE	1.2 ft	12:18 pm · 10:03 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Overcast	55 / 76 °F	8% · 0.01 in	7 mph ENE	0.8 ft	1:14 pm · 10:27 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	59 / 78 °F	18%	6 mph NNW	0.7 ft	10:54 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	60 / 81 °F	18% · 0.05 in	6 mph NNW	0.7 ft	11:25 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 12:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	72°	70°	70°	73°	82°	86°	85°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 NNE	8 NNE	10 NNE	10 NE	12 ENE	8 NE	8 NNE	10 NE
Humidity	81%	85%	84%	87%	68%	57%	58%	78%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	85°	84°	75°	82°	83°	83°
AIFS	83°	83°	83°	78°	75°	76°	79°
GFS	83°	84°	83°	78°	82°	83°	80°
ICON	84°	84°	84°	80°	73°	83°	83°
HRRR	86°	82°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	85°	85°	85°	80°	81°	82°	81°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.04 in	0.09 in	0	0.63 in	0.07 in	0.04 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0.04 in	0.50 in	0.64 in	0.47 in	0.09 in
GFS	0	0	0	0.57 in	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0.18 in	0.86 in	0.06 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.58 in	0.13 in	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1226	1225	1429	1222	1416	1226	922
AIFS	13	12	14	15	17	15	10
GFS	1729	1825	2030	1932	2025	1828	1627
ICON	1224	1021	1123	920	1329	1225	819
HRRR	1224	1930	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1120	1119	1421	1320	1218	916	714
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	29%	69%	67%	75%	43%	35%	22%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	23%	16%	60%	74%	25%	20%	16%
NBM (NOAA)	4%	8%	38%	63%	44%	10%	9%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	9%	14%	33%	12%	8%	11%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +53%	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +113%	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +57%	Normal +0.4 °F	72° / 66°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +109%	A bit above +0.5 °F	71° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal 0.0 °F	Well above +173%	Normal +0.2 °F	69° / 64°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +116%	—
December	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +100%	—
January	Normal −0.7 °F	Well above +115%	—
February	A bit below −1.1 °F	Well above +128%	—
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Well above +110%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Madeira Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Madeira Beach is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 71 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Madeira Beach, about 6 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

69° 53°

JanJ
71° 55°

FebF
75° 60°

MarM
80° 64°

AprA
86° 70°

MayM
89° 74°

JunJ
90° 76°

JulJ
90° 76°

AugA
88° 75°

SepS
84° 69°

OctO
77° 61°

NovN
71° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	69°	53°	2.35 in	7	6.2	64°	2.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	71°	55°	2.82 in	6	6.4	64°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	75°	60°	2.69 in	7	7.5	67°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	80°	64°	1.55 in	7	8.6	73°	1.8 ft	–
MayMay	86°	70°	2.94 in	9	9.4	78°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	74°	7.31 in	21	7.8	83°	1.4 ft	1
JulyJul	90°	76°	7.29 in	25	7.7	85°	1.3 ft	2
AugustAug	90°	76°	8.72 in	25	7.2	86°	1.4 ft	3
SeptemberSep	88°	75°	7.24 in	19	6.4	84°	1.6 ft	9
OctoberOct	84°	69°	2.69 in	9	6.5	80°	2.1 ft	1
NovemberNov	77°	61°	1.93 in	5	6.5	73°	2.1 ft	2
DecemberDec	71°	55°	2.50 in	5	5.7	68°	2.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	64°	2.4 ft	–
Feb	64°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	67°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	73°	1.8 ft	–
May	78°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.4 ft	1
Jul	85°	1.3 ft	2
Aug	86°	1.4 ft	3
Sep	84°	1.6 ft	9
Oct	80°	2.1 ft	1
Nov	73°	2.1 ft	2
Dec	68°	2.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.04 in of rain on about 143 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now70 °Ffeels like 72 °F

Tomorrow71 / 85 °F

It's 70 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 69 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Fri 30 8%
Sat 31 38% 0.02 in
Sun 1 63% 0.58 in
Mon 2 44% 0.13 in
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 9%

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 63% and 0.58 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point66 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 66 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.6 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (9.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.10 30.07

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 52

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	68 / 84 °F	0	15 mph NE
Tue 27	Mainly clear	64 / 84 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	68 / 84 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NE
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	67 / 85 °F	0	17 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	60 / 83 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	57 / 82 °F	0	11 mph NE
Thu 22	Mainly clear	59 / 80 °F	0	10 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	59 / 83 °F	0	9 mph NE
Tue 20	Clear sky	58 / 81 °F	0	9 mph NE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	62 / 80 °F	0	14 mph NE
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	61 / 81 °F	0	15 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	65 / 76 °F	1.18 in	12 mph NNE
Fri 16	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.20 in	7 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	71 / 89 °F	0.01 in	8 mph ENE
Wed 14	Mainly clear	70 / 87 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	67 / 86 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	71 / 84 °F	0	11 mph N
Sun 11	Light showers	73 / 82 °F	0.47 in	9 mph NW
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.46 in	13 mph S
Fri 9	Rain	74 / 85 °F	0.98 in	13 mph ESE
Thu 8	Heavy showers	74 / 77 °F	2.26 in	9 mph E
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	75 / 78 °F	3.00 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 6	Heavy showers	75 / 79 °F	3.92 in	9 mph E
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.35 in	7 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	0.35 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.26 in	9 mph ESE
Fri 2	Drizzle	75 / 84 °F	0.11 in	10 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	0.11 in	11 mph E
Wed 30	Rain	72 / 91 °F	0.69 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	70 / 91 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Madeira BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Madeira Beach?

Light drizzle, from 69 °F to 86 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Madeira Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 8% (0.00 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 67 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.00 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Madeira Beach?

The best time to visit Madeira Beach is from February to May and from November to December: highs of 71 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Madeira Beach in October?

In October, Madeira Beach normally sees highs of 84 °F and lows of 69 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.69 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Madeira Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is August (8.72 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Madeira Beach?

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Madeira Beach, about 6 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Madeira Beach today

Weather near Madeira Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:13 am (local time).

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