Weather in Horseshoe Beach
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:20 pm (EDT)- Feels like
- 72 °F
- Low / high
- 59 / 81 °F
- Rain
- 0%
- Wind
- 10 mph ENE
Today in Horseshoe Beach: overcast, 59 °F to 81 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 66 °F to 82 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (66%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 59 / 81 °F | 0% | 15 mph NE | 1.5 ft | 2:55 am · 4:26 pm | HRRR | |
| Thu 29 | 66 / 82 °F | 1% | 12 mph NE | 1.1 ft | 3:35 am · 5:18 pm | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 65 / 82 °F | 2% | 10 mph NE | 1.0 ft | 4:20 am · 6:15 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 67 / 82 °F | 14% | 10 mph ENE | 1.3 ft | 5:13 am · 7:21 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 66 / 76 °F | 66% · 1.22 in | 10 mph ENE | 1.4 ft | 5:19 am · 7:37 pm | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 64 / 77 °F | 45% · 0.13 in | 10 mph NE | 1.9 ft | 6:38 am · 9:00 pm | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 61 / 78 °F | 7% | 8 mph NE | 1.5 ft | 8:13 am · 9:54 pm | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 63 / 78 °F | 18% · 0.04 in | 9 mph ESE | 1.5 ft | 9:58 am · 10:29 pm | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 62 / 75 °F | 31% · 0.21 in | 9 mph SSW | 3.1 ft | 11:12 am · 10:59 pm | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 58 / 73 °F | 13% · 0.02 in | 7 mph W | 3.7 ft | 12:01 pm · 11:28 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 54 / 72 °F | 4% · 0.03 in | 6 mph NW | 3.2 ft | 12:41 pm · 11:58 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 52 / 73 °F | 8% | 6 mph N | 2.1 ft | 1:16 pm | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 55 / 73 °F | 9% | 8 mph NNE | 1.5 ft | 12:29 am · 1:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 60 / 69 °F | 15% · 0.02 in | 7 mph NNE | 1.1 ft | 1:00 am · 2:23 pm | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Overcast | Mainly clear | Clear |
| Temperature | 65° | 60° | 60° | 62° | 76° | 81° | 78° | 71° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 6 NNE | 8 NNE | 9 NNE | 8 NNE | 13 NE | 14 NE | 10 NE | 10 NE |
| Humidity | 74% | 72% | 79% | 81% | 66% | 56% | 60% | 75% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR |
Do the models agree?
High confidenceThe models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 82° | 80° | 83° | 85° | 72° | 81° | 83° |
| AIFS | 80° | 80° | 80° | 81° | 78° | 78° | 80° |
| GFS | 82° | 82° | 83° | 85° | 74° | 82° | 80° |
| ICON | 81° | 82° | 83° | 84° | 78° | 74° | 76° |
| HRRR | 81° | 83° | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 80° | 81° | 82° | 82° | 76° | 77° | 78° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 in | 0.04 in | 0.02 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.06 in | 0.06 in | 0.05 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0.55 in | 0.02 in | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 in | 1.19 in | 0 |
| HRRR | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.22 in | 0.13 in | 0 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | medium | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1533 | 1329 | 1123 | 1329 | 1221 | 1328 | 1230 |
| AIFS | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| GFS | 1131 | 1028 | 1025 | 1326 | 1126 | 818 | 816 |
| ICON | 1328 | 1124 | 920 | 918 | 918 | 1428 | 511 |
| HRRR | 1529 | 1227 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 1322 | 1020 | 1018 | 1023 | 1021 | 1018 | 816 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 2% | 6% | 24% | 27% | 43% | 37% | 25% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 6% | 6% | 42% | 87% | 26% | 16% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 0% | 1% | 2% | 14% | 66% | 45% | 7% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 14% | 3% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, much wetter and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Above +3.4 °F | Well above +159% | A bit above +0.9 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit below −1.1 °F | Above +60% | A bit above +0.7 °F | 70° / 61° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Normal +0.5 °F | Above +69% | A bit above +0.5 °F | 70° / 61° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal 0.0 °F | Well above +129% | A bit above +0.5 °F | 68° / 61° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal −0.4 °F | Well above +159% | Normal +0.2 °F | 66° / 59° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | Normal +0.7 °F | Above +95% | — |
| December | Normal −0.7 °F | Above +61% | — |
| January | A bit below −1.3 °F | Above +69% | — |
| February | A bit below −1.4 °F | Above +99% | — |
| March | A bit below −1.3 °F | Above +85% | — |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Horseshoe Beach climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Horseshoe Beach is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Horseshoe Beach, about 7 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 65° | 45° | 3.46 in | 8 | 5.5 | 61° | 1.7 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 68° | 47° | 3.39 in | 8 | 5.9 | 61° | 1.5 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 73° | 53° | 3.40 in | 8 | 7.4 | 65° | 1.4 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 79° | 58° | 2.79 in | 6 | 8.4 | 71° | 1.5 ft | – |
| MayMay | 86° | 64° | 2.94 in | 9 | 9.5 | 78° | 1.3 ft | 1 |
| JuneJun | 89° | 70° | 7.37 in | 19 | 8.0 | 83° | 1.4 ft | 4 |
| JulyJul | 91° | 73° | 8.85 in | 23 | 8.2 | 85° | 1.2 ft | 1 |
| AugustAug | 91° | 73° | 9.78 in | 24 | 7.4 | 86° | 1.3 ft | 4 |
| SeptemberSep | 89° | 71° | 6.00 in | 15 | 6.4 | 84° | 1.3 ft | 7 |
| OctoberOct | 83° | 63° | 2.57 in | 7 | 6.3 | 78° | 1.4 ft | 1 |
| NovemberNov | 74° | 53° | 1.95 in | 5 | 6.3 | 70° | 1.4 ft | 2 |
| DecemberDec | 69° | 47° | 3.44 in | 7 | 5.1 | 65° | 1.5 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 61° | 1.7 ft | – |
| Feb | 61° | 1.5 ft | – |
| Mar | 65° | 1.4 ft | – |
| Apr | 71° | 1.5 ft | – |
| May | 78° | 1.3 ft | 1 |
| Jun | 83° | 1.4 ft | 4 |
| Jul | 85° | 1.2 ft | 1 |
| Aug | 86° | 1.3 ft | 4 |
| Sep | 84° | 1.3 ft | 7 |
| Oct | 78° | 1.4 ft | 1 |
| Nov | 70° | 1.4 ft | 2 |
| Dec | 65° | 1.5 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 55.94 in of rain on about 138 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 72 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 59 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 66 °F to 82 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 66% and 1.22 in.
No rain in the last 7 days.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 73% now and the dew point is 63 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 5
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Partly cloudy | 60 / 80 °F | 0 | 15 mph NE |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 63 / 79 °F | 0 | 13 mph NE |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 64 / 78 °F | 0 | 15 mph NE |
| Sat 24 | Clear sky | 54 / 79 °F | 0 | 14 mph NE |
| Fri 23 | Clear sky | 53 / 76 °F | 0 | 10 mph NE |
| Thu 22 | Clear sky | 52 / 79 °F | 0 | 8 mph NE |
| Wed 21 | Mainly clear | 51 / 80 °F | 0 | 8 mph NE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Clear sky | 52 / 76 °F | 0 | 9 mph NE |
| Mon 19 | Clear sky | 57 / 78 °F | 0 | 15 mph NE |
| Sun 18 | Overcast | 56 / 72 °F | 0 | 15 mph NE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 63 / 79 °F | 0.01 in | 14 mph N |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 69 / 85 °F | 0.04 in | 8 mph S |
| Thu 15 | Mainly clear | 67 / 87 °F | 0 | 8 mph E |
| Wed 14 | Mainly clear | 63 / 88 °F | 0 | 8 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Clear sky | 63 / 88 °F | 0 | 7 mph NNE |
| Mon 12 | Clear sky | 67 / 87 °F | 0 | 8 mph NNW |
| Sun 11 | Light showers | 72 / 81 °F | 0.28 in | 13 mph W |
| Sat 10 | Thunderstorm with hail | 74 / 84 °F | 1.62 in | 17 mph S |
| Fri 9 | Showers | 71 / 82 °F | 1.07 in | 13 mph E |
| Thu 8 | Heavy drizzle | 71 / 80 °F | 0.19 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Wed 7 | Heavy rain | 71 / 80 °F | 1.45 in | 12 mph ENE |
| Tue 6 | Rain | 72 / 78 °F | 1.19 in | 12 mph ENE |
| Mon 5 | Thunderstorm | 73 / 84 °F | 0.73 in | 8 mph E |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 74 / 84 °F | 0.11 in | 10 mph E |
| Sat 3 | Drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.21 in | 11 mph ESE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 73 / 86 °F | 0.18 in | 10 mph ESE |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 71 / 93 °F | 0 | 8 mph ESE |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 69 / 91 °F | 0.13 in | 7 mph ENE |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 71 / 87 °F | 0.01 in | 8 mph S |
| Mon 28 | Overcast | 73 / 87 °F | 0 | 8 mph WSW |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Horseshoe BeachQuestions
What's the weather like today in Horseshoe Beach?
Overcast, from 59 °F to 81 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (10 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Horseshoe Beach?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 59 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.07 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Horseshoe Beach?
The best time to visit Horseshoe Beach is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 73 °F to 86 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Horseshoe Beach in October?
In October, Horseshoe Beach normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 63 °F, with about 7 rainy days (2.57 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Horseshoe Beach?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 45 °F. The wettest is August (9.78 in) and the driest, November.
When is hurricane season in Horseshoe Beach?
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Horseshoe Beach, about 7 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.
More about Horseshoe Beach today
Weather near Horseshoe Beach
- Suwannee 71 °F · clear · 12 mi
- Steinhatchee 71 °F · clear · 17 mi
- Cedar Key 73 °F · clear · 26 mi
- Yankeetown 71 °F · clear · 45 mi
- Homosassa 73 °F · mainly clear · 61 mi
- Pine Island 73 °F · mainly clear · 71 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:20 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from