Weather in Chokoloskee

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:12 pm (EDT)

Now · clear 79 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 73 / 90 °F
Rain: 26% · 0.20 in
Wind: 8 mph ENE

↗ 29.91 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Chokoloskee: drizzle, 73 °F to 90 °F, with a 26% chance of rain (0.20 in) and a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (8 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 74 °F to 87 °F and a 18% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 90 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (43%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

90° 73°
Today
87° 74°
Thu 29
87° 73°
Fri 30
86° 73°
Sat 31
84° 73°
Sun 1
84° 71°
Mon 2
85° 69°
Tue 3
85° 69°
Wed 4
84° 70°
Thu 5
83° 69°
Fri 6
82° 66°
Sat 7
82° 65°
Sun 8
78° 62°
Mon 9
80° 61°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	73 / 90 °F	26% · 0.20 in	14 mph NE	1.3 ft	3:03 am · 5:39 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	18% · 0.03 in	9 mph NE	0.7 ft	3:40 am · 6:46 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	43%	8 mph NE	0.7 ft	4:28 am · 7:59 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	73 / 86 °F	73% · 0.11 in	10 mph ENE	0.9 ft	5:33 am · 9:11 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Thunderstorm	73 / 84 °F	65% · 0.24 in	10 mph E	1.2 ft	6:20 am · 9:11 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	71 / 84 °F	29% · 0.03 in	10 mph NNE	1.2 ft	8:12 am · 9:58 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	16%	8 mph N	0.9 ft	9:38 am · 10:38 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	17%	8 mph ESE	0.5 ft	10:58 am · 11:13 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	14%	11 mph SW	1.3 ft	12:05 pm · 11:44 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light showers	69 / 83 °F	14% · 0.02 in	9 mph WNW	2.7 ft	12:57 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	66 / 82 °F	6% · 0.02 in	8 mph NNW	1.8 ft	12:13 am · 1:39 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	65 / 82 °F	25%	9 mph NNW	1.8 ft	12:41 am · 2:16 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	62 / 78 °F	20%	7 mph NW	1.2 ft	1:08 am · 2:53 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	61 / 80 °F	12%	6 mph NNW	0.9 ft	1:33 am · 3:32 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	74°	75°	74°	77°	84°	90°	84°	78°
Chance of rain	11%	10%	17%	7%	3%	4%	26%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 NNE	14 NNE	12 NNE	10 NNE	8 ENE	10 ENE	10 NE	3 ESE
Humidity	87%	89%	90%	87%	73%	51%	67%	88%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	85°	87°	87°	87°	83°	78°	85°
AIFS	87°	85°	84°	83°	80°	76°	79°
GFS	88°	89°	87°	88°	88°	85°	84°
ICON	87°	87°	85°	84°	81°	79°	80°
HRRR	90°	87°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	87°	87°	87°	86°	84°	84°	85°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.13 in	0.13 in	0.13 in	0.13 in	0.51 in	0.39 in	0.07 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.13 in	0.52 in	1.17 in	0.56 in
GFS	0.22 in	0.03 in	0.17 in	0.17 in	0.31 in	0	0.01 in
ICON	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.00 in	0.07 in	0.27 in	0.30 in	0.06 in
HRRR	0.20 in	0.03 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.52 in	0	0	0.11 in	0.24 in	0.03 in	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1123	819	922	916	1017	1016	926
AIFS	11	10	9	12	13	15	12
GFS	1629	918	915	1120	1418	99	109
ICON	920	817	920	1023	1021	1025	616
HRRR	1437	1021	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1324	814	815	1018	1018	1018	815
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	92%	96%	89%	92%	78%	75%	53%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	99%	61%	71%	88%	82%	39%	26%
NBM (NOAA)	26%	18%	43%	73%	65%	29%	16%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	5%	6%	14%	22%	43%	21%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.5 °F	Well above +103%	A bit above +1.6 °F	77° / 69°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +37%	A bit above +0.7 °F	77° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +75%	A bit above +0.9 °F	76° / 69°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +173%	A bit above +0.5 °F	74° / 68°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +83%	Above +1.8 °F
December	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +139%	A bit above +1.1 °F
January	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +212%	Normal −0.2 °F
February	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +211%	Normal −0.4 °F
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	Well above +193%	A bit below −0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Chokoloskee climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Chokoloskee is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chokoloskee, about 5 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ian, in September 2022.

76° 56°

JanJ
77° 57°

FebF
80° 61°

MarM
84° 64°

AprA
87° 69°

MayM
89° 73°

JunJ
91° 74°

JulJ
91° 75°

AugA
90° 74°

SepS
87° 70°

OctO
82° 63°

NovN
78° 59°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	76°	56°	1.59 in	5	6.1	70°	0.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	77°	57°	1.22 in	5	7.0	70°	0.8 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	61°	1.43 in	6	7.9	73°	0.9 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	64°	1.95 in	7	8.2	77°	0.9 ft	–
MayMay	87°	69°	3.92 in	13	8.9	81°	0.8 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	73°	9.48 in	24	7.3	84°	0.7 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	74°	6.63 in	24	8.0	86°	0.7 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	75°	8.56 in	25	7.4	86°	0.7 ft	4
SeptemberSep	90°	74°	8.11 in	23	6.3	85°	0.7 ft	5
OctoberOct	87°	70°	4.26 in	11	6.2	82°	0.8 ft	2
NovemberNov	82°	63°	1.57 in	5	6.4	76°	0.8 ft	2
DecemberDec	78°	59°	1.36 in	5	5.8	72°	0.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	70°	0.9 ft	–
Feb	70°	0.8 ft	–
Mar	73°	0.9 ft	–
Apr	77°	0.9 ft	–
May	81°	0.8 ft	–
Jun	84°	0.7 ft	–
Jul	86°	0.7 ft	1
Aug	86°	0.7 ft	4
Sep	85°	0.7 ft	5
Oct	82°	0.8 ft	2
Nov	76°	0.8 ft	2
Dec	72°	0.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.08 in of rain on about 151 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow74 / 87 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 73 °F to 90 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 26% 0.20 in
Thu 29 18% 0.03 in
Fri 30 43%
Sat 31 73% 0.11 in
Sun 1 65% 0.24 in
Mon 2 29% 0.03 in
Tue 3 16%

Today the chance of rain reaches 26%, with 0.20 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 43% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.19 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.46 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.9 migood

Clouds8%

Visibility is good now (9.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 30.00

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.07 in	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.01 in	16 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.18 in	15 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	66 / 83 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 23	Drizzle	68 / 84 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	68 / 83 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	66 / 84 °F	0	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	69 / 85 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	71 / 86 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	71 / 84 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NE
Sat 17	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	0.83 in	9 mph NE
Fri 16	Thunderstorm	76 / 91 °F	0.28 in	6 mph ENE
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.15 in	6 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	72 / 88 °F	0.08 in	8 mph ENE
Tue 13	Clear sky	72 / 91 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Mon 12	Overcast	75 / 91 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Sun 11	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.21 in	6 mph SE
Sat 10	Drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.14 in	12 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.12 in	11 mph SE
Thu 8	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.17 in	7 mph SE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	75 / 83 °F	0.43 in	7 mph SSE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.12 in	7 mph S
Mon 5	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.07 in	6 mph SE
Sun 4	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.28 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.06 in	8 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.07 in	8 mph E
Thu 1	Light showers	74 / 78 °F	0.38 in	9 mph E
Wed 30	Light showers	73 / 78 °F	0.64 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 29	Light showers	72 / 82 °F	0.56 in	9 mph E
Mon 28	Overcast	71 / 87 °F	0	9 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChokoloskeeQuestions

What's the weather like today in Chokoloskee?

Drizzle, from 73 °F to 90 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (8 mph) and a 26% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Chokoloskee?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 18% (0.03 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Chokoloskee?

The best time to visit Chokoloskee is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Chokoloskee in October?

In October, Chokoloskee normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.26 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Chokoloskee?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is June (9.48 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Chokoloskee?

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chokoloskee, about 5 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ian, in September 2022.

More about Chokoloskee today

Weather near Chokoloskee

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:12 pm (local time).

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