Weather in Carrabelle

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:46 pm (EDT)

Now · partly cloudy 70 °F

Feels like: 70 °F
Low / high: 58 / 78 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 7 mph NNE

→ 30.10 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Carrabelle: overcast, 58 °F to 78 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 64 °F to 80 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 81 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (29%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

78° 58°
Today
80° 64°
Thu 29
81° 64°
Fri 30
80° 66°
Sat 31
75° 66°
Sun 1
77° 63°
Mon 2
77° 62°
Tue 3
77° 64°
Wed 4
75° 61°
Thu 5
73° 55°
Fri 6
73° 51°
Sat 7
72° 51°
Sun 8
72° 53°
Mon 9
71° 51°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	58 / 78 °F	0%	13 mph NE	1.9 ft	2:40 am · 7:12 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	64 / 80 °F	2%	11 mph NE	1.7 ft	3:20 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	64 / 81 °F	1%	7 mph NE	1.7 ft	4:07 am	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	66 / 80 °F	29% · 0.08 in	9 mph ENE	2.0 ft	5:00 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	66 / 75 °F	59% · 2.19 in	10 mph ENE	2.6 ft	5:04 am · 10:03 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	63 / 77 °F	27% · 0.02 in	9 mph NE	2.4 ft	6:46 am · 10:31 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	62 / 77 °F	7%	8 mph ENE	2.3 ft	8:44 am · 10:52 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	64 / 77 °F	28% · 0.39 in	8 mph SE	1.7 ft	10:45 am · 11:08 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Thunderstorm	61 / 75 °F	27% · 0.20 in	7 mph SSW	3.0 ft	12:23 pm · 11:24 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	55 / 73 °F	10%	5 mph WNW	2.3 ft	1:31 pm · 11:41 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	51 / 73 °F	4% · 0.02 in	5 mph N	—	2:33 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	51 / 72 °F	6%	6 mph NNE	—	12:00 am · 3:28 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	53 / 72 °F	6%	7 mph NNE	—	12:22 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	51 / 71 °F	14%	7 mph N	—	12:48 am · 4:56 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	65°	61°	60°	61°	73°	78°	77°	70°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 ENE	8 NNE	8 NNE	10 NNE	11 NE	12 NE	7 NNE	7 NE
Humidity	75%	85%	75%	74%	67%	57%	56%	70%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	78°	81°	81°	83°	78°	79°	81°
AIFS	79°	81°	82°	81°	76°	79°	81°
GFS	79°	79°	79°	78°	74°	74°	74°
ICON	82°	82°	81°	79°	73°	73°	76°
HRRR	78°	82°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	79°	80°	81°	80°	75°	77°	77°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.05 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.33 in	0.03 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.14 in	0.12 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0.08 in	2.19 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1023	920	717	818	1119	1219	730
AIFS	10	9	8	10	11	13	12
GFS	1527	1325	1423	1824	1726	1521	1117
ICON	1024	819	820	821	921	1127	615
HRRR	1326	1124	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	919	716	716	922	1022	919	816
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	2%	2%	8%	35%	16%	4%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	13%	3%	52%	71%	10%	13%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	2%	1%	29%	59%	27%	7%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	9%	22%	6%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	Well above +171%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.5 °F	A bit above +34%	70° / 55°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +49%	70° / 56°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.5 °F	Above +86%	68° / 56°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.7 °F	Well above +126%	65° / 54°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +78%
December	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +40%
January	A bit below −1.4 °F	Above +64%
February	A bit below −1.6 °F	Above +84%
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +72%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Carrabelle climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carrabelle is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 72 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 21 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carrabelle, about 7 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.

63° 43°

JanJ
66° 46°

FebF
72° 52°

MarM
78° 57°

AprA
85° 65°

MayM
89° 71°

JunJ
90° 73°

JulJ
90° 73°

AugA
88° 70°

SepS
81° 61°

OctO
73° 51°

NovN
66° 45°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	63°	43°	4.21 in	8	5.3	63°	1.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	66°	46°	3.71 in	8	5.9	62°	1.4 ft	–
MarchMar	72°	52°	4.38 in	8	7.3	65°	1.3 ft	–
AprilApr	78°	57°	3.81 in	6	8.1	70°	1.4 ft	–
MayMay	85°	65°	3.03 in	8	9.3	76°	1.3 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	71°	7.36 in	17	7.9	82°	1.2 ft	4
JulyJul	90°	73°	7.41 in	20	7.8	84°	1.0 ft	1
AugustAug	90°	73°	8.07 in	20	7.2	85°	1.1 ft	6
SeptemberSep	88°	70°	6.61 in	12	6.7	84°	1.3 ft	6
OctoberOct	81°	61°	4.19 in	6	6.5	79°	1.4 ft	2
NovemberNov	73°	51°	2.85 in	6	6.3	72°	1.4 ft	1
DecemberDec	66°	45°	3.91 in	8	5.0	67°	1.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	63°	1.5 ft	–
Feb	62°	1.4 ft	–
Mar	65°	1.3 ft	–
Apr	70°	1.4 ft	–
May	76°	1.3 ft	1
Jun	82°	1.2 ft	4
Jul	84°	1.0 ft	1
Aug	85°	1.1 ft	6
Sep	84°	1.3 ft	6
Oct	79°	1.4 ft	2
Nov	72°	1.4 ft	1
Dec	67°	1.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 59.54 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now70 °Ffeels like 70 °F

Tomorrow64 / 80 °F

It's 70 °F now (feels like 70 °F). Today, 58 °F to 78 °F; tomorrow, 64 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 2%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 29% 0.08 in
Sun 1 59% 2.19 in
Mon 2 27% 0.02 in
Tue 3 7%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 29% and 0.08 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 59 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds62%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.05

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 43

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Clear sky	55 / 79 °F	8 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	60 / 78 °F	10 mph NE
Sun 25	Clear sky	60 / 77 °F	11 mph NE
Sat 24	Clear sky	48 / 77 °F	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Clear sky	52 / 77 °F	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Clear sky	47 / 78 °F	6 mph NNE
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	48 / 78 °F	7 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 75 °F	0	7 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	54 / 76 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	54 / 69 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	61 / 74 °F	0.05 in	14 mph N
Fri 16	Light drizzle	63 / 86 °F	0.01 in	6 mph N
Thu 15	Mainly clear	64 / 86 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Wed 14	Clear sky	61 / 86 °F	0	6 mph E
Tue 13	Clear sky	61 / 87 °F	0	5 mph NNE
Mon 12	Clear sky	62 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Sun 11	Mainly clear	61 / 84 °F	0	7 mph W
Sat 10	Light drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.06 in	18 mph SSW
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	71 / 77 °F	2.91 in	19 mph E
Thu 8	Drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.20 in	11 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	69 / 78 °F	0.05 in	12 mph NE
Tue 6	Heavy rain	71 / 74 °F	4.65 in	12 mph NE
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	74 / 78 °F	1.77 in	5 mph ESE
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	75 / 80 °F	0.71 in	7 mph E
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	75 / 80 °F	0.61 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	0.76 in	8 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.17 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 85 °F	0.14 in	6 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	62 / 89 °F	0.01 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 28	Partly cloudy	62 / 88 °F	0	5 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarrabelleQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carrabelle?

Overcast, from 58 °F to 78 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carrabelle?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 58 °F and a high of 81 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.10 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carrabelle?

The best time to visit Carrabelle is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 72 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carrabelle in October?

In October, Carrabelle normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 61 °F, with about 6 rainy days (4.19 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 79 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carrabelle?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is August (8.07 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Carrabelle?

Hurricane season: from June to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 21 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Carrabelle, about 7 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.

More about Carrabelle today

Weather near Carrabelle

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:46 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from