Weather in Atlantic Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:04 am (EDT)

Now · overcast 72 °F

Feels like: 74 °F
Low / high: 70 / 75 °F
Rain: 10% · 0.02 in
Wind: 14 mph NNE

↗ 30.11 inHg · rising

Today in Atlantic Beach: overcast, 70 °F to 75 °F, with a 10% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a moderate breeze from the north-northeast (14 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 69 °F to 74 °F and a 18% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 76 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (43%).

Measured now at the airport

Mayport (KNRB), 4.5 mi away · 12 min ago

Visibility5.0 mi

WeatherMist

Temperature72 °F

Wind16 mph from the north

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

75° 70°
Today
74° 69°
Fri 30
76° 71°
Sat 31
74° 71°
Sun 1
74° 69°
Mon 2
75° 69°
Tue 3
76° 67°
Wed 4
76° 66°
Thu 5
73° 63°
Fri 6
70° 60°
Sat 7
69° 59°
Sun 8
75° 48°
Mon 9
79° 58°
Tue 10
75° 62°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	70 / 75 °F	10% · 0.02 in	16 mph NNE	5.5 ft	11:21 am · 11:40 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Light drizzle	69 / 74 °F	18% · 0.02 in	19 mph NNE	4.6 ft	12:18 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	71 / 76 °F	16%	17 mph ENE	4.6 ft	12:38 am · 1:17 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	71 / 74 °F	43% · 0.69 in	17 mph ENE	4.9 ft	1:39 am · 1:20 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	69 / 74 °F	43% · 0.66 in	17 mph ENE	4.9 ft	1:44 am · 2:23 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	69 / 75 °F	10%	15 mph NE	4.4 ft	2:48 am · 3:23 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	67 / 76 °F	14%	12 mph ENE	3.9 ft	3:50 am · 4:20 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	66 / 76 °F	25%	10 mph SSW	3.7 ft	4:47 am · 5:12 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Mainly clear	63 / 73 °F	14%	10 mph WNW	3.3 ft	5:38 am · 5:59 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	60 / 70 °F	9%	11 mph NW	3.0 ft	6:25 am · 6:43 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	59 / 69 °F	4%	11 mph NNE	3.0 ft	7:07 am · 7:24 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Overcast	48 / 75 °F	10%	8 mph SSE	2.6 ft	7:48 am · 8:04 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	58 / 79 °F	10%	7 mph WSW	2.2 ft	8:27 am · 8:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	62 / 75 °F	22%	5 mph NNE	2.3 ft	9:05 am · 9:24 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 4:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	71°	71°	70°	72°	74°	75°	71°	71°
Chance of rain	0%	4%	1%	6%	3%	5%	6%	4%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 NNE	11 N	14 NNE	14 NNE	16 NNE	16 NNE	12 NNE	12 NNE
Humidity	88%	91%	92%	91%	90%	87%	92%	91%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	77°	76°	79°	78°	76°	79°	80°
AIFS	76°	76°	78°	77°	73°	74°	78°
GFS	77°	77°	79°	79°	73°	76°	80°
ICON	75°	75°	75°	76°	73°	74°	75°
HRRR	75°	75°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	74°	74°	76°	74°	74°	75°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.08 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.14 in	0.11 in	0.87 in	1.47 in	0.31 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.14 in	0.19 in	9.33 in	0.54 in	0.13 in
ICON	0	0	0.08 in	0.02 in	0.69 in	0.46 in	0.52 in
HRRR	0.02 in	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.05 in	0.02 in	0	0.69 in	0.66 in	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1430	1328	1328	1227	1530	1228	924
AIFS	15	12	12	15	14	12	8
GFS	1726	1524	1421	1423	2031	1121	1021
ICON	1428	1327	1123	1223	1328	1326	1123
HRRR	1628	1626	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	2127	1924	1722	1722	1722	1521	1216
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	39%	33%	53%	49%	52%	56%	41%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	52%	27%	54%	68%	56%	27%	42%
NBM (NOAA)	10%	18%	16%	43%	43%	10%	14%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	10%	9%	17%	17%	8%	9%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +56%	Below −1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit above +30%	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +30%	Normal −0.4 °F	69° / 64°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +111%	Normal −0.2 °F	68° / 63°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.4 °F	Well above +153%	A bit below −0.5 °F	67° / 61°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +65%	—
December	Normal −0.4 °F	Above +64%	—
January	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +65%	—
February	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +94%	—
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +67%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Atlantic Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Atlantic Beach is from March to May and in November: highs of 72 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Atlantic Beach, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

64° 46°

JanJ
67° 49°

FebF
72° 53°

MarM
78° 60°

AprA
84° 67°

MayM
88° 72°

JunJ
90° 74°

JulJ
89° 75°

AugA
86° 73°

SepS
80° 65°

OctO
72° 56°

NovN
66° 49°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	64°	46°	2.98 in	8	5.3	62°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	67°	49°	3.11 in	7	5.4	61°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	72°	53°	3.44 in	8	7.0	63°	2.0 ft	–
AprilApr	78°	60°	2.78 in	7	8.1	68°	2.0 ft	–
MayMay	84°	67°	3.13 in	9	9.1	75°	1.9 ft	3
JuneJun	88°	72°	5.92 in	19	7.5	80°	1.6 ft	2
JulyJul	90°	74°	5.45 in	21	8.2	82°	1.5 ft	–
AugustAug	89°	75°	6.07 in	22	7.1	82°	1.6 ft	6
SeptemberSep	86°	73°	7.72 in	17	5.9	82°	2.2 ft	4
OctoberOct	80°	65°	3.92 in	10	6.0	77°	2.3 ft	3
NovemberNov	72°	56°	1.93 in	7	5.6	70°	2.4 ft	1
DecemberDec	66°	49°	2.65 in	7	4.6	65°	2.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	62°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	61°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	63°	2.0 ft	–
Apr	68°	2.0 ft	–
May	75°	1.9 ft	3
Jun	80°	1.6 ft	2
Jul	82°	1.5 ft	–
Aug	82°	1.6 ft	6
Sep	82°	2.2 ft	4
Oct	77°	2.3 ft	3
Nov	70°	2.4 ft	1
Dec	65°	2.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.10 in of rain on about 141 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 74 °F

Tomorrow69 / 74 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 74 °F). Today, 70 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 10% 0.02 in
Fri 30 18% 0.02 in
Sat 31 16%
Sun 1 43% 0.69 in
Mon 2 43% 0.66 in
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 14%

Today the chance of rain reaches 10%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 43% and 0.69 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.16 in; last 7 days, 0.80 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.5 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (8.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.17

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 65

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	68 / 77 °F	0.04 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	68 / 74 °F	0.11 in	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.02 in	18 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	67 / 71 °F	0.31 in	19 mph NNE
Sat 24	Drizzle	60 / 74 °F	0.32 in	19 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	58 / 75 °F	0	13 mph N
Thu 22	Clear sky	55 / 74 °F	0	9 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Mainly clear	56 / 77 °F	0	11 mph N
Tue 20	Mainly clear	56 / 72 °F	0	11 mph N
Mon 19	Light drizzle	63 / 69 °F	0.02 in	13 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	64 / 69 °F	0.02 in	18 mph NNE
Sat 17	Overcast	66 / 74 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	64 / 86 °F	0.02 in	7 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	66 / 85 °F	0	6 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	65 / 84 °F	0	6 mph NE
Tue 13	Overcast	66 / 85 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	67 / 85 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.04 in	11 mph SW
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	74 / 84 °F	0.69 in	10 mph SSE
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	73 / 80 °F	0.76 in	14 mph E
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	73 / 79 °F	0.48 in	6 mph NE
Wed 7	Drizzle	73 / 77 °F	0.46 in	10 mph NE
Tue 6	Showers	73 / 76 °F	1.46 in	10 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light showers	73 / 80 °F	0.38 in	7 mph N
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	74 / 81 °F	0.30 in	5 mph E
Sat 3	Thunderstorm with hail	74 / 89 °F	1.17 in	7 mph SE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	74 / 83 °F	1.13 in	6 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.15 in	8 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 87 °F	0.12 in	8 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	67 / 88 °F	0	7 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Atlantic BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Atlantic Beach?

Overcast, from 70 °F to 75 °F, with a moderate breeze from the north-northeast (14 mph) and a 10% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Atlantic Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 18% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 67 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.11 inHg and rising: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Atlantic Beach?

The best time to visit Atlantic Beach is from March to May and in November: highs of 72 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Atlantic Beach in October?

In October, Atlantic Beach normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 65 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.92 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Atlantic Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is September (7.72 in) and the driest, November.

When is hurricane season in Atlantic Beach?

Hurricane season: in May and from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Atlantic Beach, about 6 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debby, in August 2024.

More about Atlantic Beach today

Weather near Atlantic Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:04 am (local time).

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