Weather in Black Rock

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:59 pm (EDT)

Now · clear 52 °F

Feels like: 49 °F
Low / high: 39 / 57 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph S

↘ 30.32 inHg · falling

Today in Black Rock: overcast, 39 °F to 57 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south (6 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 44 °F to 65 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 68 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (28%).

Measured now at the airport

Bridgeport/Sikorsky Mem (KBDR), 5.2 mi away · 1 h 7 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature50 °F

Wind3 mph from the north-northwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

57° 39°
Today
65° 44°
Thu 29
68° 47°
Fri 30
58° 41°
Sat 31
62° 38°
Sun 1
65° 44°
Mon 2
64° 47°
Tue 3
65° 49°
Wed 4
65° 51°
Thu 5
64° 50°
Fri 6
61° 46°
Sat 7
59° 40°
Sun 8
58° 37°
Mon 9
55° 38°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	39 / 57 °F	0%	7 mph E	0.5 ft	1:04 am · 1:18 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Clear sky	44 / 65 °F	1%	11 mph SW	0.7 ft	1:54 am · 2:10 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Clear sky	47 / 68 °F	6%	12 mph WNW	1.0 ft	2:49 am · 3:07 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	41 / 58 °F	0%	9 mph NNW	0.3 ft	3:47 am · 4:08 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	38 / 62 °F	0%	6 mph WSW	0.3 ft	3:50 am · 4:13 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	44 / 65 °F	5%	7 mph WSW	0.3 ft	4:55 am · 5:21 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	47 / 64 °F	13%	8 mph E	0.9 ft	5:59 am · 6:28 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	49 / 65 °F	28% · 0.19 in	11 mph ESE	0.8 ft	7:00 am · 7:30 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	51 / 65 °F	34% · 0.36 in	11 mph E	0.3 ft	7:55 am · 8:25 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light rain	50 / 64 °F	35% · 0.50 in	11 mph E	1.0 ft	8:43 am · 9:15 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	46 / 61 °F	31% · 0.13 in	11 mph NNW	3.2 ft	9:28 am · 9:59 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	40 / 59 °F	23% · 0.10 in	9 mph NNW	2.2 ft	10:08 am · 10:40 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	37 / 58 °F	23%	9 mph NNW	1.2 ft	10:46 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	38 / 55 °F	12%	8 mph NE	1.6 ft	11:24 am · 11:57 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear
Temperature	44°	42°	39°	43°	54°	57°	55°	53°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NNW	4 NNE	5 NNE	6 NE	2 ENE	6 ESE	5 ESE	6 S
Humidity	53%	59%	57%	57%	55%	60%	62%	80%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	57°	66°	68°	54°	59°	67°	67°
AIFS	56°	67°	67°	57°	59°	67°	70°
GFS	57°	66°	69°	56°	60°	64°	63°
ICON	55°	65°	68°	56°	62°	69°	67°
HRRR	57°	65°	62°	—	—	—	—
NBM	58°	67°	68°	58°	62°	65°	64°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	0	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	713	821	1126	1023	718	818	1117
AIFS	9	9	13	9	6	8	9
GFS	58	1021	1527	925	617	1021	1216
ICON	613	920	1328	818	817	717	1227
HRRR	716	1119	1529	—	—	—	—
NBM	69	1015	1218	914	610	711	812
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	7%	18%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	10%	0%	3%	13%	29%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	1%	6%	0%	0%	5%	13%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +7.4 °F	Above +56%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	53° / 39°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	52° / 40°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +31%	49° / 39°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +30%	47° / 36°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +24%
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +35%
January	Above +4.0 °F	A bit above +44%
February	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +40%
March	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +28%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Black Rock climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Black Rock is from May to September: highs of 70 °F to 84 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Black Rock, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.

38° 22°

JanJ
41° 24°

FebF
49° 30°

MarM
60° 40°

AprA
70° 49°

MayM
79° 59°

JunJ
84° 65°

JulJ
82° 64°

AugA
75° 56°

SepS
64° 45°

OctO
53° 36°

NovN
43° 28°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	38°	22°	3.53 in	8	3.6	39°	1.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	41°	24°	3.13 in	7	4.9	35°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	49°	30°	4.31 in	9	5.4	37°	1.6 ft	–
AprilApr	60°	40°	4.21 in	9	6.0	44°	1.5 ft	–
MayMay	70°	49°	3.86 in	10	6.6	54°	1.2 ft	–
JuneJun	79°	59°	4.20 in	10	7.3	65°	1.0 ft	–
JulyJul	84°	65°	3.80 in	9	7.7	72°	1.0 ft	3
AugustAug	82°	64°	3.70 in	10	7.1	74°	1.0 ft	3
SeptemberSep	75°	56°	3.92 in	8	6.0	71°	1.4 ft	2
OctoberOct	64°	45°	4.41 in	8	4.6	64°	1.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	53°	36°	3.66 in	7	3.7	55°	1.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	43°	28°	4.24 in	9	3.2	46°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	39°	1.7 ft	–
Feb	35°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	37°	1.6 ft	–
Apr	44°	1.5 ft	–
May	54°	1.2 ft	–
Jun	65°	1.0 ft	–
Jul	72°	1.0 ft	3
Aug	74°	1.0 ft	3
Sep	71°	1.4 ft	2
Oct	64°	1.7 ft	–
Nov	55°	1.7 ft	–
Dec	46°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.97 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now52 °Ffeels like 49 °F

Tomorrow44 / 65 °F

It's 52 °F now (feels like 49 °F). Today, 39 °F to 57 °F; tomorrow, 44 °F to 65 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 1%
Fri 30 6%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 5%
Tue 3 13%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 28% and 0.19 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point47 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 47 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.5 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (9.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3moderate

Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.00

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 52

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	8 mph N
Mon 26	Clear sky	42 / 69 °F	9 mph WNW
Sun 25	Clear sky	38 / 66 °F	7 mph NW
Sat 24	Overcast	37 / 62 °F	7 mph NNW
Fri 23	Overcast	43 / 61 °F	9 mph N
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	46 / 66 °F	12 mph NNW
Wed 21	Overcast	46 / 62 °F	12 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	46 / 68 °F	0	12 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	38 / 64 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Sun 18	Clear sky	37 / 57 °F	0	10 mph NNW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	42 / 61 °F	0.05 in	15 mph NNW
Fri 16	Drizzle	55 / 72 °F	0.26 in	12 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	54 / 65 °F	0	11 mph N
Wed 14	Light drizzle	63 / 78 °F	0.01 in	11 mph W
Tue 13	Overcast	56 / 67 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	53 / 69 °F	0.04 in	11 mph N
Sun 11	Rain	52 / 57 °F	1.52 in	15 mph ENE
Sat 10	Overcast	50 / 67 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Fri 9	Overcast	51 / 70 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	55 / 73 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	40 / 64 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Tue 6	Clear sky	46 / 61 °F	0	9 mph NW
Mon 5	Overcast	52 / 69 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	51 / 61 °F	0.05 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	58 / 71 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	66 / 82 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	62 / 74 °F	0	8 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	57 / 71 °F	0	7 mph NW
Tue 29	Overcast	56 / 69 °F	0	8 mph NW
Mon 28	Light rain	55 / 60 °F	0.60 in	13 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Black RockQuestions

What's the weather like today in Black Rock?

Overcast, from 39 °F to 57 °F, with a light breeze from the south (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Black Rock?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 68 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.32 inHg and falling: −0.08 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Black Rock?

The best time to visit Black Rock is from May to September: highs of 70 °F to 84 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Black Rock in October?

In October, Black Rock normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 45 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.41 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 64 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Black Rock?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 22 °F. The wettest is October (4.41 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Black Rock?

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Black Rock, about 3 every 10 years. The most recent: Henri, in August 2021.

More about Black Rock today

Weather near Black Rock

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:59 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from