TidePlanet

Weather in Carlsbad

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 3:58 pm (PDT)
Now · partly cloudy 72 °F
Feels like
70 °F
Low / high
56 / 73 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
8 mph SW
→ 29.92 inHg · steady

Today in Carlsbad: overcast, 56 °F to 73 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 60 °F to 71 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 74 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Oceanside Muni (KOKB), 4.2 mi away · 1 h 7 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature75 °F
Wind13 mph from the west-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 56 / 73 °F 0% 8 mph SSE 3.1 ft 10:27 am HRRR
Thu 29 Light drizzle 60 / 71 °F 8% · 0.05 in 8 mph SW 3.1 ft 12:25 am · 11:12 am HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Drizzle 61 / 70 °F 27% · 0.04 in 7 mph SSW 3.3 ft 1:47 am · 12:07 pm NBM
Sat 31 Drizzle 59 / 69 °F 70% · 0.17 in 8 mph SE 3.4 ft 3:27 am · 1:20 pm NBM
Sun 1 Light rain 61 / 69 °F 87% · 0.87 in 14 mph N 5.5 ft 3:48 am · 1:53 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 58 / 74 °F 11% 8 mph NNE 5.4 ft 4:39 am · 3:27 pm NBM
Tue 3 Mainly clear 58 / 74 °F 12% 7 mph NNW 3.5 ft 5:17 am · 4:46 pm NBM
Wed 4 Clear sky 58 / 73 °F 13% 7 mph NW 2.9 ft 5:49 am · 5:50 pm NBM
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 58 / 71 °F 13% 6 mph NNW 2.4 ft 6:19 am · 6:45 pm NBM
Fri 6 Overcast 58 / 70 °F 18% · 0.05 in 7 mph NNW 5.2 ft 6:47 am · 7:34 pm NBM
Sat 7 Overcast 57 / 71 °F 15% 8 mph NW 6.0 ft 7:13 am · 8:19 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 57 / 76 °F 7% 6 mph NNW 4.3 ft 7:39 am · 9:03 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 59 / 79 °F 4% 4 mph NW 4.3 ft 8:04 am · 9:45 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 60 / 82 °F 4% 4 mph NNE 4.1 ft 8:31 am · 10:30 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 am; then NBM until Sunday 8 11:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastPartly cloudyMainly clearMainly clearOvercastPartly cloudyOvercast
Temperature 60°58°56°64°73°73°68°64°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 6 ESE4 ENE5 NE5 NE7 S8 SW5 SW3 SSW
Humidity 83%88%89%70%66%59%61%68%
UV 00015200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 74°73°71°73°72°72°76°
AIFS 72°70°69°69°66°71°76°
GFS 74°72°71°72°72°81°81°
ICON 73°72°72°72°70°78°81°
HRRR 73°70°—————
NBM 73°71°70°69°69°74°74°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediummedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 00.01 in0.18 in0.15 in0.80 in00
AIFS 00.07 in0.05 in0.38 in1.49 in00
GFS 000.01 in00.17 in00
ICON 000.02 in0.28 in2.24 in0.01 in0
HRRR 00.03 in—————
NBM 00.05 in0.04 in0.17 in0.87 in00
Confidence highmediummediummediummediumhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 7188205147171115617515
AIFS 66521054
GFS 10711910999799986
ICON 614818716923921818612
HRRR 810911—————
NBM 7118137128141420813711
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%31%65%90%96%6%8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%19%23%39%4%6%
NBM (NOAA) 0%8%27%70%87%11%6%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%1%1%10%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer, much wetter and a much warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Above +5.2 °F Normal Well above +9.7 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Well above +6.8 °F Well above +139% Well above +11.0 °F 71° / 64°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Well above +5.8 °F Well above +208% Well above +11.5 °F 69° / 62°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Well above +6.1 °F Above +95% Well above +12.2 °F 68° / 60°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Well above +5.6 °F Above +79% Well above +12.2 °F 67° / 58°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November Well above +7.4 °F Well above +188% Well above +13.7 °F
December Well above +6.8 °F Above +92% Well above +13.3 °F
January Well above +5.6 °F Well above +202% Well above +10.8 °F
February Above +3.8 °F Well above +189% Well above +8.6 °F
March Above +3.6 °F Well above +141% Well above +6.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Carlsbad climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carlsbad is from June to October: highs of 71 °F to 77 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 67° 47° 1.76 in 5 6.1 59° 3.1 ft
FebruaryFeb 66° 48° 2.00 in 6 5.9 59° 3.3 ft
MarchMar 67° 49° 1.34 in 5 7.8 60° 3.5 ft
AprilApr 69° 52° 0.98 in 2 8.7 61° 3.7 ft
MayMay 70° 56° 0.31 in 1 8.3 64° 3.6 ft
JuneJun 71° 59° 0.07 in 0 9.1 66° 3.3 ft
JulyJul 75° 62° 0.08 in 0 9.1 69° 3.1 ft
AugustAug 77° 64° 0.08 in 0 9.5 71° 3.0 ft
SeptemberSep 77° 63° 0.18 in 1 8.5 70° 3.1 ft
OctoberOct 76° 58° 0.41 in 2 7.2 67° 3.1 ft
NovemberNov 71° 51° 1.05 in 2 6.9 64° 3.0 ft
DecemberDec 67° 47° 1.79 in 5 5.9 61° 3.1 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 59° 3.1 ft
Feb 59° 3.3 ft
Mar 60° 3.5 ft
Apr 61° 3.7 ft
May 64° 3.6 ft
Jun 66° 3.3 ft
Jul 69° 3.1 ft
Aug 71° 3.0 ft
Sep 70° 3.1 ft
Oct 67° 3.1 ft
Nov 64° 3.0 ft
Dec 61° 3.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 10.05 in of rain on about 29 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 70 °F
Tomorrow60 / 71 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 70 °F). Today, 56 °F to 73 °F; tomorrow, 60 °F to 71 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 8% 0.05 in
  • Fri 30 27% 0.04 in
  • Sat 31 70% 0.17 in
  • Sun 1 87% 0.87 in
  • Mon 2 11%
  • Tue 3 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 8% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 1.57 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity57%
Dew point56 °F

Humidity is 57% now and the dew point is 56 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now19 migood
Clouds53%

Visibility is good now (19 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1
Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 59
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Overcast55 / 76 °F08 mph W
Mon 26 Clear sky58 / 80 °F09 mph WNW
Sun 25 Partly cloudy58 / 79 °F07 mph NW
Sat 24 Partly cloudy54 / 74 °F07 mph NNW
Fri 23 Light rain59 / 69 °F0.47 in8 mph SSW
Thu 22 Drizzle60 / 70 °F0.27 in7 mph SSW
Wed 21 Rain61 / 80 °F0.85 in10 mph S
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Mainly clear62 / 80 °F07 mph SW
Mon 19 Clear sky64 / 85 °F09 mph WSW
Sun 18 Clear sky64 / 87 °F09 mph WNW
Sat 17 Overcast72 / 92 °F06 mph NE
Fri 16 Clear sky66 / 98 °F012 mph NE
Thu 15 Clear sky60 / 91 °F09 mph NNE
Wed 14 Clear sky55 / 79 °F06 mph N
Tue 13 Partly cloudy56 / 73 °F07 mph WNW
Mon 12 Light drizzle59 / 69 °F0.19 in10 mph SW
Sun 11 Rain63 / 69 °F1.11 in11 mph SW
Sat 10 Rain66 / 77 °F0.64 in11 mph N
Fri 9 Mainly clear65 / 86 °F09 mph SW
Thu 8 Clear sky69 / 89 °F010 mph SW
Wed 7 Clear sky71 / 95 °F09 mph SW
Tue 6 Clear sky75 / 101 °F09 mph W
Mon 5 Partly cloudy76 / 103 °F09 mph NNW
Sun 4 Clear sky75 / 103 °F010 mph SSE
Sat 3 Clear sky73 / 105 °F011 mph NNE
Fri 2 Overcast66 / 101 °F07 mph WNW
Thu 1 Overcast60 / 84 °F07 mph W
Wed 30 Mainly clear64 / 82 °F08 mph SW
Tue 29 Mainly clear61 / 81 °F010 mph SW
Mon 28 Light drizzle66 / 83 °F0.02 in10 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarlsbadQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carlsbad?

Overcast, from 56 °F to 73 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carlsbad?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 8% (0.05 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 56 °F and a high of 74 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carlsbad?

The best time to visit Carlsbad is from June to October: highs of 71 °F to 77 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carlsbad in October?

In October, Carlsbad normally sees highs of 76 °F and lows of 58 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.41 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carlsbad?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 47 °F. The wettest is February (2.00 in) and the driest, June.

More about Carlsbad today

Weather near Carlsbad

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:58 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from

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