Weather in Ninilchik

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:25 pm (AKDT)

Now · light drizzle 38 °F

Feels like: 34 °F
Low / high: 36 / 41 °F
Rain: 72% · 0.03 in
Wind: 2 mph SSE

↘ 30.20 inHg · falling

Today in Ninilchik: drizzle, 36 °F to 41 °F, with a 72% chance of rain (0.03 in) and a light air from the south-southeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 38 °F to 47 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 49 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

41° 36°
Today
47° 38°
Thu 29
49° 40°
Fri 30
44° 37°
Sat 31
39° 33°
Sun 1
42° 35°
Mon 2
45° 37°
Tue 3
40° 34°
Wed 4
39° 35°
Thu 5
41° 35°
Fri 6
37° 32°
Sat 7
41° 37°
Sun 8
40° 34°
Mon 9
36° 31°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	36 / 41 °F	72% · 0.03 in	3 mph ESE	2.2 ft	5:28 am · 5:09 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light rain	38 / 47 °F	100% · 0.71 in	15 mph SE	3.1 ft	6:12 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	40 / 49 °F	100% · 1.04 in	19 mph SSE	4.4 ft	7:03 am · 6:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	37 / 44 °F	27% · 0.00 in	8 mph ENE	2.5 ft	8:04 am · 7:36 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	33 / 39 °F	33% · 0.09 in	5 mph NE	2.4 ft	8:22 am · 7:59 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	35 / 42 °F	57% · 0.02 in	7 mph ENE	2.1 ft	9:48 am · 9:46 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light rain	37 / 45 °F	71% · 0.40 in	7 mph ENE	3.1 ft	11:01 am · 11:15 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	34 / 40 °F	51% · 0.26 in	4 mph NE	1.7 ft	11:56 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	35 / 39 °F	72% · 1.02 in	13 mph NE	4.3 ft	12:22 am · 12:41 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	35 / 41 °F	63% · 0.02 in	8 mph ESE	3.1 ft	1:15 am · 1:20 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	32 / 37 °F	39%	23 mph NE	5.0 ft	1:59 am · 1:56 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	37 / 41 °F	35%	14 mph NE	4.8 ft	2:40 am · 2:29 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	34 / 40 °F	44%	13 mph ENE	3.3 ft	3:18 am · 3:00 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	31 / 36 °F	50% · 0.09 in	15 mph NE	1.8 ft	3:54 am · 3:31 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	37°	36°	36°	36°	39°	41°	39°	38°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	36%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	1 ESE	1 SE	1 SE	1 E	1 SW	2 NW	0 S	2 ESE
Humidity	76%	83%	86%	85%	84%	88%	88%	91%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	41°	47°	49°	44°	39°	42°	45°
AIFS	43°	46°	47°	42°	40°	41°	41°
GFS	43°	43°	46°	42°	40°	37°	43°
ICON	41°	49°	49°	44°	41°	46°	46°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.03 in	0.71 in	1.04 in	0.00 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.39 in
AIFS	0.04 in	0.99 in	0.67 in	0.16 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.33 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.61 in	1.34 in	0.04 in	0	0	0.05 in
ICON	0.13 in	1.11 in	0.97 in	0.09 in	0	0	0.77 in
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	37	1527	1932	814	513	713	725
AIFS	4	6	7	5	5	10	21
GFS	75	1022	2126	1112	1214	1515	2234
ICON	813	2234	2235	1015	1015	915	1220
Confidence	high	low	low	high	medium	medium	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	72%	100%	100%	27%	33%	57%	71%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	59%	100%	100%	39%	19%	15%	61%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +7.4 °F	Well above +131%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Well above +6.3 °F	Normal	34° / 31°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Well above +5.4 °F	Normal	31° / 28°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +4.9 °F	Normal	30° / 26°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +24%	28° / 24°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.0 °F	Normal
March	Well above +5.4 °F	A bit above +25%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ninilchik climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ninilchik is from June to August: highs of 61 °F to 64 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

26° 13°

JanJ
31° 16°

FebF
36° 18°

MarM
46° 29°

AprA
55° 38°

MayM
61° 44°

JunJ
64° 49°

JulJ
64° 47°

AugA
57° 41°

SepS
46° 32°

OctO
35° 21°

NovN
29° 17°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	26°	13°	2.71 in	11	1.6	35°	2.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	31°	16°	2.10 in	11	2.6	34°	2.7 ft
MarchMar	36°	18°	1.57 in	9	5.4	35°	2.0 ft
AprilApr	46°	29°	1.16 in	10	5.6	36°	1.6 ft
MayMay	55°	38°	1.03 in	9	7.8	40°	1.4 ft
JuneJun	61°	44°	1.19 in	9	7.9	47°	1.2 ft
JulyJul	64°	49°	2.04 in	11	5.5	52°	1.2 ft
AugustAug	64°	47°	2.73 in	13	5.5	54°	1.4 ft
SeptemberSep	57°	41°	4.00 in	14	4.2	52°	1.8 ft
OctoberOct	46°	32°	3.26 in	13	3.1	48°	2.2 ft
NovemberNov	35°	21°	2.93 in	12	1.6	43°	2.6 ft
DecemberDec	29°	17°	3.42 in	13	0.5	37°	2.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	35°	2.8 ft
Feb	34°	2.7 ft
Mar	35°	2.0 ft
Apr	36°	1.6 ft
May	40°	1.4 ft
Jun	47°	1.2 ft
Jul	52°	1.2 ft
Aug	54°	1.4 ft
Sep	52°	1.8 ft
Oct	48°	2.2 ft
Nov	43°	2.6 ft
Dec	37°	2.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 28.14 in of rain on about 133 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now38 °Ffeels like 34 °F

Tomorrow38 / 47 °F

It's 38 °F now (feels like 34 °F). Today, 36 °F to 41 °F; tomorrow, 38 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 72% 0.03 in
Thu 29 100% 0.71 in
Fri 30 100% 1.04 in
Sat 31 27% 0.00 in
Sun 1 33% 0.09 in
Mon 2 57% 0.02 in
Tue 3 71% 0.40 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 72%, with 0.03 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.71 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.52 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%

Dew point35 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 35 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds96%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.0030.50 29.14

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −1.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	37 / 45 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	41 / 49 °F	0.02 in	19 mph S
Sun 25	Drizzle	40 / 47 °F	0.27 in	15 mph S
Sat 24	Drizzle	37 / 42 °F	0.23 in	5 mph SE
Fri 23	Overcast	29 / 41 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Thu 22	Clear sky	29 / 37 °F	0	10 mph NE
Wed 21	Overcast	31 / 40 °F	0	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	35 / 44 °F	0.03 in	15 mph SW
Mon 19	Light rain	36 / 42 °F	0.50 in	9 mph NE
Sun 18	Drizzle	37 / 43 °F	0.06 in	7 mph SSE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	38 / 44 °F	0.01 in	7 mph S
Fri 16	Light drizzle	38 / 48 °F	0.06 in	6 mph SSE
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	39 / 47 °F	0.40 in	19 mph NE
Wed 14	Light rain	36 / 42 °F	0.55 in	17 mph NE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	35 / 45 °F	0.02 in	5 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	37 / 46 °F	0.10 in	10 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light rain	42 / 49 °F	0.26 in	17 mph S
Sat 10	Light rain	44 / 49 °F	1.37 in	21 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light rain	40 / 49 °F	0.38 in	20 mph SSE
Thu 8	Overcast	40 / 48 °F	0	4 mph SW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	38 / 50 °F	0.02 in	6 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	41 / 48 °F	0.09 in	6 mph SW
Mon 5	Drizzle	43 / 49 °F	0.37 in	8 mph NE
Sun 4	Drizzle	38 / 45 °F	0.31 in	11 mph NE
Sat 3	Drizzle	34 / 40 °F	0.11 in	19 mph NE
Fri 2	Clear sky	33 / 46 °F	0	9 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	33 / 42 °F	0.03 in	9 mph S
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	37 / 47 °F	0.18 in	11 mph SSE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	43 / 52 °F	0.04 in	10 mph SSW
Mon 28	Light drizzle	41 / 55 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NinilchikQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ninilchik?

Drizzle, from 36 °F to 41 °F, with a light air from the south-southeast (2 mph) and a 72% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ninilchik?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.71 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 33 °F and a high of 49 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.20 inHg and falling: −0.23 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ninilchik?

The best time to visit Ninilchik is from June to August: highs of 61 °F to 64 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ninilchik in October?

In October, Ninilchik normally sees highs of 46 °F and lows of 32 °F, with about 13 rainy days (3.26 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 48 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ninilchik?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 64 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 13 °F. The wettest is September (4.00 in) and the driest, May.

More about Ninilchik today

Weather near Ninilchik

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:25 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from