TidePlanet

Weather in Naknek

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:11 am (AKDT)
Now · light drizzle 43 °F
Feels like
37 °F
Low / high
43 / 48 °F
Rain
99% · 0.16 in
Wind
9 mph E
↘ 29.89 inHg · falling

Today in Naknek: drizzle, 43 °F to 48 °F, with a 99% chance of rain (0.16 in) and a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 40 °F to 46 °F and a 58% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 48 °F.

Measured now at the airport

South Naknek (PFWS), 1.7 mi away · 15 min ago

Visibility6.0 mi
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature—
Wind7 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Drizzle 43 / 48 °F 99% · 0.16 in 28 mph SSE 3.9 ft 5:42 am · 6:38 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Drizzle 40 / 46 °F 58% · 0.13 in 19 mph SSE 3.1 ft 6:35 am · 7:31 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Light drizzle 37 / 43 °F 44% · 0.04 in 12 mph ESE 2.3 ft 7:29 am · 8:23 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 37 / 39 °F 29% · 0.02 in 12 mph N 1.3 ft 7:26 am · 8:17 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 38 / 42 °F 60% · 0.09 in 25 mph ESE 3.8 ft 8:25 am · 9:09 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 38 / 46 °F 47% · 0.04 in 23 mph SSE 2.6 ft 9:26 am · 10:01 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 36 / 41 °F 38% · 0.02 in 15 mph ESE 2.8 ft 10:26 am · 10:51 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Drizzle 40 / 42 °F 41% · 0.15 in 26 mph E 3.1 ft 11:24 am · 11:39 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 37 / 44 °F 30% · 0.02 in 21 mph ESE 2.8 ft 12:21 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Overcast 34 / 40 °F 19% 11 mph ENE 1.4 ft 12:27 am · 1:17 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Snow 33 / 36 °F 20% · 0.12 in 11 mph NE 1.3 ft 1:15 am · 2:10 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 35 / 43 °F 22% · 0.09 in 31 mph NE 3.3 ft 2:03 am · 3:01 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 36 / 46 °F 25% · 0.09 in 26 mph NE 3.2 ft 2:51 am · 3:48 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 35 / 46 °F 17% · 0.05 in 13 mph NNE 1.6 ft 3:38 am · 4:34 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzleLight drizzleOvercastOvercastOvercastDrizzleLight drizzleLight drizzle
Temperature 43°43°45°47°47°46°46°46°
Chance of rain 64%90%55%8%32%84%96%87%
Rain 0.00 in0.01 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.02 in0.01 in0.01 in
Wind (mph) 4 ENE9 E15 ESE22 SE26 SSE28 SSE28 SSE24 SSE
Humidity 97%93%91%88%92%90%88%89%
UV 00000000
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 48°46°43°39°42°46°41°
AIFS 48°47°41°39°42°42°42°
GFS 48°45°42°39°43°42°39°
ICON 49°47°43°39°44°51°44°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediumhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.16 in0.13 in0.04 in0.02 in0.09 in0.04 in0.02 in
AIFS 0.46 in0.27 in0.14 in0.07 in0.07 in0.34 in0.23 in
GFS 0.24 in0.34 in0.02 in0.00 in0.02 in0.02 in0.01 in
ICON 0.52 in0.15 in0.11 in0.00 in0.09 in0.12 in0.15 in
Confidence mediummediummediummediummediummediumlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 2841192812191228254323311521
AIFS 23147816159
GFS 365120301421912324734432434
ICON 28491330813915223827501931
Confidence mediummediummediumhighlowlowlow

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 99%58%44%29%60%47%38%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%100%29%15%29%39%23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +9.0 °F Above +65% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Well above +6.1 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Above +4.7 °F Normal 30° / 26°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Above +4.9 °F Normal 29° / 25°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Above +3.1 °F Normal 26° / 21°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Above +2.7 °F Normal
December A bit above +1.8 °F Normal
January A bit above +1.3 °F Normal
February Above +3.2 °F Normal
March Well above +5.9 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Naknek climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Naknek is from June to August: highs of 60 °F to 63 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water
JanuaryJan 27° 12° 1.09 in 9 0.8 32°
FebruaryFeb 32° 17° 0.96 in 9 1.7 32°
MarchMar 33° 17° 0.84 in 8 5.0 32°
AprilApr 43° 28° 0.99 in 9 5.5 34°
MayMay 53° 36° 1.13 in 11 6.6 40°
JuneJun 60° 43° 1.47 in 10 6.4 48°
JulyJul 63° 48° 2.37 in 13 4.0 55°
AugustAug 62° 48° 3.00 in 13 3.9 57°
SeptemberSep 56° 42° 2.74 in 14 3.5 54°
OctoberOct 45° 32° 2.16 in 11 2.5 45°
NovemberNov 34° 20° 1.69 in 11 1.1 36°
DecemberDec 29° 15° 1.48 in 11 0.1 32°
Month Water
Jan 32°
Feb 32°
Mar 32°
Apr 34°
May 40°
Jun 48°
Jul 55°
Aug 57°
Sep 54°
Oct 45°
Nov 36°
Dec 32°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 19.93 in of rain on about 130 days and about 1,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now43 °Ffeels like 37 °F
Tomorrow40 / 46 °F

It's 43 °F now (feels like 37 °F). Today, 43 °F to 48 °F; tomorrow, 40 °F to 46 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 99% 0.16 in
  • Fri 30 58% 0.13 in
  • Sat 31 44% 0.04 in
  • Sun 1 29% 0.02 in
  • Mon 2 60% 0.09 in
  • Tue 3 47% 0.04 in
  • Wed 4 38% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 99%, with 0.16 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 58% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.44 in; last 3 days, 0.49 in; last 7 days, 1.07 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%
Dew point41 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 41 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood
Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak0low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0 · Sun 1: 0

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.09 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.88 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 20
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light rain40 / 46 °F0.42 in32 mph SSE
Tue 27 Overcast37 / 44 °F019 mph SSE
Mon 26 Drizzle41 / 46 °F0.12 in26 mph SW
Sun 25 Light drizzle40 / 46 °F0.06 in17 mph SSW
Sat 24 Drizzle39 / 44 °F0.43 in29 mph SSE
Fri 23 Drizzle28 / 41 °F0.02 in29 mph SE
Thu 22 Partly cloudy28 / 36 °F013 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast31 / 37 °F014 mph NNW
Tue 20 Overcast33 / 39 °F017 mph WNW
Mon 19 Light drizzle40 / 44 °F0.09 in15 mph SW
Sun 18 Drizzle29 / 42 °F0.13 in15 mph E
Sat 17 Overcast34 / 37 °F013 mph NW
Fri 16 Light snow35 / 41 °F0.15 in14 mph NW
Thu 15 Drizzle38 / 45 °F0.24 in20 mph NNE
Wed 14 Light snow37 / 44 °F0.08 in29 mph NE
Tue 13 Snow36 / 45 °F0.36 in10 mph SSE
Mon 12 Light snow38 / 46 °F0.24 in13 mph S
Sun 11 Drizzle41 / 45 °F0.28 in17 mph SSW
Sat 10 Heavy drizzle42 / 50 °F0.20 in16 mph S
Fri 9 Heavy drizzle42 / 48 °F0.31 in27 mph SSE
Thu 8 Overcast34 / 44 °F015 mph SSE
Wed 7 Overcast36 / 44 °F010 mph N
Tue 6 Overcast39 / 43 °F011 mph N
Mon 5 Light rain40 / 47 °F0.26 in10 mph NNW
Sun 4 Light rain40 / 45 °F0.18 in9 mph E
Sat 3 Overcast37 / 47 °F017 mph NE
Fri 2 Clear sky29 / 47 °F015 mph NNE
Thu 1 Partly cloudy32 / 40 °F015 mph NNE
Wed 30 Overcast36 / 42 °F011 mph N
Tue 29 Overcast43 / 47 °F011 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NaknekQuestions

What's the weather like today in Naknek?

Drizzle, from 43 °F to 48 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph) and a 99% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Naknek?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 58% (0.13 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 36 °F and a high of 48 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.89 inHg and falling: −0.33 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Naknek?

The best time to visit Naknek is from June to August: highs of 60 °F to 63 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Naknek in October?

In October, Naknek normally sees highs of 45 °F and lows of 32 °F, with about 11 rainy days (2.16 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 45 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Naknek?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 63 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 12 °F. The wettest is August (3.00 in) and the driest, March.

More about Naknek today

Weather near Naknek

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:11 am (local time).

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