Weather in Larsen Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:02 pm (AKDT)

Now · light drizzle 46 °F

Feels like: 40 °F
Low / high: 39 / 47 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.08 in
Wind: 12 mph SSE

→ 30.08 inHg · steady

Today in Larsen Bay: light drizzle, 39 °F to 47 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.08 in) and a gentle breeze from the south-southeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 47 °F to 50 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 50 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

47° 39°
Today
50° 47°
Thu 29
48° 43°
Fri 30
47° 40°
Sat 31
45° 38°
Sun 1
43° 37°
Mon 2
47° 39°
Tue 3
43° 37°
Wed 4
44° 41°
Thu 5
44° 40°
Fri 6
43° 40°
Sat 7
44° 42°
Sun 8
45° 39°
Mon 9
42° 37°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	39 / 47 °F	100% · 0.08 in	12 mph SSE	1.1 ft	4:28 am · 4:08 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Heavy drizzle	47 / 50 °F	100% · 0.22 in	14 mph SSE	2.0 ft	5:14 am · 4:50 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	43 / 48 °F	100% · 0.17 in	12 mph S	2.2 ft	6:07 am · 5:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	40 / 47 °F	52% · 0.01 in	8 mph ESE	2.0 ft	7:08 am · 6:36 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	38 / 45 °F	33% · 0.11 in	9 mph NNE	2.4 ft	7:23 am · 6:51 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Rain	37 / 43 °F	84% · 0.66 in	11 mph ESE	3.2 ft	8:44 am · 8:24 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	39 / 47 °F	61% · 0.07 in	10 mph SSE	2.6 ft	9:55 am · 9:56 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Rain	37 / 43 °F	57% · 0.33 in	10 mph SE	2.1 ft	10:50 am · 11:11 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Rain	41 / 44 °F	76% · 0.76 in	13 mph SE	2.6 ft	11:34 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	40 / 44 °F	49% · 0.13 in	10 mph SE	2.6 ft	12:10 am · 12:12 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	40 / 43 °F	39% · 0.28 in	18 mph NE	8.8 ft	12:57 am · 12:46 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	42 / 44 °F	43% · 0.23 in	15 mph ENE	6.8 ft	1:37 am · 1:18 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	39 / 45 °F	49% · 0.03 in	6 mph NE	2.5 ft	2:13 am · 1:48 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	37 / 42 °F	49% · 0.02 in	5 mph NNW	2.8 ft	2:48 am · 2:18 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	40°	39°	40°	41°	44°	45°	45°	46°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	16%	77%	100%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
Wind (mph)	3 SSW	3 SSE	5 SE	6 SE	10 SSE	9 SE	11 SSE	12 SSE
Humidity	89%	90%	90%	90%	87%	87%	90%	89%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	47°	50°	48°	47°	45°	43°	47°
AIFS	46°	49°	47°	43°	42°	43°	42°
GFS	49°	49°	47°	44°	44°	44°	47°
ICON	50°	54°	51°	47°	44°	50°	50°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.08 in	0.22 in	0.17 in	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.66 in	0.07 in
AIFS	0.23 in	0.37 in	0.28 in	0.19 in	0.09 in	0.35 in	0.36 in
GFS	0.13 in	0.23 in	0.35 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.03 in	0.16 in
ICON	0.13 in	0.09 in	0.16 in	0	0	0.23 in	0.00 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1229	1434	1232	822	923	1134	1030
AIFS	7	10	10	6	3	8	4
GFS	925	1028	1124	814	1115	1843	2043
ICON	1228	1633	2243	922	49	2349	515
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	medium	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	52%	33%	84%	61%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	45%	39%	62%	58%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.5 °F	Above +86%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +5.2 °F	A bit above +27%	35° / 30°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +4.3 °F	Normal	33° / 27°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +4.0 °F	Normal	31° / 26°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	28° / 23°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
February	Above +3.6 °F	Normal
March	Above +5.0 °F	A bit above +23%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Larsen Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Larsen Bay is from June to August: highs of 55 °F to 58 °F, about 15 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

33° 23°

JanJ
34° 22°

FebF
33° 17°

MarM
40° 29°

AprA
49° 37°

MayM
55° 41°

JunJ
58° 48°

JulJ
58° 48°

AugA
53° 43°

SepS
46° 37°

OctO
40° 32°

NovN
35° 21°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	33°	23°	4.77 in	15	1.2	40°	3.7 ft
FebruaryFeb	34°	22°	3.90 in	15	2.0	39°	3.8 ft
MarchMar	33°	17°	3.24 in	12	4.2	39°	3.0 ft
AprilApr	40°	29°	3.70 in	16	4.2	39°	2.7 ft
MayMay	49°	37°	3.74 in	16	6.0	42°	2.2 ft
JuneJun	55°	41°	3.45 in	15	5.8	48°	2.0 ft
JulyJul	58°	48°	3.20 in	15	4.6	53°	1.9 ft
AugustAug	58°	48°	3.99 in	14	4.7	54°	2.1 ft
SeptemberSep	53°	43°	5.64 in	17	3.6	52°	2.7 ft
OctoberOct	46°	37°	6.13 in	16	2.2	48°	3.1 ft
NovemberNov	40°	32°	4.93 in	15	0.8	44°	3.6 ft
DecemberDec	35°	21°	5.33 in	17	0.2	41°	3.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	40°	3.7 ft
Feb	39°	3.8 ft
Mar	39°	3.0 ft
Apr	39°	2.7 ft
May	42°	2.2 ft
Jun	48°	2.0 ft
Jul	53°	1.9 ft
Aug	54°	2.1 ft
Sep	52°	2.7 ft
Oct	48°	3.1 ft
Nov	44°	3.6 ft
Dec	41°	3.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.01 in of rain on about 182 days and about 1,200 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now46 °Ffeels like 40 °F

Tomorrow47 / 50 °F

It's 46 °F now (feels like 40 °F). Today, 39 °F to 47 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 50 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.08 in
Thu 29 100% 0.22 in
Fri 30 100% 0.17 in
Sat 31 52% 0.01 in
Sun 1 33% 0.11 in
Mon 2 84% 0.66 in
Tue 3 61% 0.07 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.08 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.22 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 0.62 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity89%

Dew point43 °F

Humidity is 89% now and the dew point is 43 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.0 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (7.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.0030.50 29.07

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −1.00 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	38 / 47 °F	0	4 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	43 / 51 °F	0.02 in	14 mph SW
Sun 25	Drizzle	42 / 48 °F	0.11 in	13 mph SW
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	41 / 44 °F	0.42 in	13 mph SSE
Fri 23	Overcast	31 / 45 °F	0	9 mph SE
Thu 22	Overcast	32 / 40 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Wed 21	Overcast	34 / 39 °F	0	14 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	36 / 41 °F	0.08 in	16 mph W
Mon 19	Light rain	42 / 49 °F	0.48 in	11 mph SW
Sun 18	Light rain	33 / 48 °F	0.34 in	11 mph S
Sat 17	Light drizzle	36 / 41 °F	0.01 in	12 mph W
Fri 16	Light drizzle	39 / 42 °F	0.06 in	10 mph WSW
Thu 15	Rain	42 / 48 °F	0.65 in	8 mph SSE
Wed 14	Rain	39 / 52 °F	0.52 in	10 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	35 / 47 °F	0.04 in	4 mph S
Mon 12	Light drizzle	38 / 46 °F	0.11 in	9 mph S
Sun 11	Drizzle	42 / 47 °F	0.25 in	11 mph SSW
Sat 10	Light rain	46 / 52 °F	0.69 in	15 mph S
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	43 / 50 °F	0.19 in	14 mph S
Thu 8	Light drizzle	35 / 46 °F	0.00 in	10 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	38 / 48 °F	0.02 in	6 mph SW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	42 / 48 °F	0.01 in	7 mph WSW
Mon 5	Drizzle	44 / 49 °F	0.15 in	10 mph WSW
Sun 4	Drizzle	43 / 50 °F	0.13 in	8 mph S
Sat 3	Light drizzle	43 / 46 °F	0.15 in	15 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	33 / 47 °F	0.00 in	13 mph NE
Thu 1	Clear sky	34 / 45 °F	0	6 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	38 / 48 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Tue 29	Overcast	44 / 52 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Mon 28	Light drizzle	44 / 53 °F	0.02 in	7 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Larsen BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Larsen Bay?

Light drizzle, from 39 °F to 47 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south-southeast (12 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Larsen Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.22 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 37 °F and a high of 50 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.08 inHg and steady: −0.37 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Larsen Bay?

The best time to visit Larsen Bay is from June to August: highs of 55 °F to 58 °F, about 15 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Larsen Bay in October?

In October, Larsen Bay normally sees highs of 46 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 16 rainy days (6.13 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 48 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Larsen Bay?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 58 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 17 °F. The wettest is October (6.13 in) and the driest, July.

More about Larsen Bay today

Weather near Larsen Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:02 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from