Weather in Kivalina

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:45 pm (AKDT)

Now · overcast 35 °F

Feels like: 24 °F
Low / high: 35 / 39 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.81 in
Wind: 18 mph WSW

↗ 29.49 inHg · rising

Today in Kivalina: snow, 35 °F to 39 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.81 in) and a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (18 mph). Tomorrow, snow, 31 °F to 36 °F and a 88% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 39 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Kivalina (PAVL), 0.4 mi away · 52 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature35 °F

Wind23 mph from the west-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

39° 35°
Today
36° 31°
Thu 29
37° 31°
Fri 30
35° 30°
Sat 31
30° 20°
Sun 1
22° 16°
Mon 2
33° 22°
Tue 3
34° 29°
Wed 4
29° 20°
Thu 5
25° 19°
Fri 6
24° 19°
Sat 7
25° 15°
Sun 8
21° 15°
Mon 9
19° 17°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Snow	35 / 39 °F	100% · 0.81 in	23 mph SSE	5.1 ft	2:04 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Snow	31 / 36 °F	88% · 0.22 in	19 mph S	4.7 ft	2:47 am · 3:40 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy snow	31 / 37 °F	99% · 0.61 in	14 mph E	5.1 ft	3:30 am · 4:18 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Snow	30 / 35 °F	68% · 0.26 in	18 mph NW	6.2 ft	4:14 am · 4:59 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light snow	20 / 30 °F	31% · 0.10 in	9 mph NNE	3.3 ft	4:03 am · 4:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	16 / 22 °F	12%	15 mph ENE	2.4 ft	5:12 am · 5:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	22 / 33 °F	21%	18 mph E	3.5 ft	6:59 am · 7:15 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	29 / 34 °F	21%	18 mph ESE	3.6 ft	8:41 am · 8:32 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	20 / 29 °F	11%	13 mph NE	1.4 ft	10:06 am · 9:43 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	19 / 25 °F	12%	17 mph NE	2.3 ft	11:01 am · 10:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light snow	19 / 24 °F	12% · 0.01 in	14 mph NE	1.6 ft	11:46 am · 11:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light snow	15 / 25 °F	10% · 0.04 in	11 mph NE	1.2 ft	12:29 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	15 / 21 °F	13%	11 mph NE	3.0 ft	12:05 am · 1:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	17 / 19 °F	6%	11 mph NE	2.0 ft	12:45 am · 1:52 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Drizzle	Drizzle	Drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Light snow	Light snow	Light snow	Snow
Temperature	39°	39°	39°	38°	36°	35°	35°	35°
Chance of rain	84%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Rain	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.05 in	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.04 in
Wind (mph)	18 SSE	20 SSE	23 SSE	23 SE	20 SE	21 SE	20 SSE	16 WSW
Humidity	91%	91%	90%	91%	97%	97%	99%	97%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	39°	36°	37°	35°	30°	22°	33°
AIFS	39°	35°	32°	31°	28°	20°	22°
GFS	38°	35°	31°	30°	24°	11°	13°
ICON	38°	35°	32°	30°	26°	17°	23°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.81 in	0.22 in	0.61 in	0.26 in	0.10 in	0	0
AIFS	0.90 in	0.15 in	0.28 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0	0
GFS	0.82 in	0.09 in	0.48 in	0.08 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.86 in	0.07 in	0.22 in	0.00 in	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	2335	1929	1422	1827	923	1530	1828
AIFS	25	21	17	16	11	12	19
GFS	2641	2634	1527	1824	811	1013	1116
ICON	2336	1930	1319	1522	812	913	1623
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	88%	99%	68%	31%	12%	21%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	87%	100%	77%	23%	10%	11%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.2 °F	Below −61%	15° / 11°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −47%	12° / 8°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	9° / 5°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit below −41%	5° / 1°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +34%
December	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit below −37%
February	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.3 °F	A bit below −28%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Kivalina climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Kivalina is in July: highs of 58 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

5° -11°

JanJ
12° -5°

FebF
10° -6°

MarM
24° 8°

AprA
37° 25°

MayM
51° 39°

JunJ
58° 47°

JulJ
56° 45°

AugA
48° 37°

SepS
35° 26°

OctO
20° 9°

NovN
11° -2°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water
JanuaryJan	5°	-11°	0.62 in	5	0.0	29°
FebruaryFeb	12°	-5°	0.63 in	6	3.0	29°
MarchMar	10°	-6°	0.45 in	4	6.7	29°
AprilApr	24°	8°	0.41 in	5	7.6	29°
MayMay	37°	25°	0.42 in	7	6.1	30°
JuneJun	51°	39°	0.37 in	7	9.4	35°
JulyJul	58°	47°	1.21 in	10	7.1	47°
AugustAug	56°	45°	1.64 in	12	4.3	49°
SeptemberSep	48°	37°	1.16 in	8	3.7	46°
OctoberOct	35°	26°	0.72 in	9	2.8	39°
NovemberNov	20°	9°	0.71 in	6	4.1	32°
DecemberDec	11°	-2°	0.59 in	5	0.0	30°

Month	Water
Jan	29°
Feb	29°
Mar	29°
Apr	29°
May	30°
Jun	35°
Jul	47°
Aug	49°
Sep	46°
Oct	39°
Nov	32°
Dec	30°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 8.94 in of rain on about 82 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now35 °Ffeels like 24 °F

Tomorrow31 / 36 °F

It's 35 °F now (feels like 24 °F). Today, 35 °F to 39 °F; tomorrow, 31 °F to 36 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.81 in
Thu 29 88% 0.22 in
Fri 30 99% 0.61 in
Sat 31 68% 0.26 in
Sun 1 31% 0.10 in
Mon 2 12%
Tue 3 21%

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.81 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 88% and 0.22 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.81 in; last 3 days, 1.15 in; last 7 days, 2.40 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point32 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 32 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds84%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.0029.5030.00 28.92

Rising now (+0.10 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.50 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	32 / 40 °F	0.24 in	25 mph SSE
Mon 26	Drizzle	31 / 36 °F	0.10 in	16 mph E
Sun 25	Drizzle	36 / 39 °F	0.20 in	25 mph SSE
Sat 24	Snow	33 / 39 °F	0.51 in	30 mph SSE
Fri 23	Snow	28 / 37 °F	0.37 in	32 mph SE
Thu 22	Light snow	33 / 37 °F	0.17 in	16 mph SSW
Wed 21	Light snow	27 / 35 °F	0.07 in	16 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light snow	26 / 32 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NNW
Mon 19	Light snow	29 / 33 °F	0.06 in	7 mph N
Sun 18	Snow	31 / 37 °F	0.30 in	23 mph SSW
Sat 17	Light snow	27 / 33 °F	0.04 in	15 mph W
Fri 16	Overcast	23 / 28 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Thu 15	Overcast	20 / 31 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light snow	23 / 29 °F	0.01 in	12 mph NE
Tue 13	Snow	29 / 35 °F	0.10 in	13 mph NNE
Mon 12	Light snow	35 / 38 °F	0.16 in	11 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	37 / 40 °F	0.12 in	17 mph SE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	38 / 41 °F	0.13 in	19 mph SE
Fri 9	Snow	35 / 38 °F	0.30 in	27 mph SE
Thu 8	Snow	26 / 35 °F	0.04 in	27 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	21 / 35 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	23 / 32 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Mon 5	Overcast	23 / 31 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Sun 4	Overcast	25 / 37 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sat 3	Snow	29 / 38 °F	0.10 in	15 mph SSE
Fri 2	Snow	26 / 37 °F	0.23 in	18 mph SSE
Thu 1	Overcast	20 / 28 °F	0	12 mph NE
Wed 30	Overcast	24 / 31 °F	0	17 mph N
Tue 29	Overcast	29 / 33 °F	0	19 mph N
Mon 28	Overcast	32 / 39 °F	0	20 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KivalinaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Kivalina?

Snow, from 35 °F to 39 °F, with a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (18 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Kivalina?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 88% (0.22 in): snow.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 16 °F and a high of 39 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.49 inHg and rising: −0.42 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Kivalina?

The best time to visit Kivalina is in July: highs of 58 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Kivalina in October?

In October, Kivalina normally sees highs of 35 °F and lows of 26 °F, with about 9 rainy days (0.72 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 39 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Kivalina?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 58 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of -11 °F. The wettest is August (1.64 in) and the driest, June.

More about Kivalina today

Weather near Kivalina

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:45 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from