Weather in Oyster Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:01 pm (CDT)

Now · overcast 61 °F

Feels like: 58 °F
Low / high: 54 / 82 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph NE

→ 30.14 inHg · steady

Today in Oyster Bay: overcast, 54 °F to 82 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 56 °F to 80 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (38%).

Measured now at the airport

Gulf Shores/Edwards (KJKA), 4.9 mi away · 26 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature63 °F

Wind5 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 54°
Today
80° 56°
Thu 29
80° 62°
Fri 30
79° 65°
Sat 31
77° 64°
Sun 1
77° 61°
Mon 2
79° 63°
Tue 3
77° 61°
Wed 4
75° 57°
Thu 5
71° 52°
Fri 6
71° 50°
Sat 7
72° 50°
Sun 8
72° 51°
Mon 9
73° 57°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	54 / 82 °F	0%	9 mph NE	1.5 ft	—	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	56 / 80 °F	0%	9 mph NE	1.6 ft	12:36 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	62 / 80 °F	1%	10 mph ENE	2.1 ft	1:33 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	65 / 79 °F	38% · 0.31 in	12 mph E	2.0 ft	2:33 am	NBM
Sun 1	Showers	64 / 77 °F	56% · 1.51 in	12 mph ENE	2.4 ft	2:31 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	61 / 77 °F	5%	11 mph ENE	2.2 ft	3:23 am	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	63 / 79 °F	17% · 0.04 in	14 mph ESE	3.1 ft	4:07 am · 10:46 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light showers	61 / 77 °F	42% · 0.54 in	14 mph SSE	3.3 ft	9:48 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Showers	57 / 75 °F	26% · 0.37 in	11 mph WSW	3.9 ft	8:48 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	52 / 71 °F	4% · 0.02 in	8 mph WNW	2.5 ft	8:24 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	50 / 71 °F	2% · 0.00 in	7 mph N	2.1 ft	8:41 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	50 / 72 °F	9% · 0.02 in	7 mph N	1.3 ft	9:09 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	51 / 72 °F	8%	6 mph NNE	0.9 ft	9:44 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	57 / 73 °F	16%	5 mph NE	0.7 ft	10:22 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	56°	54°	55°	65°	78°	82°	74°	63°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 NNW	3 NNE	4 NE	5 ENE	8 ENE	9 NE	5 NNW	6 NNE
Humidity	89%	89%	83%	69%	44%	26%	43%	65%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	80°	80°	81°	78°	74°	76°	77°
AIFS	78°	79°	79°	79°	74°	78°	78°
GFS	80°	80°	78°	76°	77°	77°	76°
ICON	80°	79°	78°	76°	73°	77°	75°
HRRR	82°	80°	81°	—	—	—	—
NBM	79°	80°	80°	79°	77°	77°	79°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.03 in	0.93 in	0.04 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.13 in	0.25 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0.57 in	8.69 in	0.01 in	0.13 in
ICON	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.99 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0	0	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0.31 in	1.51 in	0	0.04 in
Confidence	high	high	high	low	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	716	918	919	919	920	1119	1134
AIFS	8	9	9	9	13	12	12
GFS	919	1123	1321	1629	1630	1017	1219
ICON	615	818	919	920	1023	921	615
HRRR	916	920	1121	—	—	—	—
NBM	714	816	1018	1219	1221	1119	1423
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	2%	49%	53%	23%	45%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	13%	74%	72%	24%	46%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	0%	1%	38%	56%	5%	17%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	21%	21%	6%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.6 °F	Well above +158%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	68° / 62°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +25%	Normal +0.4 °F	68° / 63°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal −0.5 °F	A bit above +36%	Normal +0.2 °F	66° / 60°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +72%	Normal −0.2 °F	64° / 59°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +50%	—
December	A bit below −1.3 °F	A bit above +27%	—
January	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit above +27%	—
February	A bit below −1.8 °F	Above +54%	—
March	A bit below −1.1 °F	Above +59%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Oyster Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Oyster Bay is from October to November and from March to May: highs of 71 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oyster Bay, about 6 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sally, in September 2020.

62° 43°

JanJ
66° 46°

FebF
71° 52°

MarM
77° 58°

AprA
84° 65°

MayM
89° 72°

JunJ
90° 74°

JulJ
90° 74°

AugA
87° 70°

SepS
80° 60°

OctO
71° 50°

NovN
65° 45°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	62°	43°	4.70 in	10	4.8	61°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	66°	46°	4.96 in	8	5.2	61°	2.8 ft	–
MarchMar	71°	52°	5.31 in	8	6.6	64°	2.7 ft	–
AprilApr	77°	58°	4.93 in	8	7.5	70°	2.6 ft	–
MayMay	84°	65°	4.43 in	10	8.9	77°	2.2 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	72°	7.83 in	15	7.9	83°	2.1 ft	2
JulyJul	90°	74°	6.55 in	20	7.9	85°	1.6 ft	3
AugustAug	90°	74°	8.07 in	19	7.4	85°	1.8 ft	3
SeptemberSep	87°	70°	6.65 in	12	7.1	83°	2.1 ft	7
OctoberOct	80°	60°	3.90 in	7	6.3	77°	2.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	71°	50°	4.15 in	7	5.8	69°	2.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	65°	45°	4.62 in	10	4.5	64°	2.9 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	61°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	61°	2.8 ft	–
Mar	64°	2.7 ft	–
Apr	70°	2.6 ft	–
May	77°	2.2 ft	–
Jun	83°	2.1 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.6 ft	3
Aug	85°	1.8 ft	3
Sep	83°	2.1 ft	7
Oct	77°	2.7 ft	1
Nov	69°	2.9 ft	1
Dec	64°	2.9 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.11 in of rain on about 133 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 58 °F

Tomorrow56 / 80 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 58 °F). Today, 54 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 56 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 38% 0.31 in
Sun 1 56% 1.51 in
Mon 2 5%
Tue 3 17% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 38% and 0.31 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity66%

Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 66% now and the dew point is 49 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now16 migood

Clouds90%

Visibility is good now (16 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.20 30.06

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 39

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	52 / 78 °F	7 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	56 / 78 °F	10 mph NE
Sun 25	Mainly clear	54 / 78 °F	11 mph NE
Sat 24	Clear sky	52 / 75 °F	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Clear sky	51 / 81 °F	7 mph NE
Thu 22	Clear sky	48 / 80 °F	6 mph NNE
Wed 21	Overcast	47 / 77 °F	6 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	51 / 76 °F	0	8 mph NE
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	49 / 74 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sun 18	Clear sky	50 / 71 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sat 17	Overcast	54 / 70 °F	0	17 mph N
Fri 16	Drizzle	64 / 81 °F	0.32 in	19 mph NNW
Thu 15	Overcast	61 / 87 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Wed 14	Clear sky	58 / 89 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Tue 13	Clear sky	58 / 89 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Mon 12	Mainly clear	63 / 89 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	56 / 84 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 10	Drizzle	60 / 73 °F	0.04 in	18 mph NW
Fri 9	Heavy rain	61 / 73 °F	2.58 in	26 mph NE
Thu 8	Overcast	68 / 83 °F	0	13 mph NE
Wed 7	Overcast	69 / 85 °F	0	10 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NE
Mon 5	Heavy rain	72 / 80 °F	1.20 in	11 mph NNE
Sun 4	Heavy showers	74 / 78 °F	4.76 in	6 mph ENE
Sat 3	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	0.41 in	9 mph E
Fri 2	Light showers	73 / 83 °F	0.56 in	11 mph E
Thu 1	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.14 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	65 / 87 °F	0.08 in	8 mph E
Tue 29	Partly cloudy	60 / 90 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Mon 28	Partly cloudy	62 / 89 °F	0	7 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Oyster BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Oyster Bay?

Overcast, from 54 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Oyster Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.14 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Oyster Bay?

The best time to visit Oyster Bay is from October to November and from March to May: highs of 71 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Oyster Bay in October?

In October, Oyster Bay normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 60 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.90 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Oyster Bay?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is August (8.07 in) and the driest, October.

When is hurricane season in Oyster Bay?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oyster Bay, about 6 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sally, in September 2020.

More about Oyster Bay today

Weather near Oyster Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:01 pm (local time).

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