Weather in Thorpeness

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:49 am (GMT)

Now · overcast 50 °F

Feels like: 48 °F
Low / high: 48 / 58 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 3 mph WSW

→ 30.34 inHg · steady

Today in Thorpeness: fog, 48 °F to 58 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light air from the west-southwest (3 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 53 °F to 58 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 58 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

58° 48°
Today
58° 53°
Fri 30
56° 52°
Sat 31
55° 50°
Sun 1
54° 50°
Mon 2
55° 48°
Tue 3
55° 49°
Wed 4
54° 48°
Thu 5
52° 50°
Fri 6
51° 45°
Sat 7
56° 47°
Sun 8
58° 53°
Mon 9
57° 50°
Tue 10
55° 50°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Fog	48 / 58 °F	0%	5 mph SSW	0.9 ft	1:39 am · 2:02 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	53 / 58 °F	2%	8 mph ESE	1.5 ft	2:20 am · 2:48 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	52 / 56 °F	0%	8 mph E	1.6 ft	3:05 am · 3:40 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light rain	50 / 55 °F	8% · 0.01 in	13 mph NNW	3.7 ft	3:55 am · 4:41 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light drizzle	50 / 54 °F	12% · 0.01 in	16 mph N	4.5 ft	4:56 am · 5:59 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	48 / 55 °F	20% · 0.01 in	17 mph NNE	4.3 ft	6:12 am · 7:25 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	49 / 55 °F	8%	11 mph NE	3.4 ft	7:32 am · 8:38 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	48 / 54 °F	6%	11 mph E	2.7 ft	8:42 am · 9:38 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	50 / 52 °F	8%	12 mph E	3.0 ft	9:41 am · 10:27 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	45 / 51 °F	10%	10 mph ESE	3.3 ft	10:32 am · 11:09 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	47 / 56 °F	10% · 0.10 in	5 mph S	1.6 ft	11:16 am · 11:45 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	53 / 58 °F	22% · 0.16 in	9 mph S	2.0 ft	11:55 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	50 / 57 °F	20% · 0.31 in	9 mph SSW	2.0 ft	12:18 am · 12:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	50 / 55 °F	14% · 0.33 in	10 mph S	1.9 ft	12:49 am · 1:05 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	51°	49°	48°	51°	58°	57°	52°	52°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 W	3 WSW	2 WSW	2 W	3 S	4 SSE	2 SE	2 SE
Humidity	92%	94%	95%	93%	80%	82%	94%	93%
UV	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	55°	58°	56°	53°	54°	55°	55°
AIFS	57°	58°	56°	52°	53°	55°	53°
GFS	58°	58°	58°	58°	53°	54°	54°
ICON	58°	58°	56°	54°	54°	54°	52°
ARPEGE	58°	58°	56°	55°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	58°	58°	56°	55°	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.08 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.00 in	0
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0.01 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0.01 in	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	611	817	715	1326	1421	1728	1121
AIFS	7	9	8	15	19	18	17
GFS	711	1012	87	1926	1927	1420	1215
ICON	510	814	713	1221	1628	1629	1526
ARPEGE	79	1520	1319	1522	—	—	—
ICON-EU	510	813	813	1321	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	2%	0%	8%	12%	20%	8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	10%	14%	24%	19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.2 °F	Below −76%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +29%	50° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +33%	48° / 43°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	47° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +20%
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Thorpeness climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Thorpeness is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 36°

JanJ
45° 35°

FebF
50° 38°

MarM
55° 42°

AprA
60° 47°

MayM
66° 52°

JunJ
70° 56°

JulJ
71° 56°

AugA
66° 53°

SepS
59° 48°

OctO
51° 42°

NovN
46° 38°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	36°	1.94 in	9	1.5	45°	4.0 ft
FebruaryFeb	45°	35°	1.60 in	7	2.4	43°	4.1 ft
MarchMar	50°	38°	1.39 in	7	4.2	44°	3.3 ft
AprilApr	55°	42°	1.26 in	7	6.4	47°	2.7 ft
MayMay	60°	47°	1.54 in	7	6.4	52°	2.6 ft
JuneJun	66°	52°	1.92 in	8	6.3	57°	2.6 ft
JulyJul	70°	56°	2.19 in	8	6.9	62°	2.3 ft
AugustAug	71°	56°	2.94 in	8	6.0	65°	2.4 ft
SeptemberSep	66°	53°	1.98 in	8	4.8	63°	2.9 ft
OctoberOct	59°	48°	2.53 in	10	3.1	59°	3.7 ft
NovemberNov	51°	42°	2.58 in	10	1.9	54°	4.0 ft
DecemberDec	46°	38°	2.26 in	9	1.1	48°	4.3 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	4.0 ft
Feb	43°	4.1 ft
Mar	44°	3.3 ft
Apr	47°	2.7 ft
May	52°	2.6 ft
Jun	57°	2.6 ft
Jul	62°	2.3 ft
Aug	65°	2.4 ft
Sep	63°	2.9 ft
Oct	59°	3.7 ft
Nov	54°	4.0 ft
Dec	48°	4.3 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 24.13 in of rain on about 97 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now50 °Ffeels like 48 °F

Tomorrow53 / 58 °F

It's 50 °F now (feels like 48 °F). Today, 48 °F to 58 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 58 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 8% 0.01 in
Mon 2 12% 0.01 in
Tue 3 20% 0.01 in
Wed 4 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.19 in; last 7 days, 1.58 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point48 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 48 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). There may be fog today at 7:00 am, 8:00 am.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.47

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.13 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	44 / 59 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	47 / 61 °F	0.09 in	22 mph SW
Mon 26	Drizzle	44 / 60 °F	0.09 in	19 mph SSW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.03 in	27 mph WSW
Sat 24	Light rain	44 / 58 °F	0.50 in	26 mph SW
Fri 23	Light rain	46 / 56 °F	0.74 in	24 mph SSW
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	46 / 56 °F	0.13 in	15 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	48 / 56 °F	0.17 in	23 mph SW
Tue 20	Drizzle	54 / 57 °F	0.08 in	18 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light rain	52 / 58 °F	0.16 in	11 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light rain	48 / 55 °F	0.38 in	14 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	47 / 57 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NNW
Fri 16	Drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.15 in	13 mph WNW
Thu 15	Overcast	56 / 70 °F	0	16 mph SSW
Wed 14	Overcast	45 / 64 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	55 / 68 °F	0.05 in	16 mph SW
Mon 12	Drizzle	50 / 62 °F	0.08 in	17 mph S
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	45 / 58 °F	0	13 mph W
Sat 10	Mainly clear	48 / 58 °F	0	19 mph W
Fri 9	Light rain	49 / 66 °F	0.41 in	19 mph WSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.02 in	15 mph WNW
Wed 7	Drizzle	52 / 61 °F	0.21 in	15 mph NNW
Tue 6	Overcast	53 / 68 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	51 / 72 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	54 / 69 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Sat 3	Overcast	53 / 65 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Fri 2	Overcast	49 / 68 °F	0	12 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Drizzle	64 / 71 °F	0.15 in	17 mph S
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 70 °F	0.06 in	11 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ThorpenessQuestions

What's the weather like today in Thorpeness?

Fog, from 48 °F to 58 °F, with a light air from the west-southwest (3 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Thorpeness?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 48 °F and a high of 58 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.34 inHg and steady: +0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Thorpeness?

The best time to visit Thorpeness is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Thorpeness in October?

In October, Thorpeness normally sees highs of 59 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.53 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 59 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Thorpeness?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is August (2.94 in) and the driest, April.

More about Thorpeness today

Weather near Thorpeness

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:49 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from