Weather in Thorpe Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:58 pm (GMT)

Now · overcast 52 °F

Feels like: 50 °F
Low / high: 47 / 60 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph WSW

→ 30.35 inHg · steady

Today in Thorpe Bay: overcast, 47 °F to 60 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, fog, 50 °F to 58 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 60 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Measured now at the airport

Southend (EGMC), 3.7 mi away · 10 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature55 °F

Wind8 mph from the west

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

60° 47°
Today
58° 50°
Thu 29
58° 52°
Fri 30
56° 51°
Sat 31
53° 50°
Sun 1
55° 47°
Mon 2
54° 48°
Tue 3
54° 48°
Wed 4
54° 45°
Thu 5
52° 48°
Fri 6
50° 45°
Sat 7
56° 47°
Sun 8
59° 53°
Mon 9
58° 53°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	47 / 60 °F	0%	11 mph SW	0.6 ft	1:19 am · 1:36 pm	ICON-EU
Thu 29	Fog	50 / 58 °F	0%	5 mph SSE	0.1 ft	1:57 am · 2:17 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	52 / 58 °F	0%	9 mph E	0.7 ft	2:38 am · 3:01 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	51 / 56 °F	0%	9 mph ENE	0.7 ft	3:22 am · 3:50 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	50 / 53 °F	6%	9 mph NNW	0.7 ft	4:13 am · 4:48 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	47 / 55 °F	12%	13 mph N	1.9 ft	5:14 am · 5:58 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	48 / 54 °F	4%	11 mph N	1.8 ft	6:28 am · 7:18 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	48 / 54 °F	6%	10 mph NE	1.6 ft	7:48 am · 8:36 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	45 / 54 °F	5%	12 mph ENE	1.4 ft	9:01 am · 9:42 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	48 / 52 °F	2%	13 mph E	1.1 ft	10:02 am · 10:36 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	45 / 50 °F	5%	11 mph ESE	2.1 ft	10:53 am · 11:21 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	47 / 56 °F	8% · 0.15 in	6 mph SSE	0.5 ft	11:38 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	53 / 59 °F	14% · 0.29 in	9 mph SSE	0.6 ft	12:01 am · 12:16 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	53 / 58 °F	17% · 0.23 in	10 mph SSW	0.9 ft	12:36 am · 12:51 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	49°	47°	47°	51°	58°	60°	56°	53°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 WSW	8 WSW	8 SW	9 SW	10 SW	11 WSW	7 SW	6 WSW
Humidity	82%	88%	86%	79%	67%	65%	79%	89%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	59°	59°	58°	58°	52°	53°	54°
AIFS	59°	58°	58°	56°	51°	53°	54°
GFS	60°	59°	58°	59°	59°	55°	55°
ICON	60°	59°	58°	57°	55°	54°	53°
ARPEGE	58°	58°	57°	57°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	60°	58°	58°	56°	53°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.07 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1225	510	817	715	1223	1222	1123
AIFS	12	6	9	6	13	16	17
GFS	1526	79	1114	89	1427	1626	1323
ICON	1323	59	916	917	814	1528	1732
ARPEGE	1523	57	1319	1216	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1122	59	916	917	918	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	12%	4%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	13%	17%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.7 °F	Below −74%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	51° / 43°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +37%	50° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +35%	48° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	47° / 41°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Thorpe Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Thorpe Bay is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

46° 37°

JanJ
47° 36°

FebF
51° 39°

MarM
57° 42°

AprA
63° 47°

MayM
69° 53°

JunJ
73° 57°

JulJ
73° 57°

AugA
67° 53°

SepS
59° 47°

OctO
51° 42°

NovN
47° 38°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	46°	37°	1.83 in	9	1.5	45°	2.3 ft
FebruaryFeb	47°	36°	1.37 in	7	2.2	43°	2.5 ft
MarchMar	51°	39°	1.28 in	7	4.1	44°	2.2 ft
AprilApr	57°	42°	1.23 in	7	5.9	48°	1.7 ft
MayMay	63°	47°	1.52 in	7	5.9	53°	1.7 ft
JuneJun	69°	53°	2.04 in	7	6.2	59°	1.7 ft
JulyJul	73°	57°	1.81 in	8	6.3	63°	1.4 ft
AugustAug	73°	57°	2.23 in	8	5.3	65°	1.4 ft
SeptemberSep	67°	53°	1.77 in	8	4.9	63°	1.7 ft
OctoberOct	59°	47°	2.35 in	10	3.1	58°	2.1 ft
NovemberNov	51°	42°	2.24 in	10	1.8	53°	2.3 ft
DecemberDec	47°	38°	1.98 in	10	1.2	48°	2.4 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	2.3 ft
Feb	43°	2.5 ft
Mar	44°	2.2 ft
Apr	48°	1.7 ft
May	53°	1.7 ft
Jun	59°	1.7 ft
Jul	63°	1.4 ft
Aug	65°	1.4 ft
Sep	63°	1.7 ft
Oct	58°	2.1 ft
Nov	53°	2.3 ft
Dec	48°	2.4 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 21.65 in of rain on about 99 days and about 1,450 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now52 °Ffeels like 50 °F

Tomorrow50 / 58 °F

It's 52 °F now (feels like 50 °F). Today, 47 °F to 60 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 58 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 12%
Tue 3 4%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.18 in; last 7 days, 1.42 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point50 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 50 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.45

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.10 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 41

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	48 / 61 °F	0.08 in	19 mph SW
Mon 26	Drizzle	46 / 61 °F	0.12 in	17 mph SSW
Sun 25	Drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.06 in	24 mph WSW
Sat 24	Rain	44 / 60 °F	0.57 in	23 mph SW
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	47 / 55 °F	0.44 in	24 mph WSW
Thu 22	Drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.16 in	15 mph SW
Wed 21	Drizzle	47 / 55 °F	0.15 in	19 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	52 / 56 °F	0.19 in	15 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	0.12 in	11 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light rain	48 / 54 °F	0.31 in	13 mph NNE
Sat 17	Clear sky	45 / 57 °F	0	14 mph NNW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	48 / 60 °F	0.15 in	13 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	55 / 71 °F	0.01 in	15 mph SSW
Wed 14	Overcast	46 / 66 °F	0	12 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.05 in	16 mph WSW
Mon 12	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	0	11 mph W
Sat 10	Mainly clear	48 / 59 °F	0	17 mph W
Fri 9	Light rain	50 / 67 °F	0.20 in	21 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	44 / 57 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WNW
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.28 in	15 mph NNW
Tue 6	Overcast	53 / 68 °F	0	5 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	51 / 71 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	52 / 71 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sat 3	Light drizzle	53 / 67 °F	0.02 in	6 mph WSW
Fri 2	Overcast	50 / 70 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.04 in	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	60 / 74 °F	0.08 in	14 mph S
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 73 °F	0.02 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	55 / 66 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Thorpe BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Thorpe Bay?

Overcast, from 47 °F to 60 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Thorpe Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): fog.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 47 °F and a high of 60 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.35 inHg and steady: +0.22 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Thorpe Bay?

The best time to visit Thorpe Bay is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Thorpe Bay in October?

In October, Thorpe Bay normally sees highs of 59 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.35 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Thorpe Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is October (2.35 in) and the driest, April.

More about Thorpe Bay today

Weather near Thorpe Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:58 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from