Weather in Mablethorpe

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:59 pm (GMT)

Now · overcast 52 °F

Feels like: 49 °F
Low / high: 46 / 59 °F
Rain: 6%
Wind: 5 mph WSW

↗ 30.29 inHg · rising

Today in Mablethorpe: overcast, 46 °F to 59 °F, with a 6% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, fog, 48 °F to 58 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 59 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Measured now at the airport

Donna Nook (EGXS), 10 mi away · 39 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature52 °F

Wind8 mph from the southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

59° 46°
Today
58° 48°
Thu 29
57° 47°
Fri 30
56° 49°
Sat 31
53° 44°
Sun 1
52° 50°
Mon 2
54° 51°
Tue 3
53° 52°
Wed 4
53° 52°
Thu 5
53° 50°
Fri 6
52° 47°
Sat 7
52° 44°
Sun 8
56° 52°
Mon 9
55° 52°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	46 / 59 °F	6%	16 mph SW	1.3 ft	6:12 am · 6:35 pm	ICON-EU
Thu 29	Fog	48 / 58 °F	0%	6 mph SSW	0.1 ft	6:55 am · 7:16 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Fog	47 / 57 °F	0%	7 mph SSE	0.4 ft	7:41 am · 8:01 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	49 / 56 °F	0%	6 mph SSW	0.5 ft	8:36 am · 8:55 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	44 / 53 °F	27%	18 mph NNW	2.3 ft	9:44 am · 10:02 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light drizzle	50 / 52 °F	15% · 0.02 in	18 mph N	2.5 ft	11:09 am · 11:23 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	51 / 54 °F	16% · 0.02 in	15 mph NNE	2.4 ft	12:36 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	52 / 53 °F	6%	11 mph NE	1.8 ft	12:45 am · 1:52 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	52 / 53 °F	6% · 0.02 in	12 mph ENE	1.7 ft	1:57 am · 2:51 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	50 / 53 °F	8%	10 mph ESE	1.5 ft	2:55 am · 3:37 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	47 / 52 °F	12% · 0.06 in	10 mph SE	2.3 ft	3:41 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	44 / 52 °F	14% · 0.14 in	9 mph SE	1.5 ft	4:21 am · 4:47 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	52 / 56 °F	18% · 0.22 in	10 mph SSE	1.6 ft	4:57 am · 5:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	52 / 55 °F	20% · 0.10 in	5 mph SE	1.6 ft	5:32 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	47°	46°	47°	50°	57°	59°	55°	53°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	2%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 SW	10 SW	12 SSW	15 SSW	15 SW	13 WSW	6 WSW	6 WSW
Humidity	86%	87%	86%	87%	78%	76%	89%	91%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	59°	55°	54°	56°	54°	53°	54°
AIFS	57°	55°	55°	52°	53°	53°	53°
GFS	59°	60°	58°	59°	55°	54°	54°
ICON	60°	58°	58°	56°	52°	52°	54°
ARPEGE	58°	54°	54°	55°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	59°	58°	57°	56°	53°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.05 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.01 in
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1827	711	712	710	1721	1520	1524
AIFS	17	8	8	7	17	20	18
GFS	1734	712	914	67	1523	1524	1119
ICON	1729	611	712	58	1221	1733	1426
ARPEGE	2132	1013	914	711	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1628	611	713	611	1830	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	6%	0%	0%	0%	27%	15%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	10%	0%	0%	0%	6%	13%	24%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −77%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	50° / 44°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +37%	49° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	48° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	47° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Mablethorpe climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mablethorpe is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 35°

JanJ
45° 35°

FebF
50° 38°

MarM
54° 41°

AprA
60° 46°

MayM
65° 51°

JunJ
69° 55°

JulJ
70° 55°

AugA
65° 51°

SepS
58° 46°

OctO
50° 40°

NovN
45° 36°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	35°	2.07 in	9	1.5	43°	2.3 ft
FebruaryFeb	45°	35°	1.64 in	8	2.4	42°	2.5 ft
MarchMar	50°	38°	1.50 in	7	4.3	43°	2.2 ft
AprilApr	54°	41°	1.44 in	7	5.5	46°	1.9 ft
MayMay	60°	46°	1.84 in	7	6.3	50°	1.8 ft
JuneJun	65°	51°	2.31 in	8	5.6	55°	1.6 ft
JulyJul	69°	55°	2.35 in	8	6.0	59°	1.4 ft
AugustAug	70°	55°	2.61 in	8	5.4	61°	1.5 ft
SeptemberSep	65°	51°	2.09 in	8	4.5	59°	1.7 ft
OctoberOct	58°	46°	2.48 in	9	2.9	55°	2.2 ft
NovemberNov	50°	40°	2.40 in	10	1.7	50°	2.3 ft
DecemberDec	45°	36°	2.21 in	9	1.3	46°	2.4 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	43°	2.3 ft
Feb	42°	2.5 ft
Mar	43°	2.2 ft
Apr	46°	1.9 ft
May	50°	1.8 ft
Jun	55°	1.6 ft
Jul	59°	1.4 ft
Aug	61°	1.5 ft
Sep	59°	1.7 ft
Oct	55°	2.2 ft
Nov	50°	2.3 ft
Dec	46°	2.4 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 24.94 in of rain on about 98 days and about 1,450 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now52 °Ffeels like 49 °F

Tomorrow48 / 58 °F

It's 52 °F now (feels like 49 °F). Today, 46 °F to 59 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 58 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 6%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 27%
Mon 2 15% 0.02 in
Tue 3 16% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 6%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.15 in; last 7 days, 1.18 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 49 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds93%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.47

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.19 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	48 / 61 °F	0.01 in	25 mph SW
Mon 26	Drizzle	47 / 59 °F	0.12 in	20 mph SSW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	48 / 53 °F	0.01 in	29 mph WSW
Sat 24	Light rain	45 / 55 °F	0.41 in	28 mph SW
Fri 23	Rain	47 / 57 °F	0.54 in	23 mph S
Thu 22	Light drizzle	45 / 53 °F	0.06 in	17 mph SW
Wed 21	Light rain	47 / 56 °F	0.51 in	19 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light rain	53 / 56 °F	0.26 in	19 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light rain	54 / 58 °F	0.28 in	16 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	53 / 56 °F	0.09 in	20 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	47 / 54 °F	0.03 in	21 mph N
Fri 16	Drizzle	48 / 60 °F	0.12 in	13 mph NW
Thu 15	Overcast	57 / 67 °F	0	18 mph SSW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	47 / 63 °F	0.01 in	16 mph SSW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	54 / 65 °F	0.02 in	19 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	51 / 62 °F	0.01 in	17 mph SSE
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	46 / 58 °F	0	14 mph W
Sat 10	Light drizzle	49 / 56 °F	0.02 in	21 mph W
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	50 / 66 °F	0.18 in	22 mph WSW
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	45 / 56 °F	0.08 in	15 mph WNW
Wed 7	Rain	49 / 59 °F	0.57 in	15 mph NNW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	57 / 66 °F	0.02 in	9 mph SW
Mon 5	Overcast	56 / 71 °F	0	18 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	49 / 67 °F	0	10 mph SW
Sat 3	Overcast	56 / 63 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	53 / 69 °F	0	17 mph SSW
Thu 1	Overcast	55 / 67 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	62 / 74 °F	0.02 in	17 mph S
Tue 29	Overcast	59 / 66 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Mon 28	Overcast	51 / 62 °F	0	11 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MablethorpeQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mablethorpe?

Overcast, from 46 °F to 59 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (5 mph) and a 6% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mablethorpe?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): fog.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 44 °F and a high of 59 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.29 inHg and rising: +0.26 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mablethorpe?

The best time to visit Mablethorpe is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mablethorpe in October?

In October, Mablethorpe normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 46 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.48 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mablethorpe?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 70 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is August (2.61 in) and the driest, April.

More about Mablethorpe today

Weather near Mablethorpe

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:59 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from