Weather in Arnside

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:42 pm (GMT)

Now · overcast 53 °F

Feels like: 51 °F
Low / high: 52 / 56 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.36 in
Wind: 6 mph S

↗ 30.27 inHg · rising

Today in Arnside: rain, 52 °F to 56 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.36 in) and a light breeze from the south (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 51 °F to 57 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 57 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

56° 52°
Today
57° 51°
Thu 29
56° 47°
Fri 30
52° 42°
Sat 31
56° 42°
Sun 1
52° 38°
Mon 2
53° 38°
Tue 3
52° 40°
Wed 4
53° 42°
Thu 5
52° 42°
Fri 6
52° 41°
Sat 7
48° 35°
Sun 8
54° 47°
Mon 9
56° 51°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Rain	52 / 56 °F	100% · 0.36 in	23 mph WSW	4.4 ft	12:13 pm	ICON-EU
Thu 29	Overcast	51 / 57 °F	14% · 0.00 in	7 mph SSE	1.4 ft	12:35 am · 12:55 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Fog	47 / 56 °F	0%	10 mph SSE	1.3 ft	1:21 am · 1:41 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Fog	42 / 52 °F	2%	4 mph W	0.7 ft	2:12 am · 2:34 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	42 / 56 °F	4%	4 mph NE	0.3 ft	3:11 am · 3:36 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Fog	38 / 52 °F	0%	7 mph NNE	0.1 ft	4:20 am · 4:50 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	38 / 53 °F	0%	5 mph NE	0.1 ft	5:40 am · 6:12 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	40 / 52 °F	2%	4 mph NE	0.1 ft	7:00 am · 7:28 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	42 / 53 °F	2%	8 mph ENE	0.5 ft	8:07 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	42 / 52 °F	7%	9 mph ENE	0.2 ft	9:00 am · 9:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	41 / 52 °F	10%	9 mph E	1.0 ft	9:44 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	35 / 48 °F	23% · 0.02 in	10 mph ENE	1.1 ft	10:22 am · 10:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	47 / 54 °F	26% · 0.15 in	11 mph E	1.2 ft	10:58 am · 11:15 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	51 / 56 °F	25% · 0.02 in	7 mph NE	0.7 ft	11:32 am · 11:48 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Light rain	Rain	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	52°	53°	55°	56°	56°	56°	54°	53°
Chance of rain	33%	100%	100%	100%	94%	100%	20%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.11 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	15 WSW	19 SW	23 SW	15 WSW	17 WSW	14 WSW	7 WSW	3 S
Humidity	73%	80%	88%	85%	84%	80%	84%	93%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	55°	57°	56°	54°	55°	52°	53°
AIFS	53°	55°	54°	51°	52°	49°	50°
GFS	57°	56°	57°	55°	56°	54°	53°
ICON	57°	58°	56°	52°	56°	52°	52°
ARPEGE	56°	58°	57°	51°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	56°	57°	56°	52°	56°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.52 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.41 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.25 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.40 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0	0
ARPEGE	0.36 in	0.03 in	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.36 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1934	815	917	48	815	513	514
AIFS	17	7	9	5	7	7	8
GFS	2337	712	614	33	66	66	910
ICON	2135	47	916	36	47	610	1017
ARPEGE	2236	1015	1016	610	—	—	—
ICON-EU	2338	714	1017	46	48	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	14%	0%	2%	4%	0%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	19%	0%	0%	3%	0%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.1 °F	Below −88%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	46° / 41°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +27%	45° / 40°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	44° / 39°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	43° / 39°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Arnside climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Arnside is from June to August: highs of 63 °F to 66 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

44° 36°

JanJ
45° 35°

FebF
48° 37°

MarM
54° 41°

AprA
59° 45°

MayM
63° 50°

JunJ
66° 54°

JulJ
65° 53°

AugA
62° 50°

SepS
56° 45°

OctO
49° 40°

NovN
44° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	44°	36°	5.93 in	15	1.2	44°	3.4 ft
FebruaryFeb	45°	35°	4.48 in	12	2.1	43°	3.3 ft
MarchMar	48°	37°	4.29 in	11	3.7	44°	2.4 ft
AprilApr	54°	41°	3.25 in	10	5.1	48°	1.9 ft
MayMay	59°	45°	3.62 in	11	6.3	53°	1.9 ft
JuneJun	63°	50°	4.08 in	12	5.7	58°	1.8 ft
JulyJul	66°	54°	4.69 in	14	5.6	62°	1.7 ft
AugustAug	65°	53°	5.46 in	14	4.8	63°	2.1 ft
SeptemberSep	62°	50°	5.22 in	12	4.1	60°	2.4 ft
OctoberOct	56°	45°	6.70 in	15	2.7	56°	2.8 ft
NovemberNov	49°	40°	6.41 in	15	1.3	51°	3.0 ft
DecemberDec	44°	35°	6.80 in	15	0.7	47°	3.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	44°	3.4 ft
Feb	43°	3.3 ft
Mar	44°	2.4 ft
Apr	48°	1.9 ft
May	53°	1.9 ft
Jun	58°	1.8 ft
Jul	62°	1.7 ft
Aug	63°	2.1 ft
Sep	60°	2.4 ft
Oct	56°	2.8 ft
Nov	51°	3.0 ft
Dec	47°	3.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.92 in of rain on about 155 days and about 1,300 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now53 °Ffeels like 51 °F

Tomorrow51 / 57 °F

It's 53 °F now (feels like 51 °F). Today, 52 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 57 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.36 in
Thu 29 14% 0.00 in
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.36 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.36 in; last 3 days, 1.08 in; last 7 days, 2.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 52 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now3.6 mimoderate

Clouds100%

Visibility is moderate now (3.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.45

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.18 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light rain	49 / 59 °F	0.45 in	23 mph SW
Mon 26	Light rain	47 / 59 °F	0.43 in	20 mph S
Sun 25	Drizzle	47 / 50 °F	0.36 in	30 mph W
Sat 24	Rain	42 / 51 °F	1.00 in	29 mph SW
Fri 23	Drizzle	43 / 50 °F	0.26 in	19 mph N
Thu 22	Light drizzle	42 / 51 °F	0.05 in	11 mph SW
Wed 21	Drizzle	45 / 52 °F	0.15 in	19 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	50 / 53 °F	0.24 in	9 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	44 / 58 °F	0.02 in	14 mph ENE
Sun 18	Mainly clear	37 / 54 °F	0	8 mph NE
Sat 17	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	0	9 mph NE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	43 / 54 °F	0.05 in	9 mph WNW
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.30 in	17 mph SSW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	47 / 62 °F	0.06 in	17 mph SSW
Tue 13	Light rain	50 / 61 °F	0.53 in	21 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	46 / 61 °F	0.04 in	11 mph SE
Sun 11	Overcast	41 / 56 °F	0	7 mph S
Sat 10	Drizzle	46 / 53 °F	0.31 in	17 mph W
Fri 9	Light rain	49 / 60 °F	0.69 in	17 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light rain	40 / 55 °F	0.28 in	15 mph SW
Wed 7	Light rain	46 / 56 °F	0.26 in	9 mph NNW
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	54 / 59 °F	0.17 in	7 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	60 / 64 °F	0.19 in	18 mph SW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	45 / 60 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SSW
Sat 3	Light rain	47 / 59 °F	0.15 in	10 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light rain	54 / 62 °F	0.53 in	19 mph S
Thu 1	Light drizzle	54 / 61 °F	0.12 in	14 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light rain	57 / 67 °F	0.31 in	16 mph SSE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	49 / 66 °F	0.01 in	18 mph ESE
Mon 28	Overcast	49 / 61 °F	0	8 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ArnsideQuestions

What's the weather like today in Arnside?

Rain, from 52 °F to 56 °F, with a light breeze from the south (6 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Arnside?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 14% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 57 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and rising: +0.29 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Arnside?

The best time to visit Arnside is from June to August: highs of 63 °F to 66 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Arnside in October?

In October, Arnside normally sees highs of 56 °F and lows of 45 °F, with about 15 rainy days (6.70 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Arnside?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 66 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is December (6.80 in) and the driest, April.

More about Arnside today

Weather near Arnside

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:42 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from