Weather in Christchurch

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:06 am (GMT)

Now · fog 49 °F

Feels like: 47 °F
Low / high: 46 / 61 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 2 mph NNW

→ 30.35 inHg · steady

Today in Christchurch: fog, 46 °F to 61 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 47 °F to 61 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

61° 46°
Today
61° 47°
Fri 30
56° 46°
Sat 31
52° 47°
Sun 1
53° 46°
Mon 2
55° 47°
Tue 3
54° 48°
Wed 4
52° 45°
Thu 5
54° 47°
Fri 6
57° 46°
Sat 7
58° 56°
Sun 8
58° 58°
Mon 9
59° 57°
Tue 10
57° 55°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Fog	46 / 61 °F	4%	9 mph ESE	1.6 ft	9:15 am · 9:45 pm	AROME
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	47 / 61 °F	0%	11 mph E	2.0 ft	9:53 am · 10:42 pm	AROME
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	46 / 56 °F	0%	6 mph NE	2.1 ft	3:52 am · 10:40 am	AROME + ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	47 / 52 °F	1%	6 mph NNE	1.3 ft	4:43 am · 11:42 am · 4:58 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	46 / 53 °F	4%	11 mph NNE	1.4 ft	5:34 am · 1:00 pm · 5:49 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	47 / 55 °F	2%	15 mph NNE	1.5 ft	6:29 am · 6:42 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	48 / 54 °F	2% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	2.0 ft	7:31 am · 7:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	45 / 52 °F	2%	13 mph ENE	2.6 ft	8:50 am · 9:13 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	47 / 54 °F	6%	18 mph ENE	3.2 ft	9:59 am · 6:33 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	46 / 57 °F	12%	12 mph E	5.7 ft	7:00 am · 7:14 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	56 / 58 °F	18% · 0.24 in	12 mph S	2.7 ft	7:36 am · 7:56 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	58 / 58 °F	27% · 0.50 in	12 mph SSE	3.4 ft	8:14 am · 8:38 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	57 / 59 °F	29% · 0.22 in	14 mph SW	4.5 ft	8:53 am · 9:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Rain	55 / 57 °F	16% · 1.12 in	13 mph W	5.1 ft	9:30 am · 10:03 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: AROME until Saturday 31 4:00 am; then ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Fog	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	54°	49°	48°	51°	61°	60°	55°	51°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 SSE	1 N	4 N	1 NW	8 SSE	8 SE	5 E	4 ENE
Humidity	90%	98%	98%	93%	65%	66%	81%	96%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME	AROME

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 7 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	59°	59°	57°	52°	54°	55°	54°
AIFS	59°	58°	56°	53°	53°	54°	53°
GFS	59°	60°	59°	59°	54°	55°	56°
ICON	59°	59°	56°	52°	53°	55°	52°
ARPEGE	59°	59°	56°	51°	—	—	—
AROME	61°	61°	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	59°	60°	56°	52°	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.00 in	0	0.02 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
ICON	0.00 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ARPEGE	0.00 in	0	0	0	—	—	—
AROME	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1015	1219	1017	1220	1421	1523	1323
AIFS	10	12	11	13	17	19	18
GFS	1018	1317	814	1629	1528	1425	1324
ICON	815	816	815	613	1123	1528	1123
ARPEGE	611	1119	916	1120	—	—	—
AROME	916	1119	—	—	—	—	—
ICON-EU	716	819	616	613	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	4%	0%	0%	1%	4%	2%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.3 °F	Below −79%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +26%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +55%	52° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +39%	50° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	49° / 44°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +24%
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +28%
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Christchurch climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Christchurch is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

48° 36°

JanJ
48° 36°

FebF
52° 38°

MarM
57° 40°

AprA
63° 46°

MayM
68° 51°

JunJ
72° 54°

JulJ
72° 54°

AugA
67° 50°

SepS
60° 46°

OctO
53° 40°

NovN
49° 37°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	48°	36°	3.50 in	12	1.5	48°	4.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	48°	36°	2.56 in	9	2.3	47°	4.7 ft
MarchMar	52°	38°	2.20 in	8	4.2	47°	3.6 ft
AprilApr	57°	40°	2.25 in	8	5.4	49°	2.8 ft
MayMay	63°	46°	1.96 in	8	6.3	52°	2.5 ft
JuneJun	68°	51°	2.14 in	8	6.7	57°	2.6 ft
JulyJul	72°	54°	1.73 in	9	6.7	61°	2.2 ft
AugustAug	72°	54°	2.43 in	9	5.7	63°	2.6 ft
SeptemberSep	67°	50°	2.51 in	8	4.9	63°	2.9 ft
OctoberOct	60°	46°	4.12 in	11	2.9	60°	3.8 ft
NovemberNov	53°	40°	4.34 in	12	1.8	56°	4.3 ft
DecemberDec	49°	37°	4.09 in	11	1.2	51°	5.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	48°	4.5 ft
Feb	47°	4.7 ft
Mar	47°	3.6 ft
Apr	49°	2.8 ft
May	52°	2.5 ft
Jun	57°	2.6 ft
Jul	61°	2.2 ft
Aug	63°	2.6 ft
Sep	63°	2.9 ft
Oct	60°	3.8 ft
Nov	56°	4.3 ft
Dec	51°	5.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 33.84 in of rain on about 113 days and about 1,500 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now49 °Ffeels like 47 °F

Tomorrow47 / 61 °F

It's 49 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 46 °F to 61 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 2%
Wed 4 2% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.54 in; last 7 days, 2.81 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%

Dew point48 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 48 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). There may be fog today at 6:00 am.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.3030.4030.50 30.42

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 41

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	51 / 60 °F	0	14 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light rain	51 / 62 °F	0.27 in	29 mph WSW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	53 / 62 °F	0.28 in	24 mph SSW
Sun 25	Drizzle	52 / 56 °F	0.05 in	22 mph W
Sat 24	Light rain	49 / 61 °F	0.74 in	36 mph WSW
Fri 23	Rain	50 / 58 °F	1.11 in	32 mph W
Thu 22	Rain	53 / 59 °F	0.54 in	27 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Rain	51 / 57 °F	0.63 in	21 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light rain	51 / 56 °F	0.77 in	15 mph NNW
Mon 19	Drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.09 in	15 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.02 in	17 mph NNE
Sat 17	Overcast	45 / 58 °F	0	15 mph N
Fri 16	Light drizzle	50 / 61 °F	0.06 in	15 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	61 / 66 °F	0.02 in	16 mph SW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	54 / 64 °F	0.01 in	14 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	56 / 66 °F	0.04 in	21 mph WSW
Mon 12	Drizzle	61 / 65 °F	0.13 in	19 mph S
Sun 11	Light drizzle	52 / 62 °F	0.01 in	16 mph SW
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	52 / 60 °F	0	18 mph W
Fri 9	Drizzle	55 / 65 °F	0.09 in	22 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	47 / 59 °F	0.00 in	13 mph NW
Wed 7	Light rain	51 / 59 °F	0.33 in	17 mph N
Tue 6	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	6 mph NE
Mon 5	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	10 mph W
Sun 4	Overcast	53 / 65 °F	0	8 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	58 / 65 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Fri 2	Overcast	61 / 66 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	58 / 65 °F	0.04 in	12 mph WSW
Wed 30	Drizzle	61 / 69 °F	0.19 in	22 mph SSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 71 °F	0.04 in	18 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChristchurchQuestions

What's the weather like today in Christchurch?

Fog, from 46 °F to 61 °F, with a light air from the north-northwest (2 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Christchurch?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 46 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.35 inHg and steady: +0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Christchurch?

The best time to visit Christchurch is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Christchurch in October?

In October, Christchurch normally sees highs of 60 °F and lows of 46 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.12 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Christchurch?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 72 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is November (4.34 in) and the driest, July.

More about Christchurch today

Weather near Christchurch

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:06 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from