Weather in Kerch

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:51 am (GMT+3)

Now · overcast 59 °F

Feels like: 56 °F
Low / high: 54 / 60 °F
Rain: 45% · 0.09 in
Wind: 9 mph ENE

↘ 29.98 inHg · falling

Today in Kerch: light rain, 54 °F to 60 °F, with a 45% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (9 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 55 °F to 61 °F and a 50% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 64 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

60° 54°
Today
61° 55°
Fri 30
64° 55°
Sat 31
64° 54°
Sun 1
61° 57°
Mon 2
62° 53°
Tue 3
60° 49°
Wed 4
48° 40°
Thu 5
44° 35°
Fri 6
47° 35°
Sat 7
42° 36°
Sun 8
53° 38°
Mon 9
48° 37°
Tue 10
46° 35°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	54 / 60 °F	45% · 0.09 in	12 mph ENE	2.0 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Light showers	55 / 61 °F	50% · 0.02 in	9 mph ENE	1.4 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	55 / 64 °F	35% · 0.01 in	5 mph NW	1.1 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	54 / 64 °F	6%	6 mph NNW	0.9 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	57 / 61 °F	6%	11 mph NE	1.4 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	53 / 62 °F	12% · 0.08 in	10 mph ENE	1.3 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	49 / 60 °F	41% · 0.23 in	16 mph NW	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	40 / 48 °F	36% · 0.12 in	16 mph WNW	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	35 / 44 °F	21%	11 mph NW	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	35 / 47 °F	18%	10 mph WNW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	36 / 42 °F	18%	10 mph NW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	38 / 53 °F	11%	10 mph WSW	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	37 / 48 °F	10%	13 mph NW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	35 / 46 °F	17%	5 mph NNW	0.9 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 10:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 6:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Light rain	Light rain
Temperature	60°	58°	55°	55°	58°	60°	60°	59°
Chance of rain	45%	37%	27%	20%	4%	2%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.03 in
Wind (mph)	10 ENE	11 ENE	12 ENE	12 E	11 ENE	11 ENE	10 E	11 E
Humidity	76%	76%	76%	79%	73%	69%	72%	81%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	64°	66°	58°	64°	65°	62°	60°
AIFS	61°	61°	59°	59°	58°	58°	55°
GFS	64°	64°	57°	57°	62°	70°	56°
ICON	61°	59°	59°	62°	62°	60°	56°
ARPEGE	64°	61°	59°	60°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	60°	61°	64°	64°	61°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.41 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	0	0.08 in	0.23 in
AIFS	0.14 in	0.13 in	0.09 in	0	0	0	0.09 in
GFS	0	0.04 in	0.00 in	0	0.00 in	0.07 in	0.10 in
ICON	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	1.02 in
ARPEGE	0	0.16 in	0.10 in	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	—	—
Confidence	low	medium	medium	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1426	1017	613	624	1224	1024	1630
AIFS	13	11	7	7	11	12	16
GFS	2228	1924	1114	814	1623	1122	2127
ICON	1225	917	511	613	1021	919	1124
ARPEGE	2132	1828	1724	1419	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1225	919	512	511	920	—	—
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	45%	50%	35%	6%	6%	12%	41%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	3%	23%	26%	19%	10%	17%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.3 °F	Well above +125%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	A bit above +49%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +39%	49° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +57%	47° / 43°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +41%	46° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +38%
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +22%
February	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +36%
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Kerch climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Kerch is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

39° 29°

JanJ
40° 29°

FebF
47° 34°

MarM
59° 43°

AprA
70° 53°

MayM
79° 62°

JunJ
84° 67°

JulJ
83° 67°

AugA
74° 57°

SepS
62° 48°

OctO
50° 39°

NovN
43° 33°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	39°	29°	1.35 in	8	2.6	43°	3.3 ft
FebruaryFeb	40°	29°	1.07 in	6	3.7	42°	3.4 ft
MarchMar	47°	34°	1.26 in	6	4.5	43°	2.7 ft
AprilApr	59°	43°	1.00 in	5	5.8	49°	2.1 ft
MayMay	70°	53°	1.15 in	5	7.5	60°	1.4 ft
JuneJun	79°	62°	1.60 in	6	8.8	70°	1.4 ft
JulyJul	84°	67°	0.92 in	4	9.4	76°	1.4 ft
AugustAug	83°	67°	1.32 in	4	9.0	77°	1.8 ft
SeptemberSep	74°	57°	1.11 in	4	6.5	71°	2.1 ft
OctoberOct	62°	48°	1.18 in	5	4.9	62°	2.6 ft
NovemberNov	50°	39°	1.31 in	6	3.4	53°	2.8 ft
DecemberDec	43°	33°	1.52 in	7	2.5	47°	3.1 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	43°	3.3 ft
Feb	42°	3.4 ft
Mar	43°	2.7 ft
Apr	49°	2.1 ft
May	60°	1.4 ft
Jun	70°	1.4 ft
Jul	76°	1.4 ft
Aug	77°	1.8 ft
Sep	71°	2.1 ft
Oct	62°	2.6 ft
Nov	53°	2.8 ft
Dec	47°	3.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 14.78 in of rain on about 66 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now59 °Ffeels like 56 °F

Tomorrow55 / 61 °F

It's 59 °F now (feels like 56 °F). Today, 54 °F to 60 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 45% 0.09 in
Fri 30 50% 0.02 in
Sat 31 35% 0.01 in
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 6%
Tue 3 12% 0.08 in
Wed 4 41% 0.23 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 45%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 50% and 0.02 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.09 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 0.11 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 52 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now21 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (21 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.94

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	55 / 62 °F	0.37 in	12 mph ENE
Tue 27	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Mon 26	Overcast	53 / 67 °F	0	9 mph E
Sun 25	Clear sky	55 / 65 °F	0	10 mph ENE
Sat 24	Overcast	56 / 66 °F	0	8 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	58 / 68 °F	0.02 in	9 mph E
Thu 22	Overcast	53 / 71 °F	0	5 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NNW
Tue 20	Overcast	54 / 67 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	57 / 65 °F	0.03 in	21 mph S
Sun 18	Light rain	59 / 71 °F	0.35 in	20 mph SSE
Sat 17	Drizzle	56 / 65 °F	0.15 in	11 mph E
Fri 16	Rain	55 / 62 °F	0.57 in	13 mph NW
Thu 15	Rain	58 / 67 °F	0.48 in	12 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light rain	58 / 74 °F	0.20 in	11 mph NNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	61 / 74 °F	0.02 in	8 mph SSE
Mon 12	Overcast	57 / 77 °F	0	10 mph SE
Sun 11	Clear sky	57 / 76 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Sat 10	Overcast	56 / 73 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Fri 9	Mainly clear	55 / 71 °F	0	10 mph S
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	56 / 71 °F	0.11 in	6 mph SSW
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	54 / 74 °F	0.15 in	7 mph W
Tue 6	Mainly clear	51 / 71 °F	0	8 mph W
Mon 5	Overcast	47 / 70 °F	0	8 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	50 / 67 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	49 / 62 °F	0	14 mph NNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.00 in	18 mph NE
Thu 1	Light rain	55 / 60 °F	0.63 in	17 mph NNE
Wed 30	Drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.17 in	17 mph NNE
Tue 29	Overcast	62 / 68 °F	0	21 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KerchQuestions

What's the weather like today in Kerch?

Light rain, from 54 °F to 60 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (9 mph) and a 45% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Kerch?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 50% (0.02 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 49 °F and a high of 64 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and falling: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Kerch?

The best time to visit Kerch is from June to September: highs of 74 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Kerch in October?

In October, Kerch normally sees highs of 62 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 5 rainy days (1.18 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 62 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Kerch?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is June (1.60 in) and the driest, July.

More about Kerch today

Weather near Kerch

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:51 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from