Weather in El Mgarsa

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:47 am (CET)

Now · overcast 69 °F

Feels like: 71 °F
Low / high: 68 / 75 °F
Rain: 65%
Wind: 3 mph N

→ 30.11 inHg · steady

Today in El Mgarsa: overcast, 68 °F to 75 °F, with a 65% chance of rain and a light air from the north (3 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 65 °F to 70 °F and a 95% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 75 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

75° 68°
Today
70° 65°
Fri 30
70° 64°
Sat 31
70° 64°
Sun 1
73° 62°
Mon 2
70° 60°
Tue 3
73° 62°
Wed 4
71° 64°
Thu 5
70° 66°
Fri 6
69° 64°
Sat 7
68° 62°
Sun 8
72° 65°
Mon 9
72° 63°
Tue 10
74° 62°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	68 / 75 °F	65%	6 mph N	0.5 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Light showers	65 / 70 °F	95% · 0.26 in	5 mph N	0.4 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Thunderstorm	64 / 70 °F	82% · 0.26 in	6 mph WNW	0.3 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light showers	64 / 70 °F	59% · 0.24 in	10 mph NW	0.7 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light rain	62 / 73 °F	10%	13 mph WNW	2.0 ft	ICON-EU
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	60 / 70 °F	6%	8 mph WNW	0.7 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	62 / 73 °F	9%	7 mph SSE	0.2 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	64 / 71 °F	16% · 0.04 in	10 mph E	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	66 / 70 °F	20% · 0.17 in	9 mph NE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	64 / 69 °F	30% · 0.22 in	10 mph N	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	62 / 68 °F	29% · 0.43 in	10 mph ENE	5.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	65 / 72 °F	16% · 0.09 in	10 mph E	5.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	63 / 72 °F	16%	9 mph S	4.1 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	62 / 74 °F	13%	13 mph SW	3.0 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	69°	68°	68°	72°	73°	74°	71°	69°
Chance of rain	0%	13%	10%	16%	57%	36%	4%	5%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 NE	2 NNW	3 N	4 N	6 N	4 NNE	2 E	2 NE
Humidity	75%	68%	71%	61%	62%	59%	72%	84%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	74°	70°	71°	71°	72°	70°	73°
AIFS	74°	70°	71°	69°	72°	70°	74°
GFS	74°	71°	74°	71°	71°	70°	73°
ICON	74°	70°	70°	70°	73°	69°	73°
ARPEGE	76°	71°	72°	68°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	75°	70°	70°	70°	73°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.04 in	0.28 in	0.15 in	0.18 in	0.01 in	0	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.22 in	0.26 in	0.32 in	0.02 in	0	0
GFS	0.01 in	0.09 in	0.12 in	0.24 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0.30 in	0.16 in	0.18 in	0	0	0
ARPEGE	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.10 in	0.64 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0.26 in	0.26 in	0.24 in	0	—	—
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	917	814	715	926	1727	917	716
AIFS	9	7	6	7	16	11	9
GFS	910	119	109	2014	1322	1422	1418
ICON	413	612	717	1323	1732	1324	915
ARPEGE	1017	1014	816	1015	—	—	—
ICON-EU	618	513	619	1023	1332	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	65%	95%	82%	59%	10%	6%	9%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	51%	97%	45%	71%	26%	19%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −32%	Normal +0.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	71° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −48%	A bit above +0.9 °F	69° / 64°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	67° / 62°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −32%	A bit above +1.6 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

El Mgarsa climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Mgarsa is from April to June: highs of 75 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

63° 47°

JanJ
65° 48°

FebF
70° 53°

MarM
75° 57°

AprA
81° 63°

MayM
87° 69°

JunJ
92° 74°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
89° 73°

SepS
83° 67°

OctO
73° 58°

NovN
65° 50°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	63°	47°	1.00 in	2	6.5	60°	2.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	65°	48°	0.75 in	2	7.3	58°	2.9 ft
MarchMar	70°	53°	0.67 in	2	7.8	60°	2.9 ft
AprilApr	75°	57°	0.39 in	1	8.6	63°	2.9 ft
MayMay	81°	63°	0.15 in	1	10.1	68°	2.6 ft
JuneJun	87°	69°	0.05 in	0	10.7	74°	2.3 ft
JulyJul	92°	74°	0.00 in	0	12.5	80°	1.8 ft
AugustAug	93°	75°	0.14 in	0	11.7	83°	1.8 ft
SeptemberSep	89°	73°	0.59 in	3	9.2	82°	2.3 ft
OctoberOct	83°	67°	1.14 in	3	8.1	78°	2.5 ft
NovemberNov	73°	58°	1.53 in	2	7.1	72°	2.7 ft
DecemberDec	65°	50°	1.16 in	3	6.3	65°	2.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	60°	2.8 ft
Feb	58°	2.9 ft
Mar	60°	2.9 ft
Apr	63°	2.9 ft
May	68°	2.6 ft
Jun	74°	2.3 ft
Jul	80°	1.8 ft
Aug	83°	1.8 ft
Sep	82°	2.3 ft
Oct	78°	2.5 ft
Nov	72°	2.7 ft
Dec	65°	2.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 7.58 in of rain on about 21 days and about 3,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now69 °Ffeels like 71 °F

Tomorrow65 / 70 °F

It's 69 °F now (feels like 71 °F). Today, 68 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 70 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65%
Fri 30 95% 0.26 in
Sat 31 82% 0.26 in
Sun 1 59% 0.24 in
Mon 2 10%
Tue 3 6%
Wed 4 9%

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 95% and 0.26 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.13 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity68%

Dew point58 °F

Humidity is 68% now and the dew point is 58 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now24 migood

Clouds99%

Visibility is good now (24 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.01

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 37

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Mainly clear	66 / 76 °F	0	12 mph N
Tue 27	Overcast	68 / 76 °F	0	10 mph N
Mon 26	Overcast	67 / 78 °F	0	10 mph NW
Sun 25	Overcast	69 / 74 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	71 / 76 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	71 / 78 °F	0.06 in	11 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	73 / 80 °F	0.07 in	9 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.02 in	12 mph N
Tue 20	Mainly clear	74 / 88 °F	0	14 mph SSE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	75 / 81 °F	0	17 mph E
Sat 17	Overcast	67 / 82 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Fri 16	Overcast	67 / 80 °F	0	4 mph SE
Thu 15	Mainly clear	70 / 78 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Wed 14	Mainly clear	71 / 79 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Tue 13	Overcast	75 / 80 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.01 in	9 mph S
Sun 11	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.01 in	9 mph N
Sat 10	Light drizzle	74 / 79 °F	0.02 in	19 mph N
Fri 9	Overcast	77 / 88 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Thu 8	Mainly clear	74 / 91 °F	0	14 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	76 / 92 °F	0	10 mph SW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	71 / 88 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Mon 5	Mainly clear	72 / 81 °F	0	11 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.02 in	15 mph ESE
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	75 / 81 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.05 in	12 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	0.01 in	10 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.01 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Mainly clear	76 / 82 °F	0	10 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El MgarsaQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Mgarsa?

Overcast, from 68 °F to 75 °F, with a light air from the north (3 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Mgarsa?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 95% (0.26 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 60 °F and a high of 75 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.11 inHg and steady: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Mgarsa?

The best time to visit El Mgarsa is from April to June: highs of 75 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Mgarsa in October?

In October, El Mgarsa normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 3 rainy days (1.14 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Mgarsa?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 47 °F. The wettest is November (1.53 in) and the driest, July.

More about El Mgarsa today

Weather near El Mgarsa

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:47 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from